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Jones vs Reyes --- Analysis done by expert AI

Luffy

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Breaking down each round using the criteria to give a sense of how each fighter performed according to the numbers and UFC rules in place for that fight.

UFC Scoring Criteria:

1. Effective Striking and Grappling - Most important factor.


2. Aggression - Secondary factor if effective striking and grappling are equal.


3. Octagon Control - Used only if striking, grappling, and aggression are equal.



The judges score each round from 10-9 (for a close round) to 10-8 or even 10-7 for dominant rounds, though 10-8 rounds are rare in closely contested fights like Jones vs. Reyes.


---

Round 1 Analysis:

Striking: Reyes started strong, landing significant strikes, especially with body shots and left hands, which scored visibly. He outpaced Jones in volume and landed with higher impact in the opening minutes.

Grappling: No major grappling exchanges in this round. Jones didn’t attempt any takedowns, and Reyes kept it standing, favoring his strengths.

Octagon Control: Reyes pushed forward early, setting a high pace, though Jones maintained calm and defended well.

Aggression: Reyes was more aggressive, taking the center of the octagon and pushing Jones back, particularly early on.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Higher volume, effective power shots.

Jones: Defensive, lower output.


Score: 10-9 Reyes


---

Round 2 Analysis:

Striking: Reyes continued landing solid strikes, and his left hand was especially effective. However, Jones began to find his rhythm midway, landing some jabs and leg kicks, though Reyes’s strikes were still more impactful.

Grappling: Again, minimal grappling. Jones attempted a few clinches but didn’t control Reyes for long.

Octagon Control: Reyes dictated the pace but started pacing himself more. Jones’s control improved as he began pressuring forward later in the round.

Aggression: Reyes maintained an aggressive approach, though Jones countered better as the round progressed.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Still effective in striking, better accuracy.

Jones: Beginning to adapt but slightly less impactful overall.


Score: 10-9 Reyes


---

Round 3 Analysis:

Striking: This was the closest round. Reyes landed power shots early, but Jones’s volume and efficiency improved, with a notable increase in leg kicks and jabs. He defended better and retaliated with steady strikes, aiming to wear down Reyes.

Grappling: Jones attempted a few takedowns, but Reyes defended well, preventing any significant ground control. Jones’s attempts did shift the momentum slightly.

Octagon Control: Jones started pressuring forward more consistently, showing control and keeping Reyes moving backward at times.

Aggression: Reyes was aggressive but less effective as Jones’s pressure mounted.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Effective early but waned slightly.

Jones: Built momentum, controlled movement, slight edge in effective grappling.


Score: 10-9 Jones (close round)


---

Round 4 Analysis:

Striking: Jones took over with steady pressure, landing more strikes overall. Reyes seemed to slow, and his accuracy dropped, though he landed sporadically with power shots.

Grappling: Jones succeeded in securing a takedown briefly, which likely scored points, though Reyes returned to his feet quickly.

Octagon Control: Jones’s octagon control was evident, as Reyes retreated frequently and seemed to conserve energy.

Aggression: Jones was more aggressive, maintaining a steady pace and pressuring Reyes throughout.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Effective in moments but inconsistent.

Jones: Dominant in control, higher volume, effective pressure.


Score: 10-9 Jones


---

Round 5 Analysis:

Striking: Jones continued his control, landing the higher volume of strikes and pressuring forward. Reyes was fatigued and unable to sustain his initial output, though he defended well and landed counters at times.

Grappling: Jones secured another takedown, which added to his control in the round.

Octagon Control: Clear octagon control by Jones, who kept Reyes on the back foot.

Aggression: Jones maintained forward aggression, a decisive factor as Reyes’s pace slowed considerably.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Low output, struggled with Jones’s pressure.

Jones: Dominant in striking, grappling attempts, and overall control.


Score: 10-9 Jones


---

Total Scorecard:

Final Score: 48-47 Jon Jones


---

Summary:

According to the UFC’s rules and the data from this fight:

Effective striking and aggression favored Reyes in the early rounds.

