UFC Singapore: Max Holloway vs. Zombie, August 26

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UFC Singapore

Jerome-Max Kelii Holloway vs Chan Sung Jung

https://twitter.com/hashtag/UFCSingapore?src=hashtag_click&f=live

https://fightodds.io/odds/4755/ufc-fight-night-holloway-vs-korean-zombie

https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/101389-ufc-fight-night

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Korean Zombie
upload_2023-8-7_19-52-32.jpeg





https://www.tapology.com/fightcente...g-bang-njokuani-vs-michal-hussar-oleksiejczuk

http://ufcstats.com/fight-details/293c5f4c9aca5c54

Oleksiejczuk is a more traditional fighter, using his combinations to set up his takedowns or clinch exchanges against the fence. He has a powerful left hand that he often uses to break the guard of his opponents to start putting together combinations. He’s not as strong off of his back as Borralho but has shown himself to scramble out of precarious positions when push comes to shove. Against strong grapplers, however, he’s been shut down entirely, often losing decisions or getting submitted due to his inability to recover from long grappling exchanges. Oleksiejczuk’s main deficit is his lack of defense. He swings pretty wildly which has often led to him getting countered and seriously hurt, which has altered the course of many of his fights. He takes a decent amount of time to recover as well, which has put him on the back foot in many of his bouts. Borralho isn’t sharp from a technical standpoint, but he could surely capitalize on this if Oleksiejczuk doesn’t give him a diverse arsenal of reads in his combinations.

Njokuani is a highly technical, smooth, and powerful kickboxer who, in a standup fight, often has the advantage. He tends to be a fast starter; but, interestingly, doesn’t rush. Instead, he’ll use his long legs to prod his opponent, like a jab, and push them back over and