Elections 2020 Democratic Primary Thread: The Announcements

Status
Not open for further replies.
Tulsi Gabbard could be denied access to the debate stage if she does does not get at least 65,000 donations it's not based on amounts just donations so any amount but from 65,000 different people. She is facing a real chance she will not be on the stage.









There's two criteria. They added the fundraising criteria to allow a candidate to make the stage if they don't poll at 1% or higher. As long as you poll 1% or higher, you should make the stage.

The party has capped the number of debate participants at 20, and to qualify to take the stage, a candidate will need to get at least 1 percent support in three national polls or polls of early primary states, or raise money from a minimum of 65,000 donors from 20 states, including at least 200 unique donors per state.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/feature...ont-make-the-2020-primaries-any-less-chaotic/
 
Eric Holder says he'll decide on 2020 run in March
NBC News
190212-eric-holder-2015-ac-1131p_762e123d7ba5370c426b6a2a9be6130f.fit-560w.jpg

Former U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder announced late Tuesday that he'll decide on a 2020 presidential run in about three weeks.

He made the remarks to reporters outside the Harkin Institute for Public Policy and Citizen Engagement at Iowa's Drake University, where he had just engaged in a 90-minute discussion on redistricting and voter rights with Marsha Ternus, former chief justice of the Iowa Supreme Court.

"I'm going to decide if I’m going to try to find that space within the next month or so," he said.
 
Warren Buffett to support Bloomberg if he runs in 2020
Fox Business
Michael Bloomberg has yet to announce whether he will run for the Democratic presidential nominationOpens a New Window. in 2020, but the former New York City mayor has one fellow billionaire in his corner: famed investor Warren BuffettOpens a New Window..

"If Mike Bloomberg announced tomorrow that he was a candidate, I would say I'm for him," the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway told CNBC on Monday. "I think he would be a very good president."
 
Yep. I think it's a publicity thing. He may actually believe it though.

Meh, he's clearly a smart guy and he's well connected, but I have no idea where he would draw his support from if Biden is in the race.
 
Meh, he's clearly a smart guy and he's well connected, but I have no idea where he would draw his support from if Biden is in the race.

Yea, the best thing he would have going for him is a close connection to the Obama term but Biden would even take that away.
 
Meh, he's clearly a smart guy and he's well connected, but I have no idea where he would draw his support from if Biden is in the race.
Could be bold strategy to ally with Biden and Harris, etc

Holder goes for the hard centrists/on the fence types

Biden goes deep in the establishment/yearning for Obama bloc

Harris goes for the fake, wanna be leftists who will do everything they can to convince themselves that Harris is a progressive and not a cop

When they drop out they endorse each other
 
I expect Inslee and O'Rourke to declare within the next three weeks. I think we'll end up with 20 "major" Democratic candidates, though not sure how to define "major".

First-pass attempt at defintion of "major candidate": Has served in at least one of the 1) US House 2) US Senate 3) Governor's mansion of a US state 4) White House cabinet
 
Yea, the best thing he would have going for him is a close connection to the Obama term but Biden would even take that away.
Good point. Wasn't thinking of it that way
 
The Economics in Action at the end of the preceding section pointed out that U.S.
exports tend to be human-capital-intensive and U.S. imports tend to be unskilled-
labor-intensive. This suggests that the effect of international trade on U.S. factor mar-
kets is to raise the wage rate of highly educated American workers and reduce the
wage rate of unskilled American workers
.

This effect has been a source of much concern in recent years. Wage inequality—
the gap between the wages of high-paid and low-paid workers—has increased substan-
tially over the last 25 years. Some economists believe that growing international trade
is an important factor in that trend. If international trade has the effects predicted
by the Heckscher–Ohlin model, its growth raises the wages of highly educated
American workers, who already have relatively high wages, and lowers the wages of
less educated American workers, who already have relatively low wages.



---Paul Krugman and Robin Wells, Microeconomics 2nd Edition (2008)



<BC1>


That’s the song he was singing before there was a president Obama. Then he learned a new song just as he has every time his tribe has altered their direction.
 
The white male stuff I don’t care about, but 77 years old is OLD. So he’ll be 79 when he’s elected? And running for second term when he’s 83-84? That’s progressive ?
That's really my only concern about Bernie.
 
That’s the song he was singing before there was a president Obama. Then he learned a new song just as he has every time his tribe has altered their direction.

Evidence? Also, that doesn't even make any sense. The Democrats have been majority in favor of FTA's since Clinton's second term. For JVS to have been a critic of FTA's would mean that he was distinctly disagreeing with "his tribe."

@Jack V Savage
 
Evidence? Also, that doesn't even make any sense. The Democrats have been majority in favor of FTA's since Clinton's second term. For JVS to have been a critic of FTA's would mean that he was distinctly disagreeing with "his tribe."

@Jack V Savage

Or Krugman. I'd guess that an economics professor who thinks that free trade is bad is about as uncommon as a biology professor who is a young-Earth creationist.

And, yeah, I've pretty consistently over the years said that one area that I disagree with Democrats most strongly is that I'm a big supporter of free trade. I do think that support for it is much more common among political advisers on the left than voters, though.
 
Beto O’Rourke says he’s made a decision, promises 2020 announcement ‘soon’
Politco
90

Beto O’Rourke has decided whether he will run for president, he said Wednesday, but declined to say what that decision is.

“Amy and I have made a decision about how we can best serve our country,” the former Texas congressman said in a prepared statement about his deliberations with his wife. “We are excited to share it with everyone soon.”


O’Rourke, who is widely expected to enter the 2020 presidential campaign, has been emailing supporters in recent days and speaking privately with potential staffers. He had previously said that he would decide by this week whether to run for president, though he also said he would not be “limited” by that timetable.
 
Democratic Voters’ Second Choices Show How Fluid The 2020 Primary Race Is
FiveThirtyEight
If I had to pick one word to describe the Democratic presidential primary, it would be “fluid.” The field of candidates is sprawling, and almost a year remains before the first nominating contest. In primaries, voters are more prone to changing their minds than they are in general elections, so Democratic voters’ preferences will likely change several times between now and next spring.

It can therefore be useful in early polls to know not only which candidate is a voter’s first choice, but also who her backup is. In its weekly tracking poll of the 2020 Democratic presidential field, the pollster Morning Consult has been asking voters just that. And while the results might not be too surprising — former Vice President Joe Biden or Sen. Bernie Sanders are consistently voters’ second choices, just like they are voters’ first choices in almost every other national poll — they do highlight the limitations in how the media (including FiveThirtyEight) analyzes presidential primaries. Namely, the blocs/corners/lanes/circles we try to fit candidates and voters into are a lot messier in real life than we sometimes imagine.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top