WSOF 35 - Ivanov vs Jordan - New York

[Oblivian]

I'm nervous about why the line swing is there. Sadistics implied there is a reason for it. No way would I go big on Siler even though the line seems way off based on that.

 

[EzFlyer]

I'm nervous about why the line swing is there. Sadistics implied there is a reason for it. No way would I go big on Siler even though the line seems way off based on that.

sometimes it's just someone who thinks they know something, too

look at bang-kuntz (love saying that)

look at townsend-edwards just a couple weeks ago:

 

[EzFlyer]

Hate to root against you but I grew up wrestling with Harrison in high school and early college. Guy just keeps winning.

heard, i just think it's a very close fight and i lean palmer. i also expected palmer to open -140 to -150, so i JUMPED on the +120 opener etc.

i've hedged off 1u so far, but yea, i got movement wrong on this one, it seems.

 

[Jae Gibbz]

sometimes it's just someone who thinks they know something, too

look at bang-kuntz (love saying that)

look at townsend-edwards just a couple weeks ago:

Ahhh, wonderful memories of those 2 fights for obvious reasons. Hopefully Siler can make another great memory tomorrow night!

 

[LEMONZEST]

I am annoyed at myself for not hitting Bang when his line climbed like crazy. I was scared thinking it was a trap....meanwhile I missed out!

Not missing out this time...about 3u into Siler here....BOL

 

[MMAFAN666]

Anyone on Frelow at +700? Bekbulat Magomedov is rather unimpressive(Valiev was going to win this easily), scary sounding name and all. Frelow is tough, could sneak out a few rounds with better cardio perhaps. I think it's worth a small play.

 

[LEMONZEST]

Anyone on Frelow at +700? Bekbulat Magomedov is rather unimpressive(Valiev was going to win this easily), scary sounding name and all. Frelow is tough, could sneak out a few rounds with better cardio perhaps. I think it's worth a small play.

Yeah I am on him small and at a slightly worse price.

I am a strong believer that most of these extreme lines in MMA are out. There are enough variables that playing the dog makes sense. People can have injuries/tough weight cuts/personal problems etc.

In reality most of these pro fights are much closer than the odds indicate. Anyone can get clipped by a punch or just have an off day ...

Let the dogs bark this weekend!

 

[EzFlyer]

Anyone on Frelow at +700? Bekbulat Magomedov is rather unimpressive(Valiev was going to win this easily), scary sounding name and all. Frelow is tough, could sneak out a few rounds with better cardio perhaps. I think it's worth a small play.

i'm considering a shot, yea, but it would be very small. same w/secor

 

[EzFlyer]

weighins

 

[Jae Gibbz]

Well Siler made weight at least

 

[null]

Thanks for posting, EZ. Hopefully we can replay this from the beginning when it's over as I missed a lot of the weigh-ins.

 

[EzFlyer]

frelow only 132.5 for the 135 titlefight...

think everyone else was on weight.

 

[null]

They had a far off camera angle, but from what I could see on the main card weigh-ins, Frelow did not look that undersized vs Magomedov, while Harrison made Palmer look pretty small. Was hard to tell how fat Jordan is, but he weighed in at 264 pounds to Ivanov's 251 pounds.

 

[weedreference]

Only play on the card is Ivanov -125 to win 2u and the o1.5 at -110 to win 1u.

Don't see Ivanov getting finished and don't see Jordan winning a long fight... played it accordingly.

 

[EzFlyer]

hedged my palmer 4u down to 2u, now i'm 2u +100 on him. much more palatable. pretty much planned on hedging when i dropped 4u here on the opener, i just thought i'd do it to improve price, not to hinder it.

i cap it 55-45 palmer, more or less. i think he'll be more active on the feet. and i think that's the difference. i expect a 25 minute competitive kickboxing match. don't think either guy will have much success taking the other down.

----

still torn on ivanov-jordan. i'd take either guy +120 or up, prolly, i think it's that hard of a choice. i'm looking at that O1.5. i'm more comfortable doing the O1.5 if i do jordan ML, tho, cause i think he's the more likely early KO threat. (as opposed to losing both if i went ivanov + O1.5)

hoping props open, maybe that'll create some opportunities

 

[EzFlyer]

i'm taking jordan NSC +110

also gonna play goes 5 +325 & O1.5 -115, smaller

 

[null]

I must have missed WSOF, because I went way bigger on this than I originally anticipated. War Siler!

WSOF 35 Risk $1157.50

Shawn Jordan (+113) vs Blagoy Ivanov ~$100.00 for ~$113.00
Shawn Jordan/Blagoy Ivanov Over 1½ (-120) $120.00 for $100.00
Blagoy Ivanov wins by 5 round decision (+595) $20.00 for $119.00

Lance Palmer (+110) vs Andre Harrison $200.00 for $220.00
Andre Harrison wins by 5 round decision (+179) $50.00 for $89.50

Donavon Frelow (+700) vs Bekbulat Magomedov $25.00 for $175.00

Abubakar Nurmagomedov/Matt Secor Over 2½ (-130) $130.00 for $100.00

Steven Siler (+375) vs Hakeem Dawodu $100.00 for $375.00
Steven Siler (+180) vs Hakeem Dawodu $100.00 for $180.00
Steven Siler (+138) vs Hakeem Dawodu ~$82.50 for ~$113.85
Steven Siler (+115) vs Hakeem Dawodu $100.00 for $115.00
Steven Siler/Hakeem Dawodu Over 1½ (-130) $130.00 for $100.00

 

[EzFlyer]

palmer NSC +179, love it (even tho it prolly pushes)

 

[EzFlyer]

WSOF 35 Risk: 997.50
jordan NSC: 150 for 171 / DEC: 30 for 97.50 / O1.5: 57.50 for 50
palmer +100: 200 for 200 / palmer NSC: 100 for 179
frelow +5.5: 25 for 80
nurmagamedov-secor O2.5: 115 for 100
siler +256: 200 for 512.50 / O1.5: 120 for 100
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hedged palmer from 4u to 2u, but added that NSC bet

hedged siler .. didnt plan on so much there, but gotta go for it w/what i think is a great line.

frelow +5.5 prolly a throwaway flier hehe.

i'm gambling on jordan. i think he's the much more likely early ko chance. hope he goes 1.5 if he doesn't win.

 

[MMAFAN666]

Lines for Siler/Dawodu no longer up