Created a MMA fight Picker GPT

[Hank Grill]

I ask deepseek and it just tells me the closest to the chairman will win

 

[DrRodentia]

Ok with this fight card I basically did the same as last. Use generic chatgpt (with search and reasoning selected).

https://www.tapology.com/ue/120487-4669890.png

This time the model seemed way more confident with labeling maybe fight high confidence. see below. Ussaly never see % in the 90's

Jared Cannonier vs. Gregory Rodrigues
Winner: Gregory Rodrigues
Round: 5
Via: Decision
Confidence: 72%


Calvin Kattar vs. Youssef Zalal
Winner: Youssef Zalal
Round: 1
Via: TKO
Confidence: 83%

Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Dylan Budka
Winner: Edmen Shahbazyan
Round: 2
Via: TKO
Confidence: 95%

Ismael Bonfim vs. Nazim Sadykhov
Winner: Ismael Bonfim
Round: 2
Via: TKO
Confidence: 66%

Rodolfo Vieira vs. Andre Petroski
Winner: Rodolfo Vieira
Round: 2
Via: Submission
Confidence: 84%

Jose Delgado vs. Connor Matthews
Winner: Jose Delgado
Round: 2
Via: TKO
Confidence: 93%

Angela Hill vs. Ketlen Souza
Winner: Ketlen Souza
Round: 3
Via: Decision
Confidence: 59%

Jared Gordon vs. Mashrabjon Ruziboev
Winner: Jared Gordon
Round: 2
Via: TKO
Confidence: 71%

Rafael Estevam vs. Jesus Aguilar
Winner: Rafael Estevam
Round: 1
Via: TKO
Confidence: 83%

Gabriel Bonfim vs. Khaos Williams
Winner: Gabriel Bonfim
Round: 3
Via: Decision
Confidence: 58%

Vince Morales vs. Elijah Smith
Winner: Elijah Smith
Round: 2
Via: TKO
Confidence: 81%

Valter Walker vs. Don'Tale Mayes
Winner: Valter Walker
Round: 1
Via: TKO
Confidence: 84%

Julia Avila vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Winner: Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Round: 3
Via: Decision
Confidence: 94%

Not one underdog pick in sight. When was the last time every favorite has won on a UFC card?

 

[TSaL]

Not one underdog pick in sight. When was the last time every favorite has won on a UFC card?

3 for 3 so far. I would guess there got to be some upsets tonight.

 

[TCE]

3 for 3 so far. I would guess there got to be some upsets tonight.

This new system you're using seems to be spot on everything haha

 

[TSaL]

7 out of 8 so far. Better then I thought.

 

[DrRodentia]

3 for 3 so far. I would guess there got to be some upsets tonight.

Sadykhov, Hill (though i think the odds were pretty much even in that fight), and Jared spoiled it.

Has the picker pulled off a full card sweep yet?

 

[TSaL]

Sadykhov, Hill (though i think the odds were pretty much even in that fight), and Jared spoiled it.

Has the picker pulled off a full card sweep yet?

I think only once. I think I guy could make money playing parlays in the right way.

 

[Lulkanker]

7 out of 8 so far. Better then I thought.

You picked Petroski on tapology, but Rodolfo Vieira came out your predictor

 

[TSaL]

You picked Petroski on tapology, but Rodolfo Vieira came out your predictor

Not using "created" GPT. Using a crafted prompt in Normal ChatGPT while selecting "Search" "Reason". At some point I will pay the money and try and update the GPT I created to utilize search and reason.

 

[austinblair]

any plays for tonight?

 

[sanguinius]

What's interesting is that the ones that missed last time were 2/3's of the lowest confidence, and the main event was the 4th lowest.

 

[TCE]

Not using "created" GPT. Using a crafted prompt in Normal ChatGPT while selecting "Search" "Reason". At some point I will pay the money and try and update the GPT I created to utilize search and reason.

Hey bud, any predictions for UFC 313 on Saturday?

 

[TSaL]

Anyone following this thread and using AI for prediction you might want to check out. https://manus.im/app

Word of warning if your allowed into there beta of sorts your ask the AI to predict 1 or 2 fights not a whole card or even half a card. You will understand when you watch what it does.