Octagon control and consistent pressure by Jones in later rounds shifted the momentum.

Grappling attempts by Jones added control points, especially in Rounds 4 and 5.


This detailed round-by-round analysis reflects an edge for Jon Jones, as his control and pressure in rounds 3, 4, and 5 arguably align more with the UFC’s criteria, as he steadily built momentum and limited Reyes’s effectiveness toward the end. While Reyes clearly had a strong start, Jones’s ability to adapt and take control as the fight wore on gave him an edge in those crucial final rounds, which often carry a lot of weight in the scoring process, specially when there is a round (specifically the third one) that is close enough to the point that Jon Jones edging it out is supported by the criteria.



-------



So what do you think?
 
We all know Jon was gifted the decision but holy hell the fight was 4 years ago.
 
The most effective and significant strikes of the fight were a handful of knee-buckling unchecked teep, side, and traditional leg kicks landed by Jones on Reyes in the first round. We all know that Reyes had difficulty moving later in the fight and came out of the fight with bum knees. Jones landed some of the nastiest, most cringeworthy, knee wrecking kicks you'll ever see in round one; Reyes landed a good roundhouse to the body and a whole mess of soft or glancing punches as he was reaching and Jones backpedaled. Reyes mostly just gassed himself in Round one running on hurt legs, trying unsuccessfully to chase Jones down. Jones then took it easy in rounds two and three and turned things up in the championship rounds. 48-47 or 49-46 Jones depending on what you do with rounds two and three.

And that TS analysis is in no way expert or intelligent, artificial or otherwise.
 
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Breaking down each round using the criteria to give a sense of how each fighter performed according to the numbers and UFC rules in place for that fight.

UFC Scoring Criteria:

1. Effective Striking and Grappling - Most important factor.


2. Aggression - Secondary factor if effective striking and grappling are equal.


3. Octagon Control - Used only if striking, grappling, and aggression are equal.



The judges score each round from 10-9 (for a close round) to 10-8 or even 10-7 for dominant rounds, though 10-8 rounds are rare in closely contested fights like Jones vs. Reyes.


---

Round 1 Analysis:

Striking: Reyes started strong, landing significant strikes, especially with body shots and left hands, which scored visibly. He outpaced Jones in volume and landed with higher impact in the opening minutes.

Grappling: No major grappling exchanges in this round. Jones didn’t attempt any takedowns, and Reyes kept it standing, favoring his strengths.

Octagon Control: Reyes pushed forward early, setting a high pace, though Jones maintained calm and defended well.

Aggression: Reyes was more aggressive, taking the center of the octagon and pushing Jones back, particularly early on.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Higher volume, effective power shots.

Jones: Defensive, lower output.


Score: 10-9 Reyes


---

Round 2 Analysis:

Striking: Reyes continued landing solid strikes, and his left hand was especially effective. However, Jones began to find his rhythm midway, landing some jabs and leg kicks, though Reyes’s strikes were still more impactful.

Grappling: Again, minimal grappling. Jones attempted a few clinches but didn’t control Reyes for long.

Octagon Control: Reyes dictated the pace but started pacing himself more. Jones’s control improved as he began pressuring forward later in the round.

Aggression: Reyes maintained an aggressive approach, though Jones countered better as the round progressed.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Still effective in striking, better accuracy.

Jones: Beginning to adapt but slightly less impactful overall.


Score: 10-9 Reyes


---

Round 3 Analysis:

Striking: This was the closest round. Reyes landed power shots early, but Jones’s volume and efficiency improved, with a notable increase in leg kicks and jabs. He defended better and retaliated with steady strikes, aiming to wear down Reyes.

Grappling: Jones attempted a few takedowns, but Reyes defended well, preventing any significant ground control. Jones’s attempts did shift the momentum slightly.

Octagon Control: Jones started pressuring forward more consistently, showing control and keeping Reyes moving backward at times.

