The update for this case is already not great for Trump.
As was predictable, the case now a CIPA case (Classified Information Procedures Act). That means it will be extremely long and costly to the public, not being estimated to begin until 2027. And while Bolton seems to have obviously committed
actus reus for many of these charges, whether he had a guilty mind (
mens rea) is still entirely up in the air. There's no guarantee the prosecution will be able to prove he intentionally broke the law.
The most comparable cases are David Petraeus and Sandy Berger, who both plead guilty to misdemeanors.