TS, I have seen all of Nick's fights and I have been around for awhile. I think Nick may have issues in this fight because:
1. Well documented partying life style and rumor of alcoholism
2. Face/ eyes look bad - like an old man
3. He looks softer than I have ever seen him before
4. Time away from the game - it is hard to replicate a real fight in training
5. Lawler is clearly declining but has been active fighting the top guys
6. Requesting the fight be moved to 185 shows lack of discipling, a bad sign for fighters
7. History of guys away from the game for years making come-backs is not good, ie Chuck Liddell.
I could be wrong but there is enough evidence to support potential issues for Nick in this fight.
a lot of this stuff has simple answers IMO
1.) i think that shit is over blown. Look at jon jones for example lol..The issue isnt really in the partying the issue is if you allow the partying to keep you from training. I dont think nick was partying durring his camp or anything either..
2.) hes 38 lol, he is suppose to look older in his face,99% of people look fatter from the time they are 30 to 40. he is
normal in that regard.
3.) I agree, but that time away means he wasnt in wars like robbie was. Robbie has been in some BRAWLS with Rory and Johnny hendrix not even talking about the beatings hes taken recently. So thats the wild card IMO..does time away from the game lead to the same level of decline as fight miles?
4.) I agree but i think that could come down to trying to cut weight for the first time as an older dude. I think he realized he was going to be comprimsed and decided to avoid the cut. I think the fact that he doesnt have to do it is a good think rather than what would have happened if they did do it. That said he could have just missed weight and fucked robbie..at least he didnt.
5.)Agree for sure bro and thats what worries me. Im actually a big robbie fan. But he hasnt looked good in YEARS. The beast version of robbie wouldnt let cerrone out of the first round. Let alone lose to guys like RDA or magny. Hes jsut totally shot. That makes me think that if nick isnt shot hes going to roll over robbie and if hes also shot then we have a close fight on our hands. I hate to bring this up....but robbie hasnt really been the same since USADA either. Maybe thats age, maybe not.
6.) this kinad relates to number 2. yes i think it was unprofessional to do this but its actually the better of the two options. Lets jsut imagine he didnt say anything and had a horrible weight cut. Its jsut diaz balls to even try to do it lol and it worked. Also he probably learned the hard way that weight cuts dont go the same when you are pushing 40. As i said earlier im just glad that he gave robbie the fair chance to not cut the weight too.
7.) why not use GSP as a comparison? the chuck one isnt valid at all. the dude was a shell of him self before leaving and got KTFO a lot of times and was already showing signs of CTE before qutting. Nick got an unfair suspenseion that he parlayed into an early retirment. we arent talking about someone who was truly retired coming back. we have to be fair here. Its not for sure hes going to show sings of wear and tear. i dont like this comparison.
thanks for the conversation btw...i like all of your talking points and i admit you could also be dead accurate. This is just how i see it.