Shelton will easily pick Espinosa apart. On the feet on the ground. Espinosa seems to think he’s Dom Cruz but he’s got so many defensive liabilities. Shelton will land leg kicks at will, and will probably force Espinosa to engage and that will allow Shelton to find openings either for strikes or a level change. Not endorsing a finish but +530 for Shelton is a no brainer.
Gutierrez should win this fight although the price is too high for a B- level fighter like him. I see him landing low kicks, the other guy looks heavy on his lead foot. Gut looks to have some good dexterity in both his feet.
Makdessi’s line has gotten inflated but he should technically win this. Pinedo doesn’t have any footwork he just throws left kicks. There’s going to be many opportunities for counters. I think Makdessi eventually works his outside foot against the basic southpaw and lands a straight punch down the middle. I can see a finish happening too depending on how tough Pinedo’s chin is, and how willingly safe is Mak gonna fight, which I dunno.
I like the odds of Formiga winning a decision. I got him at +375 last time against lil Pettis which didn’t make any sense. He’s a back taker and those guys can win rounds. Davidson has fought one grappler which is Brooks and he was getting taken down at will. Formiga has much better control when it gets down there. The only difference in wrestling style is that Formiga prefers the body lock. Either way, I think this goes o2.5 as well.
Lastly, I’m on Big Titty Willis. I think his stance is going to give Blaydes some issues. Willis is a proficient lefty and being at AKA, I think he’ll settle into Blaydes’ style faster than you think. It’ll be a close fight but at +225 that should actually be at -110 a piece IMO. I’m playing his decision line as well +550.
@william hill in vegas, they allow you to parlay the over/unders on the main card. I’ve already got some safe bets settled in but I’m going to do my usually jackpot parlay on the following
Willis + o2.5
Formiga + o2.5
Makdessi + u2.5
6 leg 200$ (4 units) for 19,000$