You're fundamentally incorrect. The shit he's saying is great for his polls and terrible for business and yet he keeps doubling down. If you think blasting immigrants and veterans is good for business than why does every other business, executive,spokesman, etc avoid it at all cost? Why do corporations immediately cut ties with anyone accused of racism? Why do sponsors bail on talk show hosts accused of anything controversial?
He could have done a fake run without saying such damaging shit.
And people worth serveral billion dollars do not make their living giving speeches. The 20 or so he could do in a year is chump change to a guy making 300million a year plus.
Il take the bet that he wont pull out if he's ahead. Now that doesn't mean ahead in one obscure poll in one state..,talking consensus in the lead.
What kind of horseshit is that? He won't pull out unless he's losing? Way to put yourself out on a limb there.
He can't be ahead or behind until the Iowa Caucus. That is the first moment in time an actual vote is cast. Everything up to that point is conjecture and speculation. I am telling you he will be out of the race
before vote 1 is cast.
He's either out by the Iowa caucus or he isn't. Take the bet or move along. I have the feeling you know deep down he is not serious about running. But you are too far into this now and you can't bring yourself to back track.
You say the man is serious about running. And he is leading in the Republican polls by a large margin. If you had
ANY belief in the man, you would take this bet. But you know full well he is a carnival side show. Everyone with a lick of sense knows.
And you are wrong about his rantings being good for him in the polls. What you are not seeing, and the media is not reporting, is the negative polling results. Trumps negative poll numbers are
extremely revealing. Even though he is leading in the polls right now, his favorable-to-unfavorable ratio is the lowest of all the major candidates. By far. In fact his negative ratings (the % of Republicans that
don't like him) are more than twice as high as any other major candidate. Trump also has by far the highest 'Would never vote for' rating of any major candidate. Over 30%.
He
may be able to eek out another point or 2 in polling over the next month or so. But that's it. He's pretty much peaked. And he has absolutely nowhere to go but down, because almost everyone that has not picked him as their favorite in the polls would really like to punch him in the face.
You are also wrong about his word vomit being that bad for his business. Trump has a long, LONG history of using his mouth and wealth to get attention, then harness that attention to get wealth.
The outrageous shit he is saying now does not even make the top 10 in outrageous Trump sayings.
"That must be a pretty picture, you dropping to your knees."-Referring to playmate Brandi Roderick on the apprectice, when she was begging to stay on the show.
"You know, it doesn't matter what the media writes as long as you've got a young and beautiful piece of ass." Esquire interview 1991.
And who can forget his lovely 2013 tweet about women in the military- '
26,000 unreported sexual assults in the military-only 238 convictions. What did these geniuses expect when they put men & women together?'
None of this had a major impact on his business. Because most of his money is in properties and rent collections. The Apprentice and the rest of it are just attention grabbing side lines to gain publicity.
Trumps lead in the polls will start trickling down in a couple months. Perhaps even a little sooner. And as the Iowa Caucus approaches he will end up neck and neck with someone. Before the caucus happens he will pull out of the race.
In the past he has pulled out of the race while still maintaining a small lead in at least some polls. Because he loves to talk about how he could have won, and was in fact leading in the polls before he chose not to run. I expect nothing less of him this time.
Mark my words- Out before Iowa Caucus.