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Didn't forget him, just don't consider that version of Lombard to be a good win. Lombard was 2 minutes away from winning that too, landing whatever he wanted whenever he wanted.
UFN 134 Shogun vs Smith
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Didn't forget him, just don't consider that version of Lombard to be a good win. Lombard was 2 minutes away from winning that too, landing whatever he wanted whenever he wanted.
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Can you just stop plz?
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Yea the only thing I’ve played so far is fdngtd and shogun ko. I don’t see it going five rds and shoguns ko line was pretty decent
Prices aren’t good enough for me to play either ml
I’m basically just arguing against playing shogun
Lines indicate smith is overhyped but most of the people in the thread seem to be on shogun
I guess there was marginal value when he was above +200 but I’m not rushing to the book to back either of these guys
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I also don’t understand the fascination with continuing to play Anderson at these odds.
Are people excited that he beat Patrick Cummings? He got knocked out in back to back fights before that. Is there really value at +135? Lol.
Glover has legit knock out power. His tdd isn’t that bad to where he’s constantly going to be on his back
I bet Anderson dec when it was over +300
No way I would back him straight up against a puncher
Are people excited that he beat Patrick Cummings? He got knocked out in back to back fights before that. Is there really value at +135? Lol.
Glover has legit knock out power. His tdd isn’t that bad to where he’s constantly going to be on his back
I bet Anderson dec when it was over +300
No way I would back him straight up against a puncher
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Yea I don’t get it. Glover tko/ko is +155 that’s what I’m rolling with
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I should have clarified in my post. I bet Anderson at +220 and his dec line at +350 and +365. Absolutely no chance I would play him under +175 or so ML and even then I would probably just opt for his dec prop now that it is available.
I also hedged with Glover TKO +185. Anderson Dec or glover takes his head off IMO.
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I really wanna join in on the Shogun circle jerk, but I am really nervous about power/chin disparity.
Smith doesn't have the best hit list, but he has been pretty consistent at landing the power shot outside of the Santos fight where he was badly outclassed. He is long, athletic, and creative at landing big knees and elbows which Shogun will struggle to survive after eating.
In a 5 round fight, you are basically betting on Shogun landing the first kill shot. Which is certainly possible, but how much power does he have left? It took 3 rounds of consistently tagging Villante to finish him, and even though he rocked Corey Anderson a couple of times he couldn't get the finish.
My biggest concern is Smith moving up to 205 will be just enough of a boost to his chin to make a quick KO hard for Shogun. He just isn't on the same power level as Santos who was murking everybody leading up to that fight. And even Villante + old Little Nog wobbled him a bit early-- if that's a big shot from Smith he is going to be more than wobbled.
I'd really love to see Shogun come out and destroy Smith. But I have a bad feeling he is going to be outlanding him with significantly less harmful strikes, and at +190 there's not quite enough upside to justify the risk
Smith doesn't have the best hit list, but he has been pretty consistent at landing the power shot outside of the Santos fight where he was badly outclassed. He is long, athletic, and creative at landing big knees and elbows which Shogun will struggle to survive after eating.
In a 5 round fight, you are basically betting on Shogun landing the first kill shot. Which is certainly possible, but how much power does he have left? It took 3 rounds of consistently tagging Villante to finish him, and even though he rocked Corey Anderson a couple of times he couldn't get the finish.
My biggest concern is Smith moving up to 205 will be just enough of a boost to his chin to make a quick KO hard for Shogun. He just isn't on the same power level as Santos who was murking everybody leading up to that fight. And even Villante + old Little Nog wobbled him a bit early-- if that's a big shot from Smith he is going to be more than wobbled.
I'd really love to see Shogun come out and destroy Smith. But I have a bad feeling he is going to be outlanding him with significantly less harmful strikes, and at +190 there's not quite enough upside to justify the risk
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Hadz can murk Hein IMO
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Yea I don’t encourage playing either dog at even close to high stakes. Seems more like degen bets to me, which I’m fine with.
Just be responsible with your units.
Yea that’s about the same way I feel.
If Glover’s line keeps dropping I’ll probably end up playing it
Just be responsible with your units.
Yea that’s about the same way I feel.
If Glover’s line keeps dropping I’ll probably end up playing it
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Sound logic, max bet?
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Maybe -- I personally think Hadzovic is absolute trash. He does have a size and power advantage though.
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just reading you website article now. im currently looking into the hein fight. do you think hein slow the fight to
did you get that from tapology? another thing thats gone missing with the update
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Thats fair. If you want to bet against Hadz being on fight going the distance is a great way to do it, bc Hein probably isn’t finishing
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anyone got a good read on liu v stasiak . stasiak just gonna take him down. how is liu takedown defence?
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Bermudez strike anybody as a bit of a frontrunner? I forget what fight it was (Morales I think) but he seemed very tired after a bunch of grappling exchanges before hitting the sub. Still many question marks on his game imo. Round 1 @ +225 seems like a good bet if you're into Berm. Grant can get overly aggressive and likes the clinch. Hard to read if manny can get a win other by opportunistic sub.
