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Thanks man, took some time.
I could imagine. Keep up the good work. You and I have the same kind of mentality.
Thanks man, took some time.
Indeed, past threads touching on the subjectYour numbers are incorrect:
As of 2017, 24,1% of the Swedish citizens have a foreign background. Foreign background means born outside of Sweden or that you have two foreign born parents.
The source is: Statistics Sweden
– a government agency that brings official statistics to the public
https://www.scb.se/hitta-statistik/.../folkmangd-och-befolkningsforandringar-20172/
Another important measure is the percentage of people in the age group that can repopulate:
* As of 2016, 31,9% of the people between 0-44 years old were of a foreign background.
You are also cherry picking stats, the number of asylum seekers have declined but family immigration is increasing. You are also omitting a fact that in 2003, the government changed the definition of foreign background. A person born to a person from Sweden and a person from a foreign country are classified as of Swedish background, which in turn made a 500,000 people change category.
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A publicly employed and left-leaning Swedish researcher named Tobias Hubinette states that:
In 2028:
33% of all children in Sweden will be born of a mother from a foreign country.
20% of all children in Sweden will be born of a mother that is a second generation immigrant or of mixed background.
30-33% of the people in the age span of 25-64 will be of foreign background.
20% of the people in the same age span will be second generation of immigrants.
https://tobiashubinette.wordpress.com/2018/04/28/det-nya-sverige-usa-demografi-mangfald/ <= In Swedish
"It emerged that in 2002, 85% of those sentenced to at least two years in prison for rape in Svea Hovrätt, a court of appeals, were foreign born or second-generation immigrants.
A 1996 report by the Swedish National Council for Crime Prevention reached the conclusion that immigrants from North Africa (Algeria, Libya, Morocco and Tunisia) were 23 times as likely to commit rape as Swedish men. The figures for men from Iraq, Bulgaria and Romania were, respectively, 20, 18 and 18. Men from the rest of Africa were 16 times more prone to commit rape; and men from Iran, Peru, Ecuador and Bolivia, 10 times as prone as Swedish men."
Forty years after the Swedish parliament unanimously decided to change the formerly homogenous Sweden into a multicultural country, violent crime has increased by 300% and rapes by 1,472%. Sweden is now number two on the list of rape countries, surpassed only by Lesotho in Southern Africa.
Significantly, the report does not touch on the background of the rapists. One should, however, keep in mind that in statistics, second-generation immigrants are counted as Swedes.
In an astounding number of cases, the Swedish courts have demonstrated sympathy for the rapists, and have acquitted suspects who have claimed that the girl wanted to have sex with six, seven or eight men.
The internet radio station Granskning Sverige called the mainstream newspapers Aftonbladet and Expressen to ask why they had described the perpetrators as "Swedish men" when they actually were Somalis without Swedish citizenship. They were hugely offended when asked if they felt any responsibility to warn Swedish women to stay away from certain men. One journalist asked why that should be their responsibility.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/5195/sweden-rape
According to a study made by BRÅ (The Swedish National Council for Crime Prevention (Brottsförebyggande rådet - Brå) - an agency under the for research and development within the judicial system.) With an adjustment for socio-economy, the overrepresentation decreased from a factor of 2.5 to 2.1 (approximately 20%).
https://www.bra.se/download/18.cba8...bland_personer_fodda_sverige_och_utlandet.pdf <- There is an English summary at the end.
So being poor just doesn't cut it as an explanation for overrepresentation in crime statistics. When it comes to violent crimes and rape, certain groups are extremely overrepresented in the crime statistics while other immigrant groups are on the same level as ethnic Swedes or even lower.
* Immigrants from Africa are overrepresented in crimes up to 430%.
It’s not only Germany that covers up mass sex attacks by migrant men...
https://www.spectator.com.au/2016/0...ks-by-migrant-men-swedens-record-is-shameful/
I also said Sweden and neither are upfront about anything related to crime and immigration problems. Why would they be? It wouldn't be in their interest to contradict their policies, especially if they're seen as failing (over-representation in crimes, high unemployment).
