What is a separate argument? No, I don't get your point to be honest.
I showed that 70% of the suspected perpetrators of acid attacks from 2002-2016 were White Europeans (32%) and African Carribeans (38%), neither group likely to have a significant percentage of Muslims nor be part of the recent refugee crisis. What's more, despite Newham having a high percentage of Muslims (32%) in comparison to the overall UK percentage (around 5%), it also has plenty of both those ethnic/racial groups as well (which was the point of giving the complete breakdown). So that there was nothing in those statistics which supports the narrative of the increase in acid attacks being a result of the European refugee crisis or the increasing Muslim population in the UK generally.
The point is that correlation isn't causation, yes, and guys like Geese will refuse to grasp that even if they can, but neither should one make the mistake of reading correlation as mere coincidence.
After all, you have a chicken-and-the-egg conundrum when you mention socioeconomic status because while the poor may be more likely to commit a violent crime, people who commit violent crimes are also more likely to make themselves poor.
This is an area that is one third Muslim, unsurprisingly composed of ethnic groups more likely to be that, when only 4.4% of the general population is composed of that religion. So despite that it isn't a majority Muslim, or possibly even a plurality, it is an area roughly 8x as rich with that group than the country as a whole. The question of how and why this may impact more impoverished areas inclined to crime, particularly in the context of Pakistan's established acute predisposition to acid attacks, isn't a question that should be dismissed out of hand as coincidence.
Let's inspect more closely-- really dig in. Here is a convenient link summarizing the Metro report you guys are discussing:
Everything you know about acid attacks is wrong
Okay, first, you yourself appear to have misread these ethnic groups. The ethnic breakdowns the police are tracking (or at least compiled by the BBC) are not parallel to the groups tracked by the UK Census. "African Caribbean" appears to be the rubric used for those who trace their origins to
either Africa or the Caribbean; otherwise, we're missing a lot of people/groups in this area. Compare to census statics for the Newham area in question that may refer to the same group:
The Census reveals that blacks of direct African descent appear to hold a ~2.5:1 advantage over those of the Africa-to-Jamaica-to-Britain variety (the principal group of British "Black Caribbeans"). Non-Caribbean Africans are much, much more likely to be Muslim, especially if they come from North Africa, which is steeply Muslim, and North Africans made up a large number of the opportunistic migrants that flooded Greece and the rest of Europe by blending in with the Syrian river of refugees.
I'm not certain of this population's precise impact on UK refugee migration post-2012, or before, but no matter how you classify Africans and Caribbeans they are over-represented by a rate of
at least 2 to 1 relative to the Census, and this appears to be more predominantly African or North African in root.
All of this is even more confusing since they parsed "Arab/Egyptians" as a group, and of course Egyptians are North Africans, many who might describe themselves as "Black African" or "Other Mixed" or "Other Black" on a census, while they also separated "Asians", and of course Arabia
is in Asia. Oh, look, they also separated "Oriental". How quaint. I thought that term had been faux pas for a quarter century. Also Asia.
So when the author of this article says that "Just 6% of suspects were Asians" it is patently and objectively false. That's annoying and untrue even if not ultimately misleading within the implied context.
The indications from what is known in this report seem pretty clear. The "South Asians" (Pakistani, Indian, Bangladeshi, and maybe "Other Asian" census groups) are not the the prime group responsible even by virtue of per capita adjustments. Their rates are deeply underrepresented. I also see no reason to disbelieve the police indications that this is chiefly associated with gang behavior.
But these are not the only Muslim groups, and it doesn't discount the fact that one of these crime-plagued impoverished areas is heavily Muslim on the whole. After all, if we're going to write off things to coincidence, then here are some other strange coincidences that stand out to me:
The figures show that after a 10-year decline, they surged between 2012 and 2016 by more than 500%. Just 73 were recorded in 2012; four years later, they hit a high of 469.
...the proportion of unknown suspects has doubled in the last 10 years to 20%.
About one in five suspects remain unknown – either because they can’t be identified, or because the victim has refused to identify them.
Jaf Shah urged caution, however. “It’s quite possible that honour attacks in the UK are simply not being reported for fear of reprisal,” he said.
Police recorded 284 ‘domestic incident’ related acid attacks in the 15-year period from 2002-16 – just 11% of the violent acid attack total.
Okay, I see the decline in attacks on women, and that they have fallen from ~50% to ~20% of victims now, but wait...so roughly 1 out of 9 of these attacks has been a "domestic dispute"? Like where the victim, possibly a Muslim woman, lives with her attacker? Just food for thought.
I don't understand why so little time was spent on that. It doesn't escape me that gangs also lean heavily on intimidation.
To me, the article would seem to make clear the prime correlation, and it's quite disheartening. It reminds me of a sobering lesson we Americans came to learn with our libtard snowflake "anti-bullying" campaigns. Our academics quickly realized that these campaigns weren't reducing bullying, but increasing it because the campaign was teaching young students new techniques and ideas for how to bully.
“The [2012] Oscar-winning documentary Saving Face raised awareness of acid violence at a global level,” said Jaf Shah. “And as a result many people, at a sub-conscious level, may associate acid attacks with Asians generally and Pakistanis in particular.”
These gangs learned a horrifying new technique from the documentary. The diaspora of ISIS was a coincidence of timing, but perhaps not of culture. Why has this gripped the UK, and these Muslim-dominant areas, so acutely?
Britain bans firearms, and they also possess one of the largest "South Asian" immigrant populations across the first world, so that documentary almost certainly had a greater impact there, and in those communities where people are descended from that region/culture, or live in contact with people descended from it.
Now the gangs are running with it. But it's these unspecified gangs running with it in London, and in predominantly Muslim areas, more predominantly than impoverished areas, not the Bloods or the Crips in LA.
Perhaps you would be wise not to dismiss that as mere coincidence as you did with Aceh.
Take this opportunity to do what Geese would never do, and consider a reasonable conclusion that you might find unsavory: that Islam contributes to and exacerbates this problem from within on some cultural level. Those who refuse this consideration risk winding up the same mindless, hypocritical mess as the BBC journalist who wrote the summary article I'm citing. This is as yellow as ink gets, FFS:
Acid attacks have not only been characterised as being perpetrated by Asians. They have also been increasingly associated with hate crimes against Asians.
On 21 June, aspiring model Resham Khan and her cousin Jameel Mukhtar were sprayed with acid through their car window in Newham, East London.
The attack was labelled a hate crime on social media, and concerns were immediately raised that Newham’s Muslim community was being targeted.
...after writing this in the same article:
“There has been a fairly relentless rise in the number of alt-right sites and blogs linking acid attacks to Muslim, Asians and migrants, and this has clearly gained some traction," said Shah.
Type “Asian acid attacks” into Twitter and there are hundreds of people conflating acid attacks with London’s Asian population.
It's shit like this that drives conservatives bonkers, and for good reason. FOX News and blog sites like Breitbart apparently aren't the only journalistic sources, anymore, that aren't above assigning authority to random Twitter users if it suits their own political agenda, and mirrors their own
assumptions, nor of doing this in the same breath they use to howl about that same Twittersphere when it doesn't.
What a travesty.