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- Nov 8, 2009
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Islam vs Morales - Morales is 19-0 (7-0 UFC) and is red hot. Now is the perfect time to give him a title shot. He finished his last 3 fights all via tko and just seems like he's peaking. I would favor Islam, but Morales has more than earned his shot. With his striking, height and reach, he has a real chance at catching Islam on the feet. Do it now. Maybe they can get it done before ramadan. But this is the fight they need to make to capitalize on Morales' momentum.
Shavkat vs Prates - Shavkat is the rightful #1 contender having earned a title shot TWICE now (without actually having been given the shots). But he's been out for a year with injury (more than a year by the time he fights again) and ring rust is a real thing. I wouldn't want to put him in with the toughest matchup in the division for his first fight back. So give him an easier, yet still tough, first fight back. And if he wins, then finally give him his long awaited title shot. Prates is 13-1 in his last 14 (6-1 UFC) and could be close to a title shot himself with a win over Shavkat. I would favor Shavkat, but it's not a gimme.
Garry vs JDM - Ian Machado Garry is 17-1 (10-1 UFC) and right on the cusp of getting his own shot. He could be next up, but I don't think he should be. Morales is the one right now, and if Shavkat can get in there and get another win, then he should follow. Which would put Garry potentially 3rd in line. So what better than to put him against the former champion who just lost the belt but was coming off 10 years undefeated. Garry needs a win to get a title shot. JDM needs a win to get back to the title. Both guys' last win was against Belal. Both guys are solid. Both guys are dangerous. It's a great fight. I'm not sure who I'd favor in this one. Maybe Garry, but it wouldn't be by much.
Brady vs Usman - Brady just lost and Marty is 1-3 in this last 4. Neither of them should be anywhere near a title shot, and both guys NEED to win to stay relevant. I would favor Usman but I think it's a fun fight. Both needing a win makes it interesting. I know there's talk of Usman maybe fighting Islam next, but I don't really see that happening. It would be crazy if it did as Usman doesn't deserve it. So fight Brady instead, either right before ramadan or right after. Get an impressive win and then maybe realistic talk of the title can come.
Shavkat vs Prates - Shavkat is the rightful #1 contender having earned a title shot TWICE now (without actually having been given the shots). But he's been out for a year with injury (more than a year by the time he fights again) and ring rust is a real thing. I wouldn't want to put him in with the toughest matchup in the division for his first fight back. So give him an easier, yet still tough, first fight back. And if he wins, then finally give him his long awaited title shot. Prates is 13-1 in his last 14 (6-1 UFC) and could be close to a title shot himself with a win over Shavkat. I would favor Shavkat, but it's not a gimme.
Garry vs JDM - Ian Machado Garry is 17-1 (10-1 UFC) and right on the cusp of getting his own shot. He could be next up, but I don't think he should be. Morales is the one right now, and if Shavkat can get in there and get another win, then he should follow. Which would put Garry potentially 3rd in line. So what better than to put him against the former champion who just lost the belt but was coming off 10 years undefeated. Garry needs a win to get a title shot. JDM needs a win to get back to the title. Both guys' last win was against Belal. Both guys are solid. Both guys are dangerous. It's a great fight. I'm not sure who I'd favor in this one. Maybe Garry, but it wouldn't be by much.
Brady vs Usman - Brady just lost and Marty is 1-3 in this last 4. Neither of them should be anywhere near a title shot, and both guys NEED to win to stay relevant. I would favor Usman but I think it's a fun fight. Both needing a win makes it interesting. I know there's talk of Usman maybe fighting Islam next, but I don't really see that happening. It would be crazy if it did as Usman doesn't deserve it. So fight Brady instead, either right before ramadan or right after. Get an impressive win and then maybe realistic talk of the title can come.