Aggression: Reyes was aggressive but less effective as Jones’s pressure mounted.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Effective early but waned slightly.

Jones: Built momentum, controlled movement, slight edge in effective grappling.


Score: 10-9 Jones (close round)


---

Round 4 Analysis:

Striking: Jones took over with steady pressure, landing more strikes overall. Reyes seemed to slow, and his accuracy dropped, though he landed sporadically with power shots.

Grappling: Jones succeeded in securing a takedown briefly, which likely scored points, though Reyes returned to his feet quickly.

Octagon Control: Jones’s octagon control was evident, as Reyes retreated frequently and seemed to conserve energy.

Aggression: Jones was more aggressive, maintaining a steady pace and pressuring Reyes throughout.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Effective in moments but inconsistent.

Jones: Dominant in control, higher volume, effective pressure.


Score: 10-9 Jones


---

Round 5 Analysis:

Striking: Jones continued his control, landing the higher volume of strikes and pressuring forward. Reyes was fatigued and unable to sustain his initial output, though he defended well and landed counters at times.

Grappling: Jones secured another takedown, which added to his control in the round.

Octagon Control: Clear octagon control by Jones, who kept Reyes on the back foot.

Aggression: Jones maintained forward aggression, a decisive factor as Reyes’s pace slowed considerably.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Low output, struggled with Jones’s pressure.

Jones: Dominant in striking, grappling attempts, and overall control.


Score: 10-9 Jones


---

Total Scorecard:

Final Score: 48-47 Jon Jones


---

Summary:

According to the UFC’s rules and the data from this fight:

Effective striking and aggression favored Reyes in the early rounds.

Octagon control and consistent pressure by Jones in later rounds shifted the momentum.

Grappling attempts by Jones added control points, especially in Rounds 4 and 5.


This detailed round-by-round analysis reflects an edge for Jon Jones, as his control and pressure in rounds 3, 4, and 5 arguably align more with the UFC’s criteria, as he steadily built momentum and limited Reyes’s effectiveness toward the end. While Reyes clearly had a strong start, Jones’s ability to adapt and take control as the fight wore on gave him an edge in those crucial final rounds, which often carry a lot of weight in the scoring process, specially when there is a round (specifically the third one) that is close enough to the point that Jon Jones edging it out is supported by the criteria.



-------



So what do you think?
I think there is a thread where somebody is picking fights using AI. Gianni the Greek has a better winning percentage and he has the best teeth in the business.

images
 
Well, I guess I would have to go back and watch round 3 since AI is saying it was so close. I remember Reyes clearly winning the first 3 and Jones clearly winning the last 2. Perhaps it does all come down to the 3rd round
Please do it. Then give your sincere output on the third round. I'd be interested.
 
Breaking down each round using the criteria to give a sense of how each fighter performed according to the numbers and UFC rules in place for that fight.

UFC Scoring Criteria:

1. Effective Striking and Grappling - Most important factor.


2. Aggression - Secondary factor if effective striking and grappling are equal.


3. Octagon Control - Used only if striking, grappling, and aggression are equal.



The judges score each round from 10-9 (for a close round) to 10-8 or even 10-7 for dominant rounds, though 10-8 rounds are rare in closely contested fights like Jones vs. Reyes.


---

Round 1 Analysis:

Striking: Reyes started strong, landing significant strikes, especially with body shots and left hands, which scored visibly. He outpaced Jones in volume and landed with higher impact in the opening minutes.

Grappling: No major grappling exchanges in this round. Jones didn’t attempt any takedowns, and Reyes kept it standing, favoring his strengths.

Octagon Control: Reyes pushed forward early, setting a high pace, though Jones maintained calm and defended well.

Aggression: Reyes was more aggressive, taking the center of the octagon and pushing Jones back, particularly early on.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Higher volume, effective power shots.

Jones: Defensive, lower output.


