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What am I missing boys? I have Canelo in several huge parlays...I need him to win by ud or stoppage.

I'm so confident in these wagers that I'm feeling paranoid...

Anyone have khan? If so, why?
 
LogicalInsanity said:
What am I missing boys? I have Canelo in several huge parlays...I need him to win by ud or stoppage.

I'm so confident in these wagers that I'm feeling paranoid...

Anyone have khan? If so, why?
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I'm not insanely confident, but aside from my aforementioned Canelo KO or UD prop, I bet him straight at -385 to win about $85. The prices are significantly higher on 5D and BM but if ProBoxingOdds is to be believed the lines are even lower on some of the Euro books. Decent sized freeroll on Khan available if that is accurate.
 
I could envisage Khan being ahead after 6 rounds (not that I'm necessarily predicting that) but he will slow and then Canelo will catch up with him.
 
In case anyone is looking for some degen action on Friday evening's Golden Boy card from Las Vegas, Bad Left Hook has some good info on the main & co-main event fighters including recent fight footage: http://www.badlefthook.com/2016/5/4...ve-preview-quintero-vs-petrov-cano-vs-sanchez

I personally bet the underdog in the one bettable fight with odds, Marvin Quintero for .5u at +215 against Petr Petrov. It could easily be a competitive fight with southpaw Quintero apparently more of a KO artist than orthodox opponent Petrov. The younger Quintero is an inch taller but with a shorter reach, and has been more active. His last three losses were due to a twisted ankle, a broken hand and a split decision loss in a world title fight against Miguel Vazquez in 2012 while Petrov has had only one fight in 2015 since winning ESPN's Boxcino tournament the year before.
 
i'm gonna throw a few hundred on canelo. khan reacts badly to pressure and canelo brings a tonne of it.
 
Pulev probably handles Del Boy but I put a unit on Chisora at +305 b/c i think the line's a bit off.

Also 2u Barroso, 3u Canelo itd.
 
BluntTrauma21 said:
Pulev probably handles Del Boy but I put a unit on Chisora at +305 b/c i think the line's a bit off.

Also 2u Barroso, 3u Canelo itd.
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Did you get Barroso at + money and do you favor him outright over Crolla with the line so close even in the UK? Counting on a stoppage or wide decision? And what price did you get Canelo ITD may I ask?
 
JimGunn said:
Did you get Barroso at + money and do you favor him outright over Crolla with the line so close even in the UK? Counting on a stoppage or wide decision? And what price did you get Canelo ITD may I ask?
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I got Barroso at Evens and had a smaller bet on him at -115 awhile back. I think he probably wins this by stoppage but I also think he could take a Dec if he comes out strong in the first half of the fight. Crolla has great stamina and I'd be worried if Barroso isn't giving him a good beating when we get to the halfway point of the fight but I don't necessarily think Crolla is a lock to win this if it goes to the cards either. Crolla has the home turf advantage but if you watched his second fight Mathews where he got robbed of a win (imo) and got a draw instead, and his first fight with Darleys Perez where he definitely got robbed with a draw instead of a win (and I had money on Perez), so I don't think the fight is guaranteed to go his way on the cards if it's close.

Also Crolla was in a war with John Murray awhile back and although he won by stoppage Murray is an inferior fighter to Barroso and had Crolla in trouble a few times in their fight before he ran out of gas and the shots started to accumulate. I think if Crolla doesn't fight smart and box really well Barroso's gonna beat up on him.

All that being said, I do know a few knowledgeable fans who like Crolla here so it's not like I'm knocking a bet on him or anything. I just think his stock's a bit high atm and Barroso is gonna be a tough matchup for him here (some argue that Barroso's the one who's stock is too high, though, so we'll see).

Should be interesting to see how it plays out but I do like Barroso here. The biggest worry for me about Barroso is his age and stamina, Crolla is the younger guy and has the better stamina which could carry him to a victory. I still have a hard time not seeing Barroso beating on him in the first half of this fight. So counting on a stoppage but i wouldn't completely rule out a Dec win for him either, although I obviously think that's much less likely.


I got Canelo itd at -166.
 
Thanks, BT. I watched some Barroso and Crolla highlights. Liked what I saw enough to put 1u on his ML at +105. Should be an interesting fight. Side note- I wonder what the difference is between Canelo ITD vs Canelo wins by KO/TKO/DQ which are both offered by 5D at slightly different odds? I am drawing a blank on a circumstance that would mean one wins while the other doesn't.
 
JimGunn said:
Thanks, BT. I watched some Barroso and Crolla highlights. Liked what I saw enough to put 1u on his ML at +105. Should be an interesting fight. Side note- I wonder what the difference is between Canelo ITD vs Canelo wins by KO/TKO/DQ which are both offered by 5D at slightly different odds? I am drawing a blank on a circumstance that would mean one wins while the other doesn't.
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canelo itd would cover a technical Dec e.g. there's a clash of heads and the Doc stops the fight. What would happen would it would be a nc if it was stopped before the 4th rd started. If the 4th rd starts or it ends any time after that, they'd go to the cards and if Canelo won the technical Dec then it would cover the itd line but not the ko/dq line. That's about it difference wise. An accidental foul that causes the fight to be stopped after the 4th starts would be a win if you bet itd and a loss if you took the other line. obviously a pretty rare occurrence but it's always possible I guess.
 
Also just another thing that might not give Crolla as much credit on the cards is that these two are fighting for the wba title. Barroso is from Venezuela, guess where the wba is based? Yup, Venezuela, so there could be just as much if not more fuckery in favor of Barroso than with Crolla if this does go to the cards. Just noticed it and thought it'd be worth mentioning. These alphabet belt organizations can be pretty sketchy when it comes to this type of shit.
 
The concern i have re Barroso is how good is he? If you look at his record all bar his last three fights have been in places like Mexico, Panama, etc. Therefore what kind of quality has he fought? Looking at his opponents records the quality doesn't look good. His biggest win was his last fight over Mitchell, but Mitchell was at the end of his career and he has never had the best chin. It's still a good win but Mitchell pissed his career away a long time ago with booze and drugs. Crolla has been in there with far more proven fighters.

I'm not suggesting anyone tails as this is a hard fight to call due to the unknown factor, but i will be on Crolla dec @ +187. Crolla isn't the biggest puncher but I'm not sure how many times Barroso has been 12 rounds. Of course he could fade badly and get stopped late, but I'm willing to take the gamble based on the generous decision line.

WBA being in Venezuela does make me nervous tho. Especially as it seems that Crolla has a penchant for getting fucked over.

I will play Crolla dec pretty small before the fight and then lb.
 
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