Elections 2022 Mid-term Elections PBP

[Rational Poster]

Crime spiked across the country, from the most urban, blue counties to the most rural, red ones. In fact I think medium sized cities saw the largest spike in crime.

That doesn't mean that local laws and policy changes are completely unrelated or that they can't exacerbate existing drivers of crime but I think its fair to say that given the nationwide spike, especially in less populated areas, that its clearly not due solely or even primarily to those policy changes.

The other thing to consider is how the data is used to scare them. They make claims of huge percentage increases without going into detail what the percentage is increasing from.

Crime is so low in most cities and towns, any increase would be demonstrated by a percentage claim that sounds enormous.

But when you understand that it's 20-30% of only a two or even single digit number, it's rather minor.

It's not like we're back in the days when places like NYC had 2000+ murders a year.

 

[idrankyourbeer]

Kevin McCarthy faces rocky road to speakership as hardliners emboldened by GOP’s election showing

Short version:

Members of the pro-Trump House Freedom Caucus are withholding their support for House GOP leader Kevin McCarthy’s speakership bid and have begun to lay out their list of demands, putting the California Republican’s path to securing 218 votes in peril if the party ultimately takes the House with a slim majority.

McCarthy and his team are confident he will ultimately get the votes to be speaker. But the conservative hardliners are emboldened by the likelihood of a narrow House GOP majority and are threatening to withhold their support – something that could imperil his bid or force him to make deals to weaken the speakership, something he has long resisted.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/11/poli...akership-race-house-freedom-caucus/index.html

there's already been several house members who've said outright they will not vote for mccarthy. republicans lie, but we'll see.

 

[White Whale]

Very interesting.

 

[LMP]

If I were DeSantis, I wouldn't even bother with 2024 tbh. The GOP itself may be desperate to retake the executive branch, but what the hell is the rush for him or the trajectory of his political career? The dude is 44 and can just stay comfy running Florida for another four years, complete his full term in 2026 and then go ALL-IN on a two-year POTUS campaign for what will be a wide-open 2028.

Sure, the clock is probably ticking for right-wing politics and Republicans to be able to win national elections but it'll still be plenty possible at that point (#ElectoralCollegeBless) and the public is usually primed for change after eight years of any party being in power.

The younger generation are definitely showing signs of being much more progressive and accepting of others. While the Republican base is getting older and every election cycle will continue to shrink. If Republicans continue to focus on this culture war nonsense while not putting forth actual legislation to fix issues they are going to continue to have problems getting elected. So five or six years may make a huge difference to DeSantis' ability to be elected.

 

[Islam Imamate]

The other thing to consider is how the data is used to scare them. They make claims of huge percentage increases without going into detail what the percentage is increasing from.

Crime is so low in most cities and towns, any increase would be demonstrated by a percentage claim that sounds enormous.

But when you understand that it's 20-30% of only a two or even single digit number, it's rather minor.

It's not like we're back in the days when places like NYC had 2000+ murders a year.

I imagine that's why the spike has seemed higher in medium to small cities.

 

[fedoriswar37]

I hope @idrankyourbeer is OK, he’s late for work today…

He's probably home writing another love letter to Trump just dying for him to respond.

 

[Loiosh]

Please tell me that was a parody.

MTG spoke at one of his conferences. So did Paul Gosar. When Mitt Romney found out they had gone, he said "I have morons on my team. And I have to think anybody that would sit down with White nationalists and speak at their conference was certainly missing a few IQ points."

You know these guys? That's Fuentes, although it's gotten complicated. When it was suggested his conference had been infiltrated by federal informants the group splintered.

Anyways, that's Fuentes, the guy the right wing brain trust on Sherdog kept saying can't be a white nationlist.

 

[Rational Poster]

I imagine that's why the spike has seemed higher in medium to small cities.

Exactly.

1 + 2 is a 200% increase.

Sounds scary, but it's really not.

 

[Rational Poster]

Please tell me that was a parody.

Nah, that kid has been on the side of the fence for years now.

He's also more popular than ever in the states.

 

[Islam Imamate]

MTG spoke at one of his conferences. So did Paul Gosar. When Mitt Romney found out they had gone, he said "I have morons on my team. And I have to think anybody that would sit down with White nationalists and speak at their conference was certainly missing a few IQ points."

You know these guys? That's Fuentes, although it's gotten complicated. When it was suggested his conference had been infiltrated by federal informants the group splintered.

Anyways, that's Fuentes, the guy the right wing brain trust on Sherdog kept saying can't be a white nationlist.

People deny that Fuentes is a white nationalist? I'm a fan of his and even I can see that he is and I doubt Fuentes himself would deny that.

 

[Islam Imamate]

Please tell me that was a parody.

It got deleted, what did it say? I'm assuming it was a tweet by Nick Fuentes?

 

[Loiosh]

I'm a fan of his

0.0

 

[Seano]

What, a second one?

Well, one who exists outside of the fantasy realm, at least.

 

[Loiosh]

It got deleted, what did it say? I'm assuming it was a tweet by Nick Fuentes?

This?

 

[Seano]

This?

No need to take a page out of the lefts playbook. I guess it'd be fun to come up with stupid pronouns, label everyone we disagree with with whatever atrocious names we can think of and convince the average citizen that they are at fault for intending apocalypse that never comes but as we can see with the left, it doesn't accomplish much but further divide us.

 

[idrankyourbeer]

Very interesting.

whats interesting? theres a 11 minute youtube video of what appears to be tucker carlson. tell us whats supposed to be interesting.

give us the cliffs and timestamps. not that im gonna watch any of that chud propaganda anyways or that i really care what kind of looney conspiracies he's probably crying about anyways, but i just want to know if you even watched it. was this todays episode of white power hour? give us the talking points and tell me what am i supposed to be thinking and how i am supposed to feel about the issues going on today. i am not capable of rationalizing or thinking for myself. after all, thats why i watch tucker.

he hasnt abandoned donald trump already too hey?

aint no way in hell im gonna bother to watch 12 minutes of any random clip here without no cliffs and timestamps, let alone tucker carlson. everybody knows the kind of shit that he's all about. how's tucker been coping lately anyways after this "big red wave" he's probably been promising every day for the last month (i have no idea i never watch that propaganda)

 

[Seano]

whats interesting? theres a 11 minute youtube video of what appears to be tucker carlson. tell us whats supposed to be interesting.

)

Simple solution to your confusion would be to, you know, WATCH THE VIDEO as its literally all he posted.

 

[idrankyourbeer]

Simple solution to your confusion would be to, you know, WATCH THE VIDEO as its literally all he posted.

every time i have to look at tuckers ever-so-punchable looking face my IQ goes down a point. sorry but no. i aint watching no tucker carlson video. i'm more into facts rather than fiction and feelings.

 

[Zazen]

I feel bad for the rest of Colorado that Boebert is going to win. One of the worst Republican politicians winning in an otherwise blue state.

 

[HockeyBjj]

Simple solution to your confusion would be to, you know, WATCH THE VIDEO as its literally all he posted.

If I wanted to watch YouTube videos I’d go to YouTube

I’m on Sherdog forums to read forum posts.

I don’t get why people don’t add cliffs for a point they want to make, and then just include the video for the few who’d care to watch it in NTS entirety