International Israel - Iran Conflict: PEACE DEAL CONFIRMED

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Did you read the article? That's a titillating headline, but it doesn't suggest they're already "out".

The figures it cites are consistent with what I recalled off the top of my head from October 2024. Earlier in the thread, I recalled that it was speculated by military onlookers, including non-Israeli sources, that Iran had exhausted 10% of its missile reserves in the October 2024 attack.

I mistakenly thought their initial salvo in October 2024 included 300-400 missiles, and 700 total fired overall, but I threw out some searches, and it appears that was much too high, as most reports at the time indicate it was two salvos including a total of ~200 missiles (Wiki itself cites this figure). My mistake was probably that I was recollecting total "projectiles" as that includes drones, and many reports will cite that number instead of specifically missiles. However, the 10% figure was an accurate recollection.

Because his Yahoo articles puts the total believed stockpile of Iran at 2,000 missiles before this current conflict began (as gauged by the US itself who I think most of the world accepts will pin a better estimate than anyone else outside Iran except perhaps Israel, but I'm sure you wouldn't accept their official estimates).

So the math lines up. The 200 missiles used then would be subtracted from the current estimate, but 200 missiles at the time would have exhausted ~10% of their stockpile (200 of 2,200 overall, let's say).

If they had 2,000 missiles before the current conflict, and they've now used an estimated 160-280 missiles, then they will have exhausted 8%-14% of the total missiles they possess. But, as the article points out, we don't know how many missiles Israel destroyed. They wiped out tons of infrastructure in their first few strikes; this doesn't just include missile depots themselves, but more importantly, facilities Iran requires for the ability to deliver whatever missiles it still possesses.

The article observes a rapidly decelerating rate of volume by Iran in these missile attacks. They wildly missed their pre-planned 1,000 missile reprisal target. It suggests a crippled ability to respond.

What year did the US guesstimate the total missile stockpile Iran has? What year did Iran start sending Russia mass amounts of drones? Nobody has any idea the total stockpile of Irans missiles. To suggest otherwise is complete nonsense. These same think tanks were saying Russia was going to run out of missiles as well.

When will Iran capitulate according to you? If they have already depleted almost 20% of their total stockpile of missiles, it will be soon, yeah? So tell us.
 
What year did the US guesstimate the total missile stockpile Iran has?
The estimate was for right before this current conflict. The was in the article, and repeated by me in my post. Do you have difficulty comprehending what you read?
What year did Iran start sending Russia mass amounts of drones?
How many total drones has Iran sent to Russia?
Nobody has any idea the total stockpile of Irans missiles.
Considering that Israel knew so much that they knew exactly when and in which room of his supposedly impenetrable compound that the leader of Hamas would be staying before they assassinated him...I think they probably have the intelligence to make a reasonable estimate.
To suggest otherwise is complete nonsense. These same think tanks were saying Russia was going to run out of missiles as well.
I call bullshit. Cite me the article where the ISW said Russia was running out of missiles, and what kind. Next, substantiate that Russia continues to use a healthy reserve of those missiles in the Ukrainian conflict.
 
What year did the US guesstimate the total missile stockpile Iran has? What year did Iran start sending Russia mass amounts of drones? Nobody has any idea the total stockpile of Irans missiles. To suggest otherwise is complete nonsense. These same think tanks were saying Russia was going to run out of missiles as well.

When will Iran capitulate according to you? If they have already depleted almost 20% of their total stockpile of missiles, it will be soon, yeah? So tell us.
‘Nobody haa any idea what’s stockpiled’ except you apparently.

You’re a fn moron
 
Call me a cynic, but that's Trump protecting his own ass, not because he's a moral leader, or cares about preventing escalation due to the potential fallout to everyday people in the Middle East.

Agreed.
The shifts in tension between Israel & Trump over the past few weeks are just for the headlines.
Plausible deniability.
Behind the scenes Trump is hooking Israel up with whatever they want, and they don't need US troops on the ground.

Looking like they won't ever need it.


Somewhat off-topic : Ever since the aftermath of Oct7th the Israeli leadership between government, intelligence, and military have made impressive high-IQ moves.

And it makes sense.

Screenshot_20250616-011736.png

Meanwhile, their opposition :

Screenshot_20250616-012246.png

Screenshot_20250616-012406.png

Screenshot_20250616-012446.png

Completely explains @avenue94 in this thread.
 
Maybe , but why say anything and he was left alive . How many top people were killed with great precision, they could have got him too.
Oh, agreed, I actually wondered just yesterday, "Why didn't they get the grand ayo? Is he that uniquely elusive?"

This report answered my question. Israel is smart. They know who butters their bread.
 
I literally have no idea what point you are trying to make by quoting that post and telling me “tit for tat”

And you talk about my basic language skills? Lol. I must be hitting a personal nerve of yours.
Tic for tac? You're a mongo
 
Go find me a news article or even a grok spin documenting an Iranian demonstration against the air attack u illiterate tool

Won’t find one you know why? Because most want this to happen.


Go on
Except far left crazies in the west who want to vent their own personal brand of racism
 


Iranian head of intelligence can be added to the hitlist
 
The estimate was for right before this current conflict. The was in the article, and repeated by me in my post. Do you have difficulty comprehending what you read?

How many total drones has Iran sent to Russia?

Considering that Israel knew so much that they knew exactly when and in which room of his supposedly impenetrable compound that the leader of Hamas would be staying before they assassinated him...I think they probably have the intelligence to make a reasonable estimate.

I call bullshit. Cite me the article where the ISW said Russia was running out of missiles, and what kind. Next, substantiate that Russia continues to use a healthy reserve of those missiles in the Ukrainian conflict.
He clearly hates israel/jews and is desperate for them to lose in a conflict

Ergo everything negative Israeli is believable and everything positive for Iran. Anything positive for Israel is false to him and Anything negative for Iran is clearly false.

That is the only way he assimilates any information
 
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He clearly hates israep/jews and is desperate for them to lose ina conflict

Ergo everything negative Israeli is believable and everything positive for Iran. Anything positive for Israel is false to him and Anything negative for Iran is clearly false.

That is the only way he assimilates any information
He knows Iran wouldn’t use nukes, we all could trust them .
 
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