Police officer charged with “racial agitation” for saying they under-report migrant crimes. Granted those are both Sweden but I do recall some from Germany if I could find them. Germany's Cologne attacks and how they downplayed it. Stockholm was famous for not only the sex attacks but police accused of playing down mass sexual assaults on teens and not doing anything and that was after Cologne.
Germany Must Come to Terms With Refugee Crime
https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-01-03/germany-must-come-to-terms-with-refugee-crime
Anti-immigrant parties have long linked Muslim immigration to crime, but verifiable data to support their arguments have been scarce, not least because police services and statistical agencies have been reluctant to track this aspect of criminality so as not to increase tension in societies.
.The state police -- in keeping with the unspoken taboo -- hadn't published such statistics
Be specific. What's wrong? Ethnicity, religion, something else? You qouted more than a few things. In regards to ethnicity, I sourced scb and official Swedish statistics. In your article:Your numbers are incorrect:
As of 2017, 24,1% of the Swedish citizens have a foreign background. Foreign background means born outside of Sweden or that you have two foreign born parents.
The source is: Statistics Sweden
– a government agency that brings official statistics to the public
https://www.scb.se/hitta-statistik/.../folkmangd-och-befolkningsforandringar-20172/
Another important measure is the percentage of people in the age group that can repopulate:
* As of 2016, 31,9% of the people between 0-44 years old were of a foreign background.
You are also cherry picking stats, the number of asylum seekers have declined but family immigration is increasing. You are also omitting a fact that in 2003, the government changed the definition of foreign background. A person born to a person from Sweden and a person from a foreign country are classified as of Swedish background, which in turn made a 500,000 people change category.
So? What's your point? That the demographics is changing? It is, no one has said otherwise.A publicly employed and left-leaning Swedish researcher named Tobias Hubinette states that:
In 2028:
33% of all children in Sweden will be born of a mother from a foreign country.
20% of all children in Sweden will be born of a mother that is a second generation immigrant or of mixed background.
30-33% of the people in the age span of 25-64 will be of foreign background.
20% of the people in the same age span will be second generation of immigrants.
https://tobiashubinette.wordpress.com/2018/04/28/det-nya-sverige-usa-demografi-mangfald/ <= In Swedish
Complete horseshit most of those. Only legitimate one is @Son of Jamin 's with the foreign born being overrepresentated in the crime stats, even adjusting for socioeconomic status and age, at about a 2,1 - 2,5 crimeindex. Which is a real issue.Indeed, past threads touching on the subject
http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/u...station-what-happened.3486567/#post-127952983
Rape rates before the migrant crisis, non-whites still over represented:
http://forums.sherdog.com/posts/128564487/
Being poor just doesn't cut it as an explanation for overrepresentation in crime statistics.
http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/w...ws-rape-threads.3499293/page-2#post-128575011
And these stats are considering data manipulation, hiding and censorship.
well you like to be detailed. Go through them and prove them wrong.Complete horseshit most of those. Only legitimate one is @Son of Jamin 's with the foreign born being overrepresentated in the crime stats, even adjusting for socioeconomic status and age, at about a 2,1 - 2,5 crimeindex. Which is a real issue.
Like all the numbers I've gone through in this thread that you dismiss off hand and in the other thread about German crime rates, EVERYTHING from official statistics and everything laid out being as transparent as possible.well you like to be detailed. Go through them and prove them wrong.
Once again, it's just your own "research", you treat as gospel and no leftist sources (or otherwise) attack the links I post. Just your own "findings".rape convictions are down 21% from 2007 to 2016.
The crime rate among migrants in Germany rose by more than 50 per cent last year,
More than 90 percent of the increase (not of total violent crimes) was said to be attributable to migrants.
How is it my own findings when I take every single number from official statistics and source them?Once again, it's just your own "research", you treat as gospel and no leftist sources (or otherwise) attack the links I post. Just your own "findings".
