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I dont say he wouldnt, categorically.
Im saying that Ngannou's physicality and improved wrestling, as well as Gané's movility and size, would make very hard for Nog to complete his TDs.
Particularly from the clinch, yes I think the chances are very slim that he gets an advantageous hold in the clinch in the first place, and secondly, that he is able to complete a TD from there in a cage, which is where FrancisGane fight.
I think many people on this thread just dont understand how much physicality makes a difference in fighting. Somehow they acknowledge 30-40lbs are a huge deal at any weightclass when both opponents are fairly skilled, but suddenly between a fit 225lber and a fit 260lber it doesnt matter at all.
It does matter. And Ngannou and Gane, apart from superior physical specimens, aren't clueless skillwise neither.
Prime Big Nog took down Fedor and Barnett. Two guys way stronger and more physical in the clinch than Gane, a French kickboxer with 4 years of training who is a weaker grappler than both Fedor and Barnett. Keep shilling though.