Agreed, and honestly Glover has very specific weapons with his boxing that hes VERY good at but hes not diverse at all. Cross counter and left hook, if you watch Glover he relies on those two things A LOT. But I just can't get behind Rumble at these odds. Glover is tough as shit, has better cardio, might be able to score tds after round 1. He definitely has paths to victory that warrant the lines to be tighter.
then why not live bet Glover after the first if that happens? I think there's very little chance that Glover wins the fight in the first round so imo your u1.5 bet is basically a Rumble u1.5 bet, which is a lot cheaper than Rumble SU, so there's that, but I'd rather just throw a bet on Rumble wins in round 1 or rumble itd (idk what the lines on those would be but im just speculating that they'd be pretty close or better than the under)
Yeah i'd prob guess the round 1 bet would be around +150 like you said. But i still dont think its likely at all that Glover wins the fight early; Johnson has never had issues w his chin and is an absolute juggernaut when he's fresh. He's gonna have a significant speed advantage too so i think a Glover takedown isn't gonna come early. Not sure how I'm gonna bet it but I'm def not opposed to playing Rumble SU if it drops back down to the -220 range
Think he'll be a slight favorite but i'm with you, I plan on playing him
I feel like you're thinking of Natal, but if i'm not mistaken there wasn't much wrestling. They had a staring contest where Natal landed a few more strikes than Hall leading to a decision.
Yeah that fight was when i'd bet leisurely before posting in this section, and I fucking hammered Hall. Needless to say it almost made me want to never bet again lol incredibly frustrating to watch
Man, I like Brunson and I can understand taking a shot with him at + money. But Hall could EASILY exploit his biggest weakness, which is keeping his chin high as the sky when he comes in with those bull rushes. Hall is best countering, and is definitely fleet footed enough to angle off and touch Brunson's chin when he goes into beast mode like he always does now lol. On a confidence increasing note, when Werdum lost to Stipe, Brunson posted something on social media along the lines of 'Werdum reminded me how important it is to fix that hole in my game' lol
I agree, it's a gift. I've gone 5 units deep on Condit straight before his line gets smashed and he goes around -170 minimum. I will also play rounds 3, 4 and 5 small too.
Holy shit this changes everything.