Score: 10-9 Reyes


---

Round 2 Analysis:

Striking: Reyes continued landing solid strikes, and his left hand was especially effective. However, Jones began to find his rhythm midway, landing some jabs and leg kicks, though Reyes’s strikes were still more impactful.

Grappling: Again, minimal grappling. Jones attempted a few clinches but didn’t control Reyes for long.

Octagon Control: Reyes dictated the pace but started pacing himself more. Jones’s control improved as he began pressuring forward later in the round.

Aggression: Reyes maintained an aggressive approach, though Jones countered better as the round progressed.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Still effective in striking, better accuracy.

Jones: Beginning to adapt but slightly less impactful overall.


Score: 10-9 Reyes


---

Round 3 Analysis:

Striking: This was the closest round. Reyes landed power shots early, but Jones’s volume and efficiency improved, with a notable increase in leg kicks and jabs. He defended better and retaliated with steady strikes, aiming to wear down Reyes.

Grappling: Jones attempted a few takedowns, but Reyes defended well, preventing any significant ground control. Jones’s attempts did shift the momentum slightly.

Octagon Control: Jones started pressuring forward more consistently, showing control and keeping Reyes moving backward at times.

Aggression: Reyes was aggressive but less effective as Jones’s pressure mounted.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Effective early but waned slightly.

Jones: Built momentum, controlled movement, slight edge in effective grappling.


Score: 10-9 Jones (close round)


---

Round 4 Analysis:

Striking: Jones took over with steady pressure, landing more strikes overall. Reyes seemed to slow, and his accuracy dropped, though he landed sporadically with power shots.

Grappling: Jones succeeded in securing a takedown briefly, which likely scored points, though Reyes returned to his feet quickly.

Octagon Control: Jones’s octagon control was evident, as Reyes retreated frequently and seemed to conserve energy.

Aggression: Jones was more aggressive, maintaining a steady pace and pressuring Reyes throughout.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Effective in moments but inconsistent.

Jones: Dominant in control, higher volume, effective pressure.


Score: 10-9 Jones


---

Round 5 Analysis:

Striking: Jones continued his control, landing the higher volume of strikes and pressuring forward. Reyes was fatigued and unable to sustain his initial output, though he defended well and landed counters at times.

Grappling: Jones secured another takedown, which added to his control in the round.

Octagon Control: Clear octagon control by Jones, who kept Reyes on the back foot.

Aggression: Jones maintained forward aggression, a decisive factor as Reyes’s pace slowed considerably.

Stats Summary:

Reyes: Low output, struggled with Jones’s pressure.

Jones: Dominant in striking, grappling attempts, and overall control.


Score: 10-9 Jones


---

Total Scorecard:

Final Score: 48-47 Jon Jones


---

Summary:

According to the UFC’s rules and the data from this fight:

Effective striking and aggression favored Reyes in the early rounds.

Octagon control and consistent pressure by Jones in later rounds shifted the momentum.

Grappling attempts by Jones added control points, especially in Rounds 4 and 5.


This detailed round-by-round analysis reflects an edge for Jon Jones, as his control and pressure in rounds 3, 4, and 5 arguably align more with the UFC’s criteria, as he steadily built momentum and limited Reyes’s effectiveness toward the end. While Reyes clearly had a strong start, Jones’s ability to adapt and take control as the fight wore on gave him an edge in those crucial final rounds, which often carry a lot of weight in the scoring process, specially when there is a round (specifically the third one) that is close enough to the point that Jon Jones edging it out is supported by the criteria.



-------



So what do you think?
No.
 
Another breakdown by an also (actually even more) powerful AI :


**Objective Assessment**

The outcome of the fight between Jon Jones and Dominick Reyes largely depends on the scoring of **Round 3**, as both fighters clearly won two rounds each under the UFC's scoring criteria.