 

[TSaL]

I will say no idea on how accurate it will be but it definitely is the most comprehensive ai so I'm hoping all its data gathering = 80%+ predictions

 

[TSaL]

Manus.ai predictions only had enough to get 3 fight predictions:

# MMA Fight Predictions Report

Generated on: 2025-03-15 14:15:20

## Executive Summary

This report presents detailed predictions for three upcoming UFC fights based on comprehensive analysis of fighter statistics, historical performance, fighting styles, and matchup dynamics. Each prediction includes the expected winner, method of victory, round, and confidence level.

### Prediction Summary

| Fight | Weight Class | Predicted Winner | Method | Round | Confidence |
|-------|-------------|------------------|--------|-------|------------|
| Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze | Middleweight | Marvin Vettori | Decision (Unanimous) | 3 | High |
| Chidi Njokuani vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Welterweight | Chidi Njokuani | Decision (Split) | 3 | Medium |
| Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaugh | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Decision (Unanimous) | 3 | Medium |

## Detailed Fight Predictions

### Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze (Middleweight - 3 rounds)

#### Fighter Comparison

**Marvin Vettori:**
- Record: 19-7-1
- Physical: 6'0", 186 lbs, 74" reach, Southpaw stance
- Strengths: Excellent cardio and durability, strong clinch work, good submission skills, relentless pressure
- Notable wins: Roman Dolidze, Paulo Costa, Kevin Holland, Jack Hermansson

**Roman Dolidze:**
- Record: 14-3-0
- Physical: 6'2", 186 lbs, 76" reach, Orthodox stance
- Strengths: Knockout power, physical strength, good clinch work, first-round finishing ability
- Notable wins: Kevin Holland, Anthony Smith, Jack Hermansson

#### Key Advantages
- Striking: Vettori
- Grappling: Vettori
- Cardio: Vettori
- Experience: Vettori

#### Previous Matchup
Vettori defeated Dolidze by unanimous decision on March 18, 2023 in a 3-round fight.

#### Prediction: Marvin Vettori by Unanimous Decision (Round 3)

**Confidence:** High

**Reasoning:**

Marvin Vettori is predicted to win this rematch against Roman Dolidze by unanimous decision.

Key factors supporting this prediction:
1. Vettori already defeated Dolidze by unanimous decision in their previous fight in March 2023
2. Vettori has superior cardio and has never been finished in the UFC
3. Vettori's volume striking approach should allow him to outpoint Dolidze
4. Vettori's takedown defense (76.2%) should neutralize Dolidze's grappling attempts
5. Vettori has more experience against elite competition
6. Dolidze tends to slow down in later rounds, while Vettori maintains a consistent pace

While Dolidze possesses dangerous knockout power, Vettori's durability and technical approach should allow him to avoid major damage and control the fight through superior volume and cardio. The fight is likely to go the distance with Vettori winning a clear decision.


### Chidi Njokuani vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (Welterweight - 3 rounds)

#### Fighter Comparison

**Chidi Njokuani:**
- Record: 24-10-0
- Physical: 6'3", 170 lbs, 80" reach, Orthodox stance
- Strengths: Precise striking, excellent distance control, high striking accuracy, knockout power
- Notable wins: Michal Oleksiejczuk, Duško Todorović, Marc-Andre Barriault

**Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos:**
- Record: 25-8-1
- Physical: 5'11", 171 lbs, 73" reach, Orthodox stance
- Strengths: Explosive striking, unorthodox techniques, knockout power, capoeira background
- Notable wins: Sean Strickland, Max Griffin, Lyman Good, Omari Akhmedov

#### Key Advantages
- Striking: Njokuani
- Grappling: Dos Santos
- Cardio: Dos Santos
- Experience: Dos Santos

#### Prediction: Chidi Njokuani by Split Decision (Round 3)

**Confidence:** Medium

**Reasoning:**

Chidi Njokuani is predicted to win this matchup against Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos by split decision.

