My Ultimate Fight Night 29 Bets - Post Yours (Part II)

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arrelione said:
For realzy? That's a crazy amount on a blind tail(or at least for me). I really hope we hit it now.
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haha see? was kidding. i tailed your last plays for $3 lol, then posted i liked DEN and u tailed for $100 and made me nervous.
 
platfox said:
My Belllator Plays:

Anthony Leone to beat Silva: Both are grinders that like to grapple. I think this fight goes the distance but I noticed a lot of people taking the under 2.5 rounds. Leone has fought much better competition (Silva has fought a bunch of guys with zero wins or very few wins). I haven't seen much of Silva but it looks like he looks for takedowns and tries to keep the fight on the ground as much as possible. Leone is a good wrestler, good at getting back on his feet, has good takedowns of his own, and a great scrambler. He is somewhat aggressive with his hands. Silva is possibly a little quicker but I haven't seen much of his standup.

Parlo to beat Butcher: Parlo keeps it standing and wins in late rounds/decision. If it hits the ground, I think it's Parlo that takes Butcher to the mat. I don't think Butcher can take Parlo down. Parlo on top will probably play very safe and try to avoid sub attempts at all cost, land a few shots, and get back to his feet.

Brennan Ward to beat Pacheco: Ward is a great wrestler with a ton of power in his hands. Pacheco doesn't look like he has great standup. He's shown a good top game but he'll have to put Ward on his back to show it, which I think will be very difficult. What worries me is Ward didn't show the best fight IQ against Torrey in his last fight. Ward fought a little wild and basically allowed himself to get out on his back where he isn't very good at all. If Pacheco can get on top in two of the three rounds, I think he can easily keep Ward there to win the rounds and the fight, but I'm betting that Ward won't let that happen.

I would love to hear some feedback before I put in my plays, mostly what does Silva's and Pacheco's standup look like. Thanks guys.
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i'm on board w/all 3, based on prices etc. in particular the +odds on leone and ward. i may be in the minority on this event, but i am with you on all of them.

i see leone-silva being a razor close decision. at almost 2:1? yea, i'll take a shot.

i see parlo doing exactly as you said, tho he is steep now.

you should note that pacheco may very well finish ward if he does get on top, though. that one's not without risk. i'm very small on that pick.

ArtOfDrowning said:
Lavar vs Queiroz u1
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electricute said:
haha see? was kidding. i tailed your last plays for $3 lol, then posted i liked DEN and u tailed for $100 and made me nervous.
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Haha you had me nervous there. You always feel worse about losing when you know people had confidence in you. 100 is the max I've ever blind tailed anyone. You(NFL), GF(mlb), JSP(bellator),EZFlyer(tennis) & BT21(boxing) and it's worked out well actually the times I've gone bigger than usual.
 
I finally said fuck it and withdrew my Bovada money and opened a 5D account. I can't missing every early line and having to wait until fight to to get props.
 
And I found something that I do not like at all. I played Butcher/Parlo U2.5 @ -135 and I put a 5 in the box thinking that would be a $5 bet...no. That's to WIN $5 so I had to lay $6.75 to do so. I don't mind this one since it's such a small amount strickly for action but is there a way to turn this off as it's fucking stupid to do it like that. I don't want to have to constantly do mental math to try to figure out how much I need to bet.
 
Te Huna Matata said:
And I found something that I do not like at all. I played Butcher/Parlo U2.5 @ -135 and I put a 5 in the box thinking that would be a $5 bet...no. That's to WIN $5 so I had to lay $6.75 to do so. I don't mind this one since it's such a small amount strickly for action but is there a way to turn this off as it's fucking stupid to do it like that. I don't want to have to constantly do mental math to try to figure out how much I need to bet.
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When you place your bets, go to the side where you can pick parlay, straight, bet the board, etc. Click on straight and then pick your bet. Under that, there is a "risk" or "to win" option.
 