Violent crime for immigrants rises to astronomical levels in 2016:
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/20...e-germany-rises-50-per-cent-new-figures-show/
http://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/05/23/germany-registers-surge-crimes-right-wing-radicals/
http://www.dw.com/en/german-study-links-increased-crime-rate-to-migrant-arrivals/a-42006484
It means that at the end of 2017, there were 1,064,041 Swedish citizens that were born in another country.Be specific. What's wrong? Ethnicity, religion, something else? You qouted more than a few things. In regards to ethnicity, I sourced scb and official Swedish statistics. In your article:
"Vid utgången av 2017 var 1 064 041 utrikesfödda svenska medborgare folkbokförda i Sverige." translated for the people who don't read Swedish: "At the end of 2017, 1.064.041 foreign born citizens were registered in Sweden". Can you explain what this means?
At a first glance, it would rightly mean that the population is 75,9% ethnic Swede but since they changed the definition back in 2003, that if one of your parents are Swedish, then you are of Swedish background, that number would be even lower if we are going strictly at this thread's headline "ethnicity". If you add third generation immigrants as well, then that number would decrease further.If you look at the source I provided from sbc in the reference list: https://www.scb.se/hitta-statistik/...statistik--riket/folkmangd-efter-fodelseland/
You see that in 2017, "samtliga utrikesfodda", meaning again for the non Swedish readers: "All foreign born" was
1.877.050. Anyway, 1.877.050 / 10.120.242 * 100 is 18,5% foreign born. If you include second generation, per your article, it's 24,1% foreign background. So 75,9% ethnic Swedish by that definition. I was not aware of the distinction not being made because in Denmark we include second generation in our foreign born statistics. Thanks, I will edit the OP.
I'm tired at work so I'm not really following your train of thought?The Sweden numbers includes all ethnicites btw, and about 40% of foreign born are from Europe.
With that in mind, if you look at the excell again, you see that 207.886 are foreign born African, which is 2% of the population. If we add the same increase as the as a relative percentage, which is 24% as an average (24,1% is 24% more than 18,5%), then there's a 2,5% foreign background Africans (including second generation). If we add ALL The Middle East and related Asian countries, meaning: Afghanistan 43.991, Irak 140.830, Iran 74.096, Israel 2.680, Yemen 2.191, Pakistan 13.970, Palestine 7.365, Qatar 265, Syrien 172.258, Kuwait 3.314, United Arabi 2.913, Libanon, 27.487, Jordan 4.502 we get 481.360 foreign born. We get 4,7% of the population. Add in the second generation and it's 5,8%. So African and Middle Eastern foreign born including second generation is 8,3% of the Swedish population.
My point with "cherry picking" was that if someone omits the effects and numbers of family reunion to paint a picture that immigration is decreasing, it leaves out valuable information.I don't think you know what cherry picking means. Using the working definitions from in the last two decades is not cherry picking. All countries have slightly different ways to measure these things.
Do you know what the official projections for immigration to Sweden are the coming years? According to the government, the Swedish population will increase with 800,000 people in the next 8 years. 80% of the increase is linked to immigration.Yes familiy reunions matters. They will definitely increase in the next few years as a lag behind the Syria crisis. A war and crisis that was the biggest in our time btw. However, when looking at projections this matters more:
![]()
The number of asylum seekers are back to pre war states. That's important.
My initial point was that your "fact" that 81% of Sweden's population is ethnic Swede was wrong, which is a point you respectfully conceded.So? What's your point? That the demographics is changing? It is, no one has said otherwise.
This thread is about the muslims percentage in EU and projections. He doesn't cover that. You're conflating immigrants, foreign born, foreign background with muslims. I'd like to see his sources. Not that I don't agree, I'd just like to see what he based his projections on, it's an interesting subject.
Mainly this thread was to show people saying that "Muslims are the majority or will be in a generation" is absolutely false.
The total German crime was a thread before and doesn't mitigate migrant crimes and rape rates.How is it my own findings when I take every single number from official statistics and source them?
The reason why the total crime rates rose in Germany during 2015-2016 (it's now back down) was because this included "crimes against foreigners laws" meaning violations of asylum laws and anyone stopped in Germany would be registered in the crime statistics. This is public knowledge.
