Excuses will be invalid when Gane dominates Jones

Prime Jones would crush Gane. If he doesn’t, it’s a loss to Father Time only. Jones is a really bad style matchup for a guy with low power, no grappling and low fight IQ. He may be able to piece sloppy brawlers up on the feet but the threat of the takedown will neutralize most of his striking and he’ll likely spend a long time back to the cage or on his back on the ground.
Bump.
I told u a giy who got our grapples by N’Gannou would get subbed.
 
Prime Jones would crush Gane. If he doesn’t, it’s a loss to Father Time only. Jones is a really bad style matchup for a guy with low power, no grappling and low fight IQ. He may be able to piece sloppy brawlers up on the feet but the threat of the takedown will neutralize most of his striking and he’ll likely spend a long time back to the cage or on his back on the ground.
Told you.

Pillow fisted, rookie kick boxers cannot beat elite grapplers.
 
Jones is a 4/6 favourite to beat Gane.

Jones and Gane both know that if anyone gets favourable treatment from the officials it will be Jones because Jones is the American fighter, the much bigger name commercially and the UFC wants to avoid a “crisis of legitimacy” post-Ngannou.

A narcissist like Jones wouldn't be taking this fight if he didn't believe he was at or close to his best, he knows that Gane is a serious operator. Jones hasn't got a paycheck-chasing journeyman's mentality, nor is he the kind of fighter who is happy to blemish his record for the love of the sport and he seems to have a keen awareness of his limitations.

Jones' performances against Santos and Reyes were lacklustre but he'd been lineal UFC LHW champion since 2011 and was relatively unmotivated fighting guys he was massively favoured to beat. We'll see a much more motivated Jones against Gane.

Jones no longer has to cut weight, which was draining him to some degree and worsening his performances, especially as he got older.

Jones will be very similar to Gane in weight and is virtually the same height, with a 3.5 inch reach advantage.

There is no Jones footage to study at HW and no Jones footage to study in the last 3 years.

Jones has a massive experience advantage over Gane (15-0 vs 0-1 in title fights) and he's 35 (in the oldest prime age division), not 40+.

If Gane beats Jones it's because he's better than Jones, not because Jones has slipped.


Was a great fight.
 
"You're ASSUMING otherwise, based on..... absolutely nothing, at all"

I've already answered this point multiple times so I'll do it one final time. Jones isn't a paycheck chasing journeyman, doesn't love the sport to the point where he's willing to take losses way past prime and has a keen awareness of his limitations. He most likely wouldn't be fighting a guy like Gane if he had slipped significantly. Perhaps Jones comes out as a walking corpse and gets KO'd in a round. But if he gets schooled over 5 over even stopped late, I don't see that as being good evidence that he's slipped badly. But that will be the inevitable excuse. And as I made clear at the start of the thread, Jones objectively has big advantages here, including the favour of the officials as the much bigger name, the American fighter and the more "legitimate" champion (as Ngannou beat Gane).

"Ali destroyed Cooper"

I consider Liston-Patterson 1 and 2 "destructions" but we have very different understandings of the term, clearly.

It's ridiculous to say that Ali "destroyed" 186 pounder Cooper if Ali effectively got KO'd and needed illegal cornerwork to win. Dundee gave Ali smelling salts and tore one of his gloves. The fight was a farce and with proper officiating would have resulted in a DQ win for Cooper.

"because Ali never fought against southpaws"

Ali also lost to two southpaws in the amateurs and one of them KO'd him. It was a huge weakness for heavies in those days but few southpaws were around to expose it, and no top class ones. Those skills just weren't taught back then. Put 1966 Ali in with an elite southpaw and I think he gets outboxed or KO'd.

"while seemingly oblivious to the fact that Liston rubbed ointment in Ali's eyes"

Liston outlanded Ali in rounds 2 and 3, not just round 5. It's true that round 5 did distort the stats but again, heavyweights were able to land plenty on Ali. If he was as fast or skilled as fans like you make out he wouldn't have been hit nearly as much as he was by these small Euro level guys and fringe contenders from the 60's.

"reliance on CompuBox"

Compubox isn't perfect but at least it's presumably neutral on this issue. Being American if anything you'd expect it to paint a very positive picture of Ali but it doesn't. Ali-Mildenberger in 1966 was 154-144 in landed punches according to Compubox. A blogger counted punches for a litany of heavyweight fights and found that (in his view) Compubox generally inflates the number of punches that land, sometimes massively. Perhaps it does but it's still a decent rule of thumb unless you're willing to go back and review every fight in 0.25 speed.

Throw that Ali in with prime Frazier or prime Norton and I think he probably loses, just as he actually lost to them in their first meetings (despite being more mature, experienced and durable than the 60's version) and needed A-side officiating in others.

"reputable sports writers"

You're not going to find many American boxing writers exposing myths around Ali, they're obviously going to defend him to the hilt. Thomas Hauser was also a friend and biographer(!) of Ali's, hardly objective.
 
Gane got thrown out and outgrappled by a brawler on one leg with zero grappling background - Jones has shown some of the best overall MMA grappling in the sport. He’s also a 250 pound man who’s been training for a long time for this move. It’s foolish to discredit the giant grappling gap.

The only way Jones loses this is due to Father Time or some doping violation. A fully picoed Jones in his prime would grapple fuck Gane and cave his skull in with elbows.
Haha cope Jones haters, I told u so.
 
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