Key factors supporting this prediction:
1. Njokuani's significant height (4 inches) and reach (7 inches) advantages will allow him to control distance
2. Njokuani's superior striking accuracy (62% vs 46.8%) suggests he'll land the cleaner, more impactful shots
3. Njokuani's recent form is strong with three consecutive wins, while Dos Santos has been inconsistent
4. Njokuani's technical striking approach should allow him to outpoint the more explosive but less accurate Dos Santos
5. At 37, Dos Santos may face cardio challenges against the slightly younger Njokuani in a three-round fight

This will likely be a competitive striking battle with both men having their moments. Dos Santos' explosive power and unorthodox techniques will make this dangerous throughout, but Njokuani's reach advantage and technical precision should allow him to score more consistently at range. The fight will likely go the distance with Njokuani winning a close, potentially split decision based on cleaner striking and better distance management.

The medium confidence level reflects the competitive nature of this matchup and the fact that both fighters have knockout power that could change the outcome at any moment.


### Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaugh (Lightweight - 3 rounds)

#### Fighter Comparison

**Alexander Hernandez:**
- Record: 15-8-0
- Physical: 5'9", 156 lbs, 72" reach, Orthodox stance
- Strengths: Explosive athleticism, good striking power, solid wrestling base, high-pressure fighting style
- Notable wins: Beneil Dariush, Olivier Aubin-Mercier, Francisco Trinaldo

**Kurt Holobaugh:**
- Record: 22-8-0
- Physical: 5'11", 155.5 lbs, 70" reach, Orthodox stance
- Strengths: Submission grappling, boxing fundamentals, durability, well-rounded skill set
- Notable wins: Shane Young, Austin Hubbard, Joziro Boye

#### Key Advantages
- Striking: Hernandez
- Grappling: Hernandez
- Submissions: Significant edge to Holobaugh
- Cardio: Hernandez
- Experience: Slight edge to Hernandez

#### Prediction: Alexander Hernandez by Unanimous Decision (Round 3)

**Confidence:** Medium

**Reasoning:**

Alexander Hernandez is predicted to win this matchup against Kurt Holobaugh by unanimous decision.

Key factors supporting this prediction:
1. Hernandez has a slight edge in striking metrics, with better volume (3.87 vs 3.65 strikes per minute) and accuracy (45.2% vs 42.8%)
2. Hernandez has better striking defense (56.8% vs 51.3%), which should help him avoid damage
3. Hernandez's 2-inch reach advantage will help him control distance and land strikes from the outside
4. At 32, Hernandez is five years younger than the 37-year-old Holobaugh, which may translate to better cardio and durability
5. Hernandez's takedown defense (72.4%) should help him avoid Holobaugh's submission game
6. Hernandez's aggressive, high-pressure style should allow him to dictate the pace and win rounds on the judges' scorecards

The main risk for Hernandez is Holobaugh's submission prowess (10 submission wins). If Hernandez becomes overaggressive or makes a defensive error, Holobaugh has the skills to capitalize and secure a submission. However, Hernandez's takedown defense and fight IQ should allow him to avoid these dangerous scenarios.

Both fighters are on three-fight win streaks, suggesting they're in good form. However, Hernandez's physical advantages, slightly better metrics, and more well-rounded skill set give him the edge in what should be a competitive three-round fight.


## Methodology

These predictions are based on a comprehensive analysis methodology that includes:

1. **Data Collection**: Gathering fighter statistics, records, physical attributes, and fight metrics from official sources
2. **Performance Analysis**: Evaluating recent performances, fighting styles, strengths, and weaknesses
3. **Matchup Dynamics**: Comparing fighters across key metrics including striking, grappling, cardio, and experience
4. **Style Compatibility**: Assessing how each fighter's style matches up against their opponent
5. **X-Factor Identification**: Identifying unique elements that could significantly impact fight outcomes

Each prediction includes a confidence rating (Low, Medium, or High) that reflects the degree of certainty based on available data and analysis.

## Disclaimer

MMA is inherently unpredictable, and these predictions represent the most likely outcomes based on available data and analysis. Fighters may implement new strategies, experience unexpected physical or mental conditions, or simply have an exceptional or poor performance on fight night that cannot be predicted in advance.

 

[DrRodentia]

Well I doubt Vettori will win a 3 round decision.

 

[Yi-Sunsin]

Picks for this weekend?

 

[DoctorTaco]

Picks for this weekend?

Our dude tsal said something about taking a break from educating and training his ai model. You can look back in the thread to find a link and ask it yourself though.