Total crime rate is the lowest in 30 years, although individual crimes vary: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/...ion-antisemitism-horst-seehofer-a8343226.html
An uptick in 10% violent crime from 2015-2016, during the height of the biggest refugee crisis in our time is far from astronomical. Consider this as well which was just after the qoute you put in from the article:
"The study's authors claimed that part of the increase was due to the fact that violent crimes committed by migrants were twice as likely to be reported compared to those committed by German nationals"
It's also still lower than it was 10 years ago AND it has come down again:
![]()
No, these are not my own stats. They are taken directly from the official German crime statistics:
https://www.bka.de/EN/CurrentInform...F431F1FBFA370D7D1EC5D005C63.live0611?nn=39580
You don't even read any of the things you post. You just gish gallop google searched articles (breitbart gtfo) and then hope something sticks. I have used hour and hours looking through all the figures. If you want an honest conversation why don't you actually read the crime reports and stats at the primary sources?
That 1.064.041 number just doesn't add up to the 1.877.050 in the database, which is why I found it strange. Maybe 800.000 are not citizens, but still residents?It means that at the end of 2017, there were 1,064,041 Swedish citizens that were born in another country.
It basically boils down to what constitutes that you are of foreign background:
1) You are born outside of Sweden
2) You are born in Sweden to two parents from a foreign background.
At a first glance, it would rightly mean that the population is 75,9% ethnic Swede but since they changed the definition back in 2003, that if one of your parents are Swedish, then you are of Swedish background, that number would be even lower if we are going strictly at this thread's headline "ethnicity". If you add third generation immigrants as well, then that number would decrease further.
I'm tired at work so I'm not really following your train of thought?
Do you mean the number of people from Muslim backgrounds?
My point with "cherry picking" was that if someone omits the effects and numbers of family reunion to paint a picture that immigration is decreasing, it leaves out valuable information.
The official projection for family reunions:
2018 – 44.000
2019 – 55.000
2020 – 41.000
2021 – 41.000
Those numbers are historically record numbers. The socialists in Sweden closed the borders in the 90's because Sweden couldn't accommodate so many and at that time, it was around 30,000 people coming annualy due to the civil war in the former Yugoslavia.
Do you know what the official projections for immigration to Sweden are the coming years? According to the government, the Swedish population will increase with 800,000 people in the next 8 years. 80% of the increase is linked to immigration.
My initial point was that your "fact" that 81% of Sweden's population is ethnic Swede was wrong, which is a point you respectfully conceded.
I'm not conflating immigrants with Muslims, I didn't even write the word Muslim in my previous post.
uppercutbusJust out of curiousity @Sano , which poster whom I have on ignore, is giving you a headache? Don’t use the @ cause then I can’t see.
The links I provided were specific to migrant crimes. You then talked about total German crime, which I also addressed anyway since that topic is concluded elsewhere. You didn't debunk anything.How is it my own findings when I take every single number from official statistics and source them?
Good question, I have to check it out further.That 1.064.041 number just doesn't add up to the 1.877.050 in the database, which is why I found it strange. Maybe 800.000 are not citizens, but still residents?
Valid point!Well, if we're going down the road by one parent being an immigrant (can be alle countries btw, including scandinavia and EU) and then three generations down then the distinction between what being ethnic something or not is, completely disappears. I get your point, to an extent, but we have to work with the definitions set when trying to compare and contrast countries.
Ok, now I follow you!No, I wasn't talking about Muslims. The 8,3% with African and Middle Eastern foreign background (with 2nd generation included) is just what was calculated to be the population percentage. Muslims are about 6-8% of the population depending on the source.
Absolutely but I try to put it in a historical context. 2014-2016 had of course the highest recorded numbers of asylum seekers but the numbers of granted citizenship and family reunions from then on are still historical highs.I understand your point. Family reunions are important to consider, but I consider them part of the projections in the Pew Research data which was what the OP was based on. On your point to immigration being down, it is from the height of the crisis which was the most important because the projections were based on numbers at the height of the crisis. A reduction of 130.000 asylum seekers from 2015-2016 is larger than the increase in familiy reunions.
For me, ethnicity is of no importance but it's all about creating a stable, safe and harmonious society. That rarely works with a influx of immigrants from cultures that are less tolerant so to speak or people that are lowly skilled that will forever be a financial burden for their new home country.There is no doubt the population will change. How do you feel about that?
I know you didn't mention muslims, but I just found the way you formulated your objections a bit volatile in the context of this thread. I thank you for the correction though.
