- Joined
- Dec 11, 2011
- Messages
- 11,458
- Reaction score
- 6
Senior Trump advisor: " It will take a miracle for us to win."
You do know he has to win almost all the key states to actually win right?
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html
Here's a little chart/map thingy for you to play with.
Trump victory party has a cash bar.
That may be the most offensive thing he has done this election.
I would say yes an no as I would assume the early pre voters were counted first . not certainAm I correct in assuming that early numbers usually come from more rural areas? Implying stronger Trump support ?
So when are we officially doomed?
Sorry was meant for TS don't know what happened there.Why are you quoting me?
Just ban him already mods.
ya its all those illegal mexicans voting. i heard they even had classes for them on how to vote. pathetic.Hillary just took the lead in Florida.
The reason the uncertainty causes a range like that is only because he weights the phenomenon that you are a part of. The people who don't weigh the uncertainty have tighter ranges, way on the high side for Hillary.I had enough math courses at university to understand what he's doing and that it's not nonsense per se. I don't complain about him being biased.
Maybe it's the best methodology, given the situation. But that's worthless if the produced results swing around like a pendulum.
That's simply the point where statistics don't help in real life. His analysis -while "scientifically" correct- say about nothing at all.
Today he tweeted: " Basically, these 3 cases are equally likely a—Solid Clinton win b—Epic Clinton blowout c—Close call, Trump *probably* wins Elect. Coll."
Yeah great Nate and what does that tell us? That's a good way of saying based on my current methodology I have no fucking clue what happens - just like every other dumbass who doesn't look at data at all.
"You look like about two hundred fifty pounds of chewed bubble gum. "Aside from what I hope are photoshopped nipples, I went to basic training with a guy who kinda looks like that.
I will be shocked if she wins Florida , and shocked speechless if she does even halfway well in TexasHillary just took the lead in Florida.
Lol, really doe. Like when is everything done? Late tonight?Almost,just pick your poison...