Official UFC on FOX 18 Thread

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After watching the Nelson fight again I am bit concerned about Barnett's instincts when the right is coming at him. Every time he ducked his head forward, which worked well against Nelson's overhands, but will lead him into Rothwell's best punch.

Granted, he survived Cormier who also loves the right uppercut, and he has one of the highest fight IQs so he may adjust for this, but I'm definitely not liking my over bet as much having watched that tape. Was thinking I would have to fade Rothwell gassing and getting subbed primarily, but Barnett getting KOed is probably a bit more likely than I had expected.
 
Question for UK/Euro bettors: I am trying to do a 7 fight parlay on overs but Bet365 and Ladbrokes don't seem to allow you to parlay more than 2 or 3 overs?
 
weedreference said:
After watching the Nelson fight again I am bit concerned about Barnett's instincts when the right is coming at him. Every time he ducked his head forward, which worked well against Nelson's overhands, but will lead him into Rothwell's best punch.
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As you went on to mention, Barnett is a tactician. I'd wager that was a decision he made specifically for his matchup with Nelson, unless a longer history of evidence would suggest otherwise. I'm leaning Barnett simply because I think if Barnett works his way towards any kind of takedown he'll be able to finish Rothwell from the top.
 
365 have props out for all the fights.. natal dec +200 looks pretty juicy

also looking at jackson dec +600 , brown dec +500.. pretty much all the dec lines are paying better then 5d
 
Regarding luri/rivera fight, Interesting about Riveras wrestling ability pre-ufc was good, I was feeling it would be a stand up fight which may favour luri's MT background.

Rivera also had a split decision W against perdro so he can get in super close fights and luri makes fights close, I also noticed rivera puts so much power into his shots his cardio fades mid r2+.

I still like luri as the underdog, but if rivera starts to grapple and wrestle away he could edge 2 rounds with that alone.
 
Nice prop lines on b365 :)

Sham : most uk/eurfo bookies do cap it around that number of plays but not sure in regards to the overs
on unibet/b365 its allowing me to que it up but not clicked the bet button though. Unibet does complain
if it has too many slips though I think after 7-8.

It is tempting to perhaps put a chunk on one side for some hail mary parlays, never know if one of them hits!
 
Ukram said:
Nice prop lines on b365 :)

Sham : most uk/eurfo bookies do cap it around that number of plays but not sure in regards to the overs
on unibet/b365 its allowing me to que it up but not clicked the bet button though. Unibet does complain
if it has too many slips though I think after 7-8.

It is tempting to perhaps put a chunk on one side for some hail mary parlays, never know if one of them hits!
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hmm strange i just tried making a parlay with over on all the fights and it did not allow that for some reason but could make a parlay with 11 overs.. 1$ to win 250$ lol

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Sham5916910 said:
Question for UK/Euro bettors: I am trying to do a 7 fight parlay on overs but Bet365 and Ladbrokes don't seem to allow you to parlay more than 2 or 3 overs?
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Bet365 just let me build a 7 fold of overs but wouldn't let me add Wonderboy/Big Rigg...maybe because they think that might get changed to a 5-round fight? IDK.

What are you looking to parlay? Let us know before you move the lines!
 
Betway have Jackson-Makashvili o2.5 at 4/5 -125.

Can get that and Ortiz fight o2.5 and Saffiedine o2.5 at 2.78/1 + 278.
 
^ Bader: say's he sees a submission

Everybody knows my gameplan, I'm a wrestler, it's my bread and butter. I'm going to take him down, take him into my world, take him all 5 rounds. I'm going to use what I do best, wrestle him. I'll do what ever I have to do to get the win, pushing the pace the whole 5 rounds. Wrestle do whatever I have to do to get that win. I've evolved the most in my wrestling.
 
bruthead said:
Betway have Jackson-Makashvili o2.5 at 4/5 -125.

Can get that and Ortiz fight o2.5 and Saffiedine o2.5 at 2.78/1 + 278.
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Not bad at all. As soon as I build my bankroll a bit more, the overs on flw fights will ALWAYS be my biggest plays on card. I mean, what are really the chances Ortiz vs Reis ends itd? And the over is like -230? So worth it. Wish I could find stats on how many flw fights go the distance.

So I wanna touch on this Sullivan vs Yakovlev fight. Bare in mind I haven't watched tape which always sucks for a stoner, but I think Sullivan at plus odds is a GREAT play. Its basically a grappler vs grappler match, with Sullivan being the bigger man and also more proven fighter. Waters is a big dude with some good grappling and Sullivan dominated him. Araujo's grappling is damn good too and he almost literally died. I don't see Yakovlev avoiding the clinch, and once its there, Sullivan should be able to control this fight.

Already have Sullivan in a parlay with Martin and Ortiz, but will definitely be making a decent sized straight up play on him as well
 
Joseph Budden said:
Not bad at all. As soon as I build my bankroll a bit more, the overs on flw fights will ALWAYS be my biggest plays on card. I mean, what are really the chances Ortiz vs Reis ends itd? And the over is like -230? So worth it. Wish I could find stats on how many flw fights go the distance.

So I wanna touch on this Sullivan vs Yakovlev fight. Bare in mind I haven't watched tape which always sucks for a stoner, but I think Sullivan at plus odds is a GREAT play. Its basically a grappler vs grappler match, with Sullivan being the bigger man and also more proven fighter. Waters is a big dude with some good grappling and Sullivan dominated him. Araujo's grappling is damn good too and he almost literally died. I don't see Yakovlev avoiding the clinch, and once its there, Sullivan should be able to control this fight.

Already have Sullivan in a parlay with Martin and Ortiz, but will definitely be making a decent sized straight up play on him as well
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Do you like the over in the Sullivan/Yak fight too?
 
Joseph Budden said:
I like it. Its scary knowing Sullivan can inflict life threatening ground and pound when he gets you flat on your back, but I think thats the only way this ends itd.
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Yeah cause im a bit tempted to parlay the overs in Ortiz/Reis and Sullivan/Yak @ evens but it might be stretching it a little.
 
Rumble - says I'm not used to it going 5 rounds, I've only done 3, we'll see what 5 rounds does to me.

 
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