International BREXIT: Leave/Remain Referendum on June 23 Will Change Europe, No Matter the Outcome.

[Arkain2K]

So lets say leave wins, what then? Do they prepare for a divorce from the EU or is it more complicated than that?

The answer to that question is in the OP, along with all other basic knowledge around Brexit that we have already covered comprehensively in this discussion. Start with the "Anatomy of a 'Brexit': What the aftermath would look like" post from June 9, and go from there.

Once again, I'd like to invite all newcomers to this thread to do the same to get up to speed, while the rest of us are monitoring the latest vote counts.

Thread Index:

• ‘Brexit’ Vote Will Change Europe, No Matter the Outcome (June 21)
  
• Brexit: What does the E.U referendum mean for the U.S? (June 21)
  
• 'Brits don't quit,' British Prime Minister tells voters in late pitch to remain in E.U (June 21)
  
• The final EU referendum debate, fact checked (June 21)
  
• BBC's Brexit Debate: Five Things We Learned (June 21)
• BBC's Brexit Debate - Play By Play (June 21)
  
• EU referendum: Campaigns set for live BBC debate at Wembley (June 20)
• ‘Brexit’ likely to fail, but EU will change (June 20)
• Impact of Brexit on Scots economy debated in Scotland (June 20)
  
• E.U. Countries Warn Britain on ‘Brexit’: You’ll Pay if You Leave Us (June 20)
  
• Brexit Vote Count: What to Watch for as the Night Unfolds (June 19)
• U.K. Hedge Funds Are Loudly Divided on Brexit (June 19)
• First Brexit Poll Since Jo Cox Killing Shows "Remain" Camp Now in Lead (June 18)
• Regardless of ‘Brexit’ Vote, Experts Say E.U. Must Rethink Status Quo (June 18)
  
• What will happen to Britain if there's Brexit? Here are four possible outcomes (June 17)
• Jo Cox's tragic death may halt pro-Brexit momentum, analysts say (June 16)
  
• British Pound Sterling gains as Brexit campaigning suspended (June 16)
  
• U.K. Lawmaker Jo Cox Is Murdered, Silencing Brexit Debate (June 16)
  
• British lawmaker shot dead, EU referendum campaigns suspended (June 16)
  
• The economic shock of a ‘Brexit’ (June 15)
  
• Telegraph Brexit debate: Boris Johnson and Alex Salmond drive each other bananas (June 14)
• E.U Referendum Debate: Boris Johnson & Priti Patel vs. Alex Salmond & Liz Kendall (June 14)
  
• Boris Johnson to face off against Alex Salmond in Telegraph EU debate (June 13)
  
• Biggest Brexit fear is really end of European Union as we know it (June 13)
  
• Anatomy of a 'Brexit': What the aftermath would look like (June 9, 2016)
• Brexit | The Arguments For and Against
  
• European Council president Donald Tusk warns E.U elites' utopian illusions are tearing Europe apart (June 1, 2016)
  
• Both "Brexit" and "Remain" Camps Are Misleading Voters with Bogus Claims (May 27, 2016)
  
• 'Brexit' foes trade barbs on race as debate heats up (May 26, 2016)
  
• President Obama support David Cameron's effort to remains in the E.U. (April 22)
  
• Tory meltdown as Foreign Secretary hurls four-letter abuse at anti-EU rival after trying to hide secret report on PM's deal (Feb 27)
  
• David Cameron says the idea of the UK being a sovereign country outside the EU is an illusion (Feb 21)
  
• Nicola Sturgeon says vote to leave EU will 'almost certainly' trigger a new independence referendum in Scotland (Feb 21)
  
• Secretary of State for Justice Michael Gove wants Britain out of Europe (Feb 20)
  
• Sturgeon: I'd prefer Scotland to be independent member state of EU (Feb 20)
  
• The U.K to reconsider E.U membership

​

 

[Devout Pessimist]

I Googled Brexit and the results (updated 5 minutes ago) are currently in favor of Leave at 50.7 percent.

 

[Rusk]

1:05AM
London turnout lower than expected
The weather has had an effect on turnout in London, the pollster John Curtice says.

Could that affect the Remain side who are hoping for strong support from the capital?

They should leave, it is obviously God's Will!

 

[in the]

They should leave, it is obviously God's Will!

Inshallah.