---

### **Rounds Overview**

- **Round 1:** Dominick Reyes
- **Round 2:** Dominick Reyes
- **Round 3:** Extremely close (pivotal round)
- **Round 4:** Jon Jones
- **Round 5:** Jon Jones

---

### **Detailed Analysis of Round 3**

**Statistics:**

- **Significant Strikes:**
- **Jones:** 19 of 33 (57% accuracy)
- **Reyes:** 21 of 59 (35% accuracy)
- **Total Strikes:**
- **Jones:** 19
- **Reyes:** 21
- **Takedowns:**
- Neither fighter attempted a takedown.

**Effective Striking/Grappling:**

- **Volume vs. Accuracy:**
- *Reyes* threw more strikes but landed at a lower percentage.
- *Jones* was more accurate with his strikes.
- **Impact:**
- Neither fighter landed strikes that significantly hurt the other.
- The strikes were relatively equal in impact and damage.

**Effective Aggressiveness:**

- Both fighters had moments of aggression.
- *Jones* began to press forward more consistently.
- *Reyes* showed a slight decrease in activity compared to earlier rounds.

**Fighting Area Control (Octagon Control):**

- *Jones* started to control the center of the Octagon.
- He dictated the pace and positioning more than *Reyes* in this round.

---

### **Scoring Considerations**

**Primary Criterion—Effective Striking/Grappling:**

- The effectiveness of strikes is measured not just by the number landed but also by their impact and efficiency.
- *Reyes* landed slightly more significant strikes.
- *Jones* had higher accuracy and began to land more meaningful strikes.

**Secondary Criteria (if the primary is equal):**

- **Effective Aggressiveness:**
- *Jones* was increasingly aggressive, moving forward and initiating exchanges.
- **Fighting Area Control:**
- *Jones* controlled the center and limited *Reyes*' movement.

---

### **Conclusion on Round 3**

Given the extremely close nature of the round:

- **Edge to Jon Jones:**
- His higher striking accuracy.
- Increased aggression and forward pressure.
- Better Octagon control.
- While *Reyes* landed slightly more strikes, the effectiveness and fight dynamics slightly favor *Jones*.

---

### **Final Scoring**

- **Round 1:** 10-9 *Reyes*
- **Round 2:** 10-9 *Reyes*
- **Round 3:** 10-9 *Jones*
- **Round 4:** 10-9 *Jones*
- **Round 5:** 10-9 *Jones*

**Total Score:**

- **Jon Jones:** 48
- **Dominick Reyes:** 47

---

### **Final Assessment**

Based on an objective analysis of the fight:

- **Jon Jones edged out the victory** due to:

- **Effective Striking:** Higher accuracy and meaningful strikes starting from Round 3.
- **Effective Aggressiveness:** Took control of the fight's tempo in the latter rounds.
- **Fighting Area Control:** Dominated Octagon control in the championship rounds.

- **Dominick Reyes** had a strong start but was unable to maintain the same level of effectiveness in the later rounds.

---

### **Overall Justification**

- The fight was exceptionally close and competitive.
- Under the UFC's scoring criteria, **Jones's performance in Rounds 3 to 5 demonstrated a slight but clear advantage**.
- The decision aligns with the principles of scoring effectiveness, favoring precision, control, and impact over sheer volume when other factors are nearly equal.

---

**Note:** This assessment aims to remain as objective as possible, relying strictly on fight statistics, UFC scoring criteria, and observable fight dynamics without personal bias.
 
I always said Jones won round 3, it was close but Jones edged it out and clearly had 4 & 5

Reyes beating Jones is the worst myth in MMA and any actual educated unbiased fan knows that Jones won
 
The problem is, no level of analysis will convince the stubborn. Even the fact that the fight was judged as a win for Jon doesn't matter, some people would rather hide in their imaginary safe-space than deal with the painful (to them) reality.
 
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Yes. Sure, the fight was close. It could have gone either way. But the fact ppl act as it was a robbery... It seems like they watched a Jamahal Hill vs Glover Teixeira fight with the W going to Glover....... Or like, if Paulo Costa had been given the W vs Sean Strickland... I mean, come on...
 
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