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Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Mar 18, 2017.
i managed to hedge small with vera itd at +1100 after round 2. this was on bet365.
Vera was +450 at the end of round 2. That was his ml not even itd. I know because i hedged lol
Mid R2 when Picket was on top I took Vera ITD R3 @27.00, that saved my night...
Sorry , I was talking about the ML not ITD. I bet the ML odds 4.00 at the start of r3 Bet365
i think there are 2-3 other fighters that look prime for a parlay. i have some pretty strong leans.
You're good at what you do and entertaining to boot. Everyone has losing events. I think Pickett was the right side, shit happens in this sport.
Also you're right that I took a loss at Fortaleza, was down about $10k. But my total deposits into this game have been $18k and yet I have a $128k bankroll. Old man Oblivian is my life coach, back when I will still in diapers he pooh-poohed my dream of being a pro at this. Well, I admit I still have a real job so maybe the old codger was right, but maybe one day.
That's pretty fucking impressive. I used to know people making money like that on Sbr a long time ago before it became the shithole it is known as today. There used to be a couple people that you could tail their plays and it was as reliable as a part time job. With a bankroll that large how come you don't share what you are playing each event? Do you think that it ruins the lines for you? I'm just curious as it seems like the only thing that would be better than making lots of money would be making lots of money and helping others do the same.
Do u have 128k in offsho Books?
Yeah. I wonder if any offshore books will actually give you the money in case you decide to withdraw. Offshore books are just digital digits.
I was wondering that too. I suppose if you have it spread over enough books that are under totally different ownership to where your risk was spread out you could feel comfortable with it. I cannot imagine having a substantial amount with any one offshore book though. Remember when one of the major poker sites ended up not having anything close to the amount that their players had (in total) in their accounts? I'm pretty sure one pro poker player had like $1.2m with them. You have that much $ with one offshore poker site and it turns out they only have 20-30% of the $ they are supposed to have to cover what players have in their accounts? And since technically you are illegally gambling (assuming you are in the U.S.) you have zero legal recourse to get the $? No thanks.
@waiguoren is (I'm pretty sure) a U.S. citizen living in China. I have no clue how it plays out for him with offshore if that's where he has his $.
Since we're on this subject, how much do you guys usually leave in offshore books like 5d? I'm up to 14k right now, was wondering whats a 'safe' amount to keep there
why do you guys keep money on these sites? its a lose lose situation if you ask me
Everyone would like to know the answer to these questions but no one audits 5Dimes. All we know is they have been around for a long time and have a stellar payout record. We also know they have billions in Costa Rican banks.
No offense but you have 2 posts. You can talk to guys like EZ with whom I have shared some insight in the past. I shared a lot of insight in the political betting thread, check it out.
YA thats true I just started posting here but I have been gambling on mma a very long time. I'm 40 years old and have been watching since I was in high school. I was making money on this sport before the public had any clue who these guys even were. SBR was going long before this thread my friend. In typical fashion if someone doesn't have an old join date or a high belt than they just must be a newbie. The laughable part is I was coming here before 9/11. So...no offense taken. You answered my question without answering my question.
Oh and by 9/11 I meant the event not September 2011. I attended FLETC and was surprised to find out that the first thing they do there is teach recruits about what happened...as most of the people there were too young to have been impacted by the day and don't really know all that much about the event. Just in case that applies here as well lol
One thing I notice about you guys is 9 of 10 have large egos, now I do as well and I also know folks like us counter-strike at the slightest perceived slight, so I'm not judging.
Now what I can't decipher is why so many portray that cocky confidence? I've done my introspection and I've found the reason I am the way I am, I win a lot(not just sports bets) and I've just come to expect it. I can't believe 9 of 10 of us are profitable so what's the reason? Maybe some win a lot in other areas of life? Maybe some are already wealthy and do this as a hobby? Maybe some lose a lot in life but have prestigious online personas that helps them decompress? Maybe some think their losing streak is an act of God and the variance will equalize over time? Just some of the random shit I think about, further thought required but not likely allotted.
I'm not disputing anything you said and I didn't mean to be condescending. It's just that I am a weird kinship of sorts with some of the regulars here. I'm an old man too if that helps, though not as old as you.
Also, I frequent SBR and find it to be very useful.
Man that's a whole lot of psychoanalysis buddy! For sure you've put more thought into the motives of posters here than I ever have. In general, I tend to believe most of the reasonable claims made here, esp if it's from posters with a long track record. I kind of agree, I'm not sure what the motivation to overstate your success would be. Personally, I have 12-13 years of MMA betting (it's not the only thing I bet on, but it's where I've had my most consistent success) with most of them being profitable (4 losing years during that time period, although only one really good year in the last 5 as I believe books are becoming better in general with setting lines).
Maybe because I don't be life-altering sums of $ is why I can't understand someone's motivation to lie or inflate their success here. If I have a really good winning night, I'm still driving the same car, living in the same house. I'm in the 33% tax bracket, but I have no hesitation saying I'm totally uncomfortable betting anywhere near the sums of $ that some guys here bet (these are documented bets by some guys, slips have been posted numerous times). It works for those guys, but I couldn't stomach it. If I lose a few hundred bucks or even low 4 figures on an event I can tolerate that. Any more than that and I'd feel sick, even though my wife and I earn a lot of $.
So am I still cocky? I guess so. I beat the books more than they beat me so yep I think I'm smarter and a damn good capper. That said, I'm down 8.8u this year so far so my ego is in check pretty well right now. I haven't even had a really bad event, just a lot of small losses and no big wins this year yet. It's still early though, only March.
I wouldn't consider myself to have a big ego...kind of opposite as I treasured the time when I was more knowledgeable about this sport than 99% of the population. I really felt like the sport had passed me by once the UFC became mainstream and a whole generation of people with internet access to research old fights came on the scene. I used to watch this sport and when you saw a good event you would recommend your friends see it when it came to blockbuster. I do understand the "kinship" piece though as a long time ago there was both a Doctor and attorney on SBR. They certainly didn't need money but they enjoyed the comradrie and satisfaction that came from having a winning night together...like here