 

[Zankou]

They should leave, it is obviously God's Will!

Allah put that channel there for a reason. When man disobeys Allah's will, he will bring all the heavens down upon him.

 

[in the]

1:10AM
Kettering votes to LEAVE
Remain 39%, Leave 61%

1:08AM
The party's over in Brussels
Matthew Holehouse, in Brussels, says things have turned sour at the Funky Monkey bar.

The party's over in Brussels. The Funky Monkey, an Irish pub next to the European Commission HQ, had been packed when polls shut at 10pm, and officials were in high spirits as Gibraltar declared at 96 per cent for in.

But as Remain were dealt two heavy blows in Sunderland and Newcastle, the mood suddenly turned sour. "F---!" shouted one official. Others had tears in their eyes and headed for the door. At half past one local time, the TVs were turned off, and staff trudged home. Over the road, lights were burning all over the Berlaymont HQ. At 10.30am Donald Tusk, Jean-Claude Juncker and Mark Rutte will meet to digest what it all means for Europe.

 

[in the]

1:17AM
Shetland Islands vote to REMAIN
Remain 56.5%, Leave 43.5%

1:16AM
West Dunbartonshire votes to REMAIN
Remain 62%, Leave 38%

 

[TheStruggle]

Leave: 370,404
Remain: 344,535


12/382 Declared

 

[in the]

'Narrow win for Leave' predicted
The University of East Anglia's referendum live blog predicts, on the basis of the first five results, that there will be a narrow win for Leave.

Predicted probability of Britain Remaining: 0.48 (5 of 382 areas reporting.)

Predicted vote share for Remain: 49.8 percent.

(90% prediction interval: 42.7 to 56.8 percent)

 

[in the]

Still believe Scotland will tip the scales to Stay.

 

[UL]

I hope we do leave.

 

[TheStruggle]

Still believe Scotland will tip the scales to Stay.

That was the word, maybe there is an upset or narrow loss

 

[hoonosewot88]

Still believe Scotland will tip the scales to Stay.

The key is gonna be what happens in the big cities. Edinburgh, Glasgow, Manchester, Birmingham, Leeds, Bristol, Nottingham, Cardiff, Sheffield will be the real deciders. Saying that, London will override everything really.

 

[Arkain2K]

Today is probably the greatest/worst day in history for Forex traders.

 

[JadeOwl]

'Narrow win for Leave' predicted
The University of East Anglia's referendum live blog predicts, on the basis of the first five results, that there will be a narrow win for Leave.

Predicted probability of Britain Remaining: 0.48 (5 of 382 areas reporting.)

Predicted vote share for Remain: 49.8 percent.

(90% prediction interval: 42.7 to 56.8 percent)

I think it's foolish to make this kind of predictions without any results coming in from London. If the trends continues then I'll start to worry.

 

[Krallang]

So do you all think the Remain campaign shot themselves in the foot with all the fear mongering and the average briton did what briton's are known for by being extremely stubborn.

U wat m8?

It's still early but some of the "counties" reporting for brexit should have broke for remain.

 

[Byron Carter]

They are trying to sway popular opinion by playing up the "Pound Plummeting" story.

Of course it's going to plummet, but it won't stay down. Any sort of change is bad for the market (not necessarily the economy long-term).

Keep strong Brits, vote yourself out of that Muslim/Socialist cesspool. This is your last chance. The free-world needs you!

 

[in the]

'Leave now favourites to win'
This just in from the polling expert John Curtice:

 

[Arkain2K]

This is like watching an American election. Finally we get a Brit version.

Absolutely.

For most Brits, this is probably the first time ever that they're this excited to watch the votes being counts in real time.

Can't blame them though, the General Election in Britain and Canada are as exciting as watching paint dry, because their voters generally vote against the party that they hate. That means people cast their vote, go to sleep, and see the result the next morning in the papers.

This is the first time ever that they have an objective to vote/cheer for, and eagerly awaits for the results as they're coming in.

 

[in the]

They are trying to sway popular opinion by playing up the "Pound Plummeting" story.

Of course it's going to plummet, but it won't stay down. Any sort of change is bad for the market (not necessarily the economy long-term).

Keep strong Brits, vote yourself out of that Muslim/Socialist cesspool. This is your last chance. The free-world needs you!

Polls are closed so agitprop is pretty meaningless right now.