Yet somehow, people quoting the statistics (probably having not read them, or having any kind of stats background whatsoever) are completely wrong in this case. Any many others.
Using past events to predict future ones is obviously incredibly dumb.
The argument you seem to be deploying is, that it doesn't matter that people speculating are wrong on the facts. Because they could have been right. So therefore they have no obligation to either retract their guesses, nor wait for specific facts before they spout off in future.
It's actually the people who call them out that are the ones who are wrong, because statistics.