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Alex Pereira and The Law of Diminishing Returns

The Legendary Scarface

Record since UFC 266 : 60-40
@Black
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It's a truly diabolical, unforgiving thing. There is an inevitable vice grip of defeat when facing this man that I'd like to elaborate on..

You see, not only does Poatan have some great kickboxing fundamentals and technique but he also has some really exceptional and borderline unfair physical attributes such as power, recovery and durability that create a law of diminishing returns for nearly anyone he faces.

Here's ultimately how it works, and precisely how it was on full display vs Khalil most recently:
Roundtree was winning the first couple of rounds, he was not only the busier fighter with more output, but he also landed a far greater amount of significant strikes which took some of us by surprise..
Next thing you know , the 3rd or 4th round rolls around , and Roundtree's leg is compromised, he is exhausted, and his face is battered from eating a very minimal amount of jabs in a start to the fight that seemed to appear ideal with a lot of volume.

This to me is really fucking interesting because you would think as a team you want your fighter to do exactly what Roundtree early on, but Pereira has such other wordly attributes along with his skill set that he is barely hurt while you are gassing out and his bare minimum jabs end up busting your face open all the while he's picked up on your rhythm and essentially figured you out.

This is the Law of Diminishing Returns.
Where, by doing more or adding more, you are actually being a detriment to your own success. It shows us the paradox you can get sucked into when fighting Chama.

In a real world example, lets say you have X amount of workers building some house and you decide to double the number of workers out of nowhere. Logic might tell you that it's inherently going to benefit the process but in reality it could turn into s situation where now the workers are getting in each other's way and the house building process becomes less efficient.

This was something I've been thinking about for like 2 weeks now and really wanted to write. In reality I don't know what the fuck i'm talking about but that's how I interpreted it .

Thanks for listening to my ted talk.

Tldr: Paulo Costa turned me gay
 
1bp9uejbdsud1.jpeg
 
It's a truly diabolical, unforgiving thing. There is an inevitable vice grip of defeat when facing this man that I'd like to elaborate on..

You see, not only does Poatan have some great kickboxing fundamentals and technique but he also has some really exceptional and borderline unfair physical attributes such as power, recovery and durability that create a law of diminishing returns for nearly anyone he faces.

Here's ultimately how it works, and precisely how it was on full display vs Khalil most recently:
Roundtree was winning the first couple of rounds, he was not only the busier fighter with more output, but he also landed a far greater amount of significant strikes which took some of us by surprise..
Next thing you know , the 3rd or 4th round rolls around , and Roundtree's leg is compromised, he is exhausted, and his face is battered from eating a very minimal amount of jabs in a start to the fight that seemed to appear ideal with a lot of volume.

This to me is really fucking interesting because you would think as a team you want your fighter to do exactly what Roundtree early on, but Pereira has such other wordly attributes along with his skill set that he is barely hurt while you are gassing out and his bare minimum jabs end up busting your face open all the while he's picked up on your rhythm and essentially figured you out.

This is the Law of Diminishing Returns.
Where, by doing more or adding more, you are actually being a detriment to your own success. It shows us the paradox you can get sucked into when fighting Chama.

In a real world example, lets say you have X amount of workers building some house and you decide to double the number of workers out of nowhere. Logic might tell you that it's inherently going to benefit the process but in reality it could turn into s situation where now the workers are getting in each other's way and the house building process becomes less efficient.

This was something I've been thinking about for like 2 weeks now and really wanted to write. In reality I don't know what the fuck i'm talking about but that's how I interpreted it .

Thanks for listening to my ted talk.

Tldr: Paulo Costa turned me gay

Good write up sir.
 
Looked very beatable against Khalil.

He looks beatable even standing due to his not so great defense. Still want to see how he fares against someone who isn't willing to just stand and bang. Luckily LHW is mostly shit.
 
Pereira has experience fighting in attitude, he knows how tough it is and with Rountree having questionable cardio waiting for him to gas out was the most guaranteed way to beat him. Pereira was just choosing the path of least resistance, a necessity cause he wasn't entering the fight in best condition.
 
Incredible fighter obviously, but lucky he wasn't in the Jones-Cormier era of LHW. Poatan vs prime Gus or Anthony Johnson would've been epic though.
 
Honestly I wouldn't be surprised if Alex had half an eye on cardio being a factor against Rowntree, it did remind me a bit of Cain/Werdum were one guy was obviously having to kill himself effort wise to potentially edge rounds in a fashion which couldn't last 5 rounds.

A big issue with Alexs chin as well I'd say is he's a "see the punchs coming" kind of guy, we've seen he can be hurt and KOed if caught off balance so not giving Rowntree the openings for that was probably smart.
 
There is no doubt Alex is impressive in his striking. I do hope that before the end of his career he is able to fight a few elite grapplers, because there will always be a question mark if he doesn't.

Whether or not this is Alex's fault is another issue; this situation is what it is. LHW sucks compared to in the past, and even the distant past. Pride era and Jones/DC era were far harder to dominate as there were many more well-rounded fighters. I don't necessarily see him winning against someone like prime Randy, but I could be proven wrong in the future.

One of Alex's key abilities is weight cutting. He still looks bigger than opponents a lot of the time even at LHW. The fact he fought at MW is a weight cutting marvel that few could achieve.
 
I knew that despite Khalil being up two rounds, that he was in danger. His output was keeping Poatan off of him, which.... is a victory in itself, but no way he was going to be able to do that for 5 rounds. At the end of the 2nd im like...phew as soon as he slows down Poatan is going to catch him w something, and Poatan only needs one hit to change the complexion of the fight.


Basically...what Rountree did is solid, but you gotta knock Poatan out before you slow down. Getting tired against that guy is Death.

He tried his damnedest to do it.
 
Absolutely GREAT breakdown.

But, for me, it's only a matter of Poatan's striking and power being levels above everyone at this point, including Izzy.
 
Poatan is a legend in and out of the cage. Hopefully we can see him spark Ankalaev if he wins this weekend
 
Fun post but you guys all noticed Rountree showed up fight week with that big cut over the entire bridge of his nose, right?

That thing exploded later in the fight as it took damage. It was an existing injury.

rountree-pereira-ufc307w-1600.jpg
 
Reyes tried the same thing with jones.

he clearly won round 1
but jones won 4 and 5
2 and 3 became toss ups.
 
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