** 2016 Election Day Discussion **

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Senior Trump advisor: " It will take a miracle for us to win."
 
Trump victory party has a cash bar.

That may be the most offensive thing he has done this election.
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Those prices are absurd.
 
Am I correct in assuming that early numbers usually come from more rural areas? Implying stronger Trump support ?
I would say yes an no as I would assume the early pre voters were counted first . not certain
 
Trump is destroying her in many states while she has just one

He could pull this off holy shit
 
Trump win WV, per cnn no surprises so far
 
I had enough math courses at university to understand what he's doing and that it's not nonsense per se. I don't complain about him being biased.
Maybe it's the best methodology, given the situation. But that's worthless if the produced results swing around like a pendulum.
That's simply the point where statistics don't help in real life. His analysis -while "scientifically" correct- say about nothing at all.
Today he tweeted: " Basically, these 3 cases are equally likely a—Solid Clinton win b—Epic Clinton blowout c—Close call, Trump *probably* wins Elect. Coll."
Yeah great Nate and what does that tell us? That's a good way of saying based on my current methodology I have no fucking clue what happens - just like every other dumbass who doesn't look at data at all.
The reason the uncertainty causes a range like that is only because he weights the phenomenon that you are a part of. The people who don't weigh the uncertainty have tighter ranges, way on the high side for Hillary.
 
Trump now ahead in FL
 
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