Boxing discussion

[Sham5916910]

Been thinking in canelo/Kahn.

What if Kahn is gifted a decision to line the pockets of a maywether/Kahn matchup..
Thinking of hitting the decision line for Kahn and hope he moves well to avoid the damage canelo can dish out..

Ok... A little bit conspiracy based but stranger things have happened

I doubt Mayweather would fight Khan. Khans weakness is his chin and May doesnt bang. Mays big advantage is speed but against Khan i think Khan is quicker. Id bet Khan if they ever fought.

 

[RyuDave]

hmm would kahn vs mayweather be a bigger fight then canelo vs mayweather 2?

if you are going to bet this you should be looking at the betfair exchange there you can get khan dec ~+500 and fight goes to dec ~+190

Thanks I'll take a look, I just think Kahn maybe the easier fight looking from mayweathers position, and lure him out of retirement yet again!

I doubt Mayweather would fight Khan. Khans weakness is his chin and May doesnt bang. Mays big advantage is speed but against Khan i think Khan is quicker. Id bet Khan if they ever fought.

Yes I do agree Kahn is quicker in places.. Just think it maybe safer than fighting canelo..
Pure speculation though!

 

[null]

hmm would kahn vs mayweather be a bigger fight then canelo vs mayweather 2?

if you are going to bet this you should be looking at the betfair exchange there you can get khan dec ~+500 and fight goes to dec ~+190

Khan wins by 12 round decision is +530 on 5D now, fyi.

 

[wack3d]

Khan wins by 12 round decision is +530 on 5D now, fyi.

not bad.. way higher then what the eu books have. i am on the opposite side already though Canelo itd -163 and Canelo round 7-12 +275

edit: added Canelo round 4-6 +460 on 5d as a semi hedge.. so i will get my money back if Canelo wins in r4-6 or win +193 if he gets the stoppage in r7-12

Canelo r7-12 is still avaliable at +275 on sportingbet (eu) if anyone is looking to bet that.. on 5d that line is all the way down to +160 lol

 

[null]

Great prices on BM for the late round props: The lines didn't budge since yesterday so I couldn't resist putting a quarter on each of them:

Saul Alvarez wins in round 7-9 (+350) $25.00 for $87.50
Saul Alvarez wins in round 10-12 (+800) $25.00 for $200.00

 

[wack3d]

Great prices on BM for the late round props: The lines didn't budge since yesterday so I couldn't resist putting a quarter on each of them:

Saul Alvarez wins in round 7-9 (+350) $25.00 for $87.50
Saul Alvarez wins in round 10-12 (+800) $25.00 for $200.00

if you combine those odds you "only" get +200 effectively

 

[null]

if you combine those odds you "only" get +200 effectively

Maybe math isn't my strong suit but if the 7-9 hits the net result is $62.50 profit and if 10-12 hits the net result is $175 profit on a total of $50 in risk. Since the outcomes are mutually exclusive assuming either one hits at all, isn't this quite a bit different than putting $50 on a 7-12 prop at +200? Clearly more upside on the 10-12 than the 7-9. Even if you average the two outcomes (which I would argue doesn't mean anything since it's either one or another) as $62.50 divided by $50.00 or effectively +125 for the 7-9 and $175.00 divided by $50.00 or effectively +350 for the 10-12 isn't the combined odds for both props effectively +238?

 

[wack3d]

Maybe math isn't my strong suit but if the 7-9 hits the net result is $62.50 profit and if 10-12 hits the net result is $175 profit on a total of $50 in risk. Since the outcomes are mutually exclusive assuming either one hits at all, isn't this quite a bit different than putting $50 on a 7-12 prop at +200? Clearly more upside on the 10-12 than the 7-9. Even if you average the two outcomes (which I would argue doesn't mean anything since it's either one or another) as $62.50 divided by $50.00 or effectively +125 for the 7-9 and $175.00 divided by $50.00 or effectively +350 for the 10-12 isn't the combined odds for both props effectively +238?

hmm i am not too sharp on the math either =/ but was just saying if you combine both you basically get +200 which is quite a bit lower then some bookies have..

http://www.soccerbettingstatistics.com/tools

you can use this calculator to see combined odds.. only works with decimal though (eu odds)

+800 = (9.0) +350 = (4.5) = +200

 

[wack3d]

not looking good for my boxrec bet =/ Souza already knocked down in the first

edit; and its over.. bookies was on point with this one

 

[null]

hmm i am not too sharp on the math either =/ but was just saying if you combine both you basically get +200 which is quite a bit lower then some bookies have..

http://www.soccerbettingstatistics.com/tools

you can use this calculator to see combined odds.. only works with decimal though (eu odds)

+800 = (9.0) +350 = (4.5) = +200

5D has it for +160 at the moment. With respect, I don't think that +200 number you mentioned is correct when one bet is at +350 and the other is +800, not to mention that the upside is so much greater on the 10-12 outcome that you can't just distill it all down to a combined equation since there are multiple outcomes that provide a more complex array of results than a single prop.

 

[wack3d]

5D has it for +160 at the moment. With respect, I don't think that +200 number you mentioned is correct when one bet is at +350 and the other is +800, not to mention that the upside is so much greater on the 10-12 outcome that you can't just distill it all down to a combined equation since there are multiple outcomes that provide a more complex array of results than a single prop.

the calculator dont make mistakes the effective combined odds is +200 meaning if you wanted equal payout on both oucomes the best you can get is +200 but as you said you are not betting as double chance so its kinda different. i did not man to knock your bets or anything just to be clear.

 

[Sham5916910]

Was gonna play morrison itd + murray itd + singleton. Regret not doing it now of course altho singleton not fought yet.

 

[wack3d]

Was gonna play morrison itd + murray itd + singleton. Regret not doing it now of course altho singleton not fought yet.

ya that would have looked pretty sweet now morrison and murray fights was total mismatches.. i hit murray r1 +700 but he had to wait untill early round2 =/

 

[wack3d]

damn hit singleton dec just 5 sec before knockdown.. just small bet but still sucks =/

 

[wack3d]

ok not done yet.. anwar came back strong in r2. keeping my eye on his +450 line if he can keep this up

 

[Sham5916910]

Im big on singleton dec. I think after r2 365 had single dec +100 ladbrokes had it +200 had to bite!

 

[mkess101]

Does anyone really think Khan can survive Canelo's pressure for 12 rounds and not get caught at some point? Khan is slick but smaller guys with way less power than Alvarez have hurt him badly and stopped him and Alvarez is obviously more than just a big puncher. He is skilled as well and probably won't have to respect Khan's power at all.

Canelo itd -191 seems like great value to me.

 

[Sham5916910]

Hedged with Anwar dec +900

 

[Sham5916910]

Im on Anwar dec line still +300.

 

[wack3d]

odds closing in on evens on unibet singleton still a pretty big favorite on betfair.. my limits are too small to take advantage though