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That really sums up the hundreds of threads about that fight actually.One of the trickier match ups to predict due to all the contrasting factors.
Jones:
(-) Exhibited visible decline in his last fights, plus 3 years off and heavier body to carry around for the first time.
(-) Terrible lifestyle that surely adds to his already very long mileage.
(-) Hasn't managed to impose an offensive wrestling game plan since Gus 2 (picco saga).
(+) His wrestling credentials along with his experience and ring craft would nullify ALL of the above and lead him to an easy victory, IF his body would allow for it. We don't know.
Gane:
(+) Is really slick and cerebral on the feet and has shown he can turn it up for the TKO recently.
(+) A genetic freak with great attributes and very low mileage, surely a champ sometime down the line.
(-) Got taken (and held) down repeatedly by Ngannou, who learned offensive wrestling via youtube tutorials while he was getting his hands wrapped backstage.
I threw 5 bucks on Gane via stoppage, just because it offered great odds and I could multiply it with some "safe" soccer matches into a good parlay, but I don't have delusions of knowing how this will turn out.
I can see it happening though, if Jones gets overwhelmed standing up and becomes predictable in his wrestling attempts.
Really amped to watch.