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I don't quite think that is how it works.
How what works? Favorability? Polls? It is how it works. You impress people with shit you say, and they start to like you more. Trump's speech tonight was perfect. He admitted faults, while also maintaining his focus on the issues, and kept up attacks on Hillary and the media, but did it in a more professional, yet still Trump way.
He's now started to buy ad time on TV. I don't know how big of an impact his party shakeup has actually had, but tonight he looked really good. If he can continue to do what he did tonight(big IF), he'll tighten up the race in no time.