Te Huna Matata said:
I finally said fuck it and withdrew my Bovada money and opened a 5D account. I can't missing every early line and having to wait until fight to to get props.
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Ive been backing Bovada on here and irl forever but they are trying to dick me right now. I noticed a couple of double withdrawals from my bank account. I sent them copies of my bank statement and everything. They sent it to an account specialist and are still trying to deny that its an error. My bank has disputed the charges but they said it doesnt look good as far as me recovering the money unless bovada acknowledges the error.

So, unless they fix this and credit me my money ($208), I'm done with Bovada.
 
arrelione said:
Europa League plays(soccer)
I am not finding too many games I fancy like in the Champions league but the following are worth betting:

Valencia to beat Kuban at 2,77 or Valencia pk at 1,92(bet voided if game ends in a draw)
Lyon to beat Vitoria Guimaraes at 1,56 (small)
Fiorentina+0,5 / FiorentinaX2 at 1,84 - Draw or Fiorentina win is what we're betting
Anzhi+1 vs Tottenham at 2,33 - Bet is voided if tottenham wins by exactly 1 goal
Anzhi to win against Tottenham at 9,16 (small)

The ones in the bold are the best plays of today in my opinion, neither of them are "safe" but hold good value

I try to write it out as clearly as I can because I know many don't bet soccer that much. If anything is unclear and/or you are wondering about something don't hesitate to ask
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followed the bold, gl my friend.
 
platfox said:
Ive been backing Bovada on here and irl forever but they are trying to dick me right now. I noticed a couple of double withdrawals from my bank account. I sent them copies of my bank statement and everything. They sent it to an account specialist and are still trying to deny that its an error. My bank has disputed the charges but they said it doesnt look good as far as me recovering the money unless bovada acknowledges the error.

So, unless they fix this and credit me my money ($208), I'm done with Bovada.
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They are literally a week behind every other site as far as when lines get released, their lines are awful, and the props get released the day of. I just can't take it anymore.

If one site has a line at -200/+180, Bovada will be -220/+160. You just struggle to make money there.
 
I need to look into Kongo's opponent but Cheick's been known to take his time finishing opponents, so the ov1.5 at +money seems like a solid line at first glance.

Also Lavar/Queiroz un1.5 seems like it might have some value as well at -160. Lavar said he's working on trying to be a little less aggressive but I still think there's a good chance he lands one of those lunchboxes on Queiroz's face and put him out in the first, or Queiroz takes him down and subs him early. Think both are pretty likely, moreso than it making it to the halfway point.
 
platfox said:
Tailed! (and yes at my own risk :)
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Tailed Valencia and Florentina
SenseiSeagalMMA said:
Sooooo... Chanderler or Alvarez?

Can't bet against Chandler. Probably going to take my Rays winnings and lay them on Chandler/Rampage at +126. How about you?
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I did the Chandler/Rampage parlay as well. No way can I bet Alvarez after being this inactive, we could see a beatdown.

Thursday Night Football:
Took Buf/Cle u42 (-125) and Buf (+170)
 
Wager type : Parlay
Select #1 : MLB Baseball
St. Louis Cardinals 10/3/2013 5:05 PM - (EST)
Money Line -151 for Game
A. Burnett -R must Start A. Wainwright -R must Start
Select #2 : MMA Martial Arts
Cheick Kongo 10/4/2013 10:35 PM - (EST)
Money Line -480 for Game
Amount : Risking 40 To Win 40 USD
 
Soccer
looks like I should have stuck to the bolded like most of you guys.

Val cashes
Anzi loses
Lyon looking bad
Florentina hasnt played yet
 
Silva
- I've learned alot from my fights
- Rafael Feijao and paulo thiago has been helping me alot
- Also Marcelo Guimaraes, Jacare and the Nogueira brothers
- All I go while I am in Rio is train, eat and sleep, during the weekends I try to visit my son
- I will always try to finish my fights fast to put on a show for you guys

 
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