I’ve been following this guy and it’s been hot/cold:

 

[Yi-Sunsin]

Our dude tsal said something about taking a break from educating and training his ai model. You can look back in the thread to find a link and ask it yourself though.

I’ve been following this guy and it’s been hot/cold:

View attachment 1104246

That's too bad. Now that futures contracts are widely available on common platforms, making gambling somewhat completely legal in all states, now would be the perfect time for something like this.

 

[TSaL]

Fight Analyst Advanced GPT5 version​

1. Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane​

Prediction: Aspinall wins by TKO in Round 2 — Confidence: 72%
Rational: Aspinall appears to have the physical edge (size, power) and is riding momentum as champion. Gane is technically sharp but has shown exploitable takedown/pressure vulnerabilities. I expect Aspinall to lean heavy on striking and finish inside the distance.

---

2. Virna Jandiroba vs Mackenzie Dern (vacant Women’s Strawweight Title)​

Prediction: Jandiroba wins by submission in Round 3 — Confidence: 66%
Rational: Dern is dangerous and has improved striking, but Jandiroba’s grappling is very solid and I see her controlling the fight once she gets it to the mat. In a title fight where the pressure’s higher, I favour Jandiroba’s steadier approach.

---

3. Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista​

Prediction: Nurmagomedov wins by decision — Confidence: 60%
Rational: Nurmagomedov has the more complete game, especially on the ground and in control. Bautista carries finishing threat, but I expect Nurmagomedov to stay composed, mix takedowns and positional dominance, and cruise to a decision.

---

4. Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida​

Prediction: Almeida wins by TKO in Round 1 — Confidence: 63%
Rational: Volkov is durable and experienced, but Almeida brings heavy aggression and finishing power. I see Almeida overwhelming Volkov early with his pressure and grappling for a quick finish.

---

5. Aleksandar Rakic vs Azamat Murzakanov​

Prediction: Murzakanov wins by KO in Round 2 — Confidence: 58%
Rational: Rakic is a solid veteran, but Murzakanov is undefeated and brings that “unknown danger” factor. I lean his explosiveness to carry him to a finish rather than leaving it to the judges.

---

6. Ikram Aliskerov vs Jun Yong Park​

Prediction: Aliskerov wins by submission in Round 2 — Confidence: 55%
Rational: Aliskerov is well-rounded with strong grappling; Park is durable but less dynamic. I see Aliskerov getting a takedown and finishing on the mat.

---

7. Ludovit Klein vs Mateusz Rębecki​

Prediction: Klein wins by KO in Round 1 — Confidence: 57%
Rational: Klein is known for finishing, and Rębecki hasn’t shown consistent defence against high-level finishing threats. I expect a fast start and a stoppage.

---

8. Abdul‑Kareem Al‑Selwady vs Matheus Camilo​

Prediction: Al-Selwady wins by decision — Confidence: 52%
Rational: Camilo has potential but lacks experience; Al-Selwady should take control over rounds and out-point him, though I give this one closer odds.

---

9. Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Chris Barnett​

Prediction: Barnett wins by KO in Round 1 — Confidence: 54%
Rational: Barnett has heavy power and an unconventional style; Abdelwahab is less tested at this level. I lean Barnett catching him early.

---

10. Azat Maksum vs Mitch Raposo​

Prediction: Maksum wins by decision — Confidence: 60%
Rational: Maksum is more seasoned at this level; Raposo is dangerous but still trending up. I expect Maksum to control pace and win on points.

---

11. Jaqueline Amorim vs Mizuki Inoue​

Prediction: Amorim wins by submission in Round 3 — Confidence: 53%
Rational: Inoue is technical but Amorim has shown strong finishing ability; I think Amorim gets the better of the grappling exchanges and secures a late submission.

---

12. Nathaniel Wood vs José Miguel Delgado​

Prediction: Wood wins by decision — Confidence: 59%
Rational: Wood has more UFC experience; Delgado is talented but less proven. I predict Wood utilises his experience to edge rounds and secure the win.

---

Final Note:
These predictions are based on current known data around fighter metrics (striking, grappling, physical traits, momentum) and the fight camps as publicly known. Weight-cut issues, late injuries, and fight-night execution always carry risk. Decisions are only considered if the bout goes the full scheduled rounds.