That 1.064.041 number just doesn't add up to the 1.877.050 in the database, which is why I found it strange. Maybe 800.000 are not citizens, but still residents?
Well, if we're going down the road by one parent being an immigrant (can be alle countries btw, including scandinavia and EU) and then three generations down then the distinction between what being ethnic something or not is, completely disappears. I get your point, to an extent, but we have to work with the definitions set when trying to compare and contrast countries.
No, I wasn't talking about Muslims. The 8,3% with African and Middle Eastern foreign background (with 2nd generation included) is just what was calculated to be the population percentage. Muslims are about 6-8% of the population depending on the source.
I understand your point. Family reunions are important to consider, but I consider them part of the projections in the Pew Research data which was what the OP was based on. On your point to immigration being down, it is from the height of the crisis which was the most important because the projections were based on numbers at the height of the crisis. A reduction of 130.000 asylum seekers from 2015-2016 is larger than the increase in familiy reunions.
There is no doubt the population will change. How do you feel about that?
I know you didn't mention muslims, but I just found the way you formulated your objections a bit volatile in the context of this thread. I thank you for the correction though.
You're a master at not answering questions. Through our conversations I've asked you many while you completely derail, google search, post claim that is not true or out of context, and so on. FINALLY now I've got you dragged down to at least talking within the realms of reality.The total German crime was a thread before and doesn't mitigate migrant crimes and rape rates.
German crime goes down 10%
http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/g...cking-new-development.3751993/#post-140576789
It's a strange way to spin a decrease crimes from a peak as "a good thing" to support open borders and refugee-welcome policies. It's like injuring yourself then applauding the healing process. "See crime went down - let more in".
It's not a victory for open border policies Migrants are still over represented. Also as links shown before, migrant rape rates were over represented in Sweden even before the migrant "crisis". You didn't debunk any of my links showing an increase of migrant crimes. "Crime stats go down over time so it's ok" is not a valid rebuttal or justification to let more in or to have such a policy in the first place.
I agree with you on many points. The side that says that "there's no problem at all and everything is rosy" are deluding themselves, the other side (represented here on the WR) that say "Europe is rampant with muslims who are terorrist rapist and murderes" are also delusional. The truth lies somewhere in the middle, but the reason why I argue against the misinformation here is because it is very dangerous. It fosters extremism, demonising entire ethnicities and making them sub-human. That is directly taken out of the fanatics 101 playbook, and the results we've seen through history. Islamic fanatics use it, Neo-nazis use it, facists use it.Good question, I have to check it out further.
Valid point!
Ok, now I follow you!
Absolutely but I try to put it in a historical context. 2014-2016 had of course the highest recorded numbers of asylum seekers but the numbers of granted citizenship and family reunions from then on are still historical highs.
For me, ethnicity is of no importance but it's all about creating a stable, safe and harmonious society. That rarely works with a influx of immigrants from cultures that are less tolerant so to speak or people that are lowly skilled that will forever be a financial burden for their new home country.
But at the end of the day, it's not immigrants fault. The majority of them just want a better life for themselves and their families and who can blame them for that?! The people at fault is the politicians and the media that is hiding the true cost for this multicultural experiment that began in 1975, both when it comes to the financial burden but also when it comes to crime and slowly dismantling the welfare state.
Some might also think that changing the demographics of a country so that the former majority will become a minority despite being the main breadwinner for all is immoral...I wouldn't personally object if the people that come creates wealth and a positive development but that is far from the case.
That's a small number to be raping 1500 underage girls.
I would guess the numbers are a little off, but I could be wrong. I'm sometimes wrong. A lot of major European cities (at least) look a lot closer to half and half.
We are more diverse that that here is SE Michigan, but this is a weird area, I guess. Nobody cares.
Where did you get those rape numbers? There was a total of 843 rape, including attempted rape, convictions in Sweden in the last 5 years. 337 of those involved African/Asian/Middle Eastern perpetrators. I'll go through the rape numbers later this weekend. Frankly I'm getting a little stressed looking going through all these numbers so I might take a break for a while after.Do America and Europe use commas and periods in the opposite, regarding math?
I see "75,9%, for a total of 1.437.391 etc... Seems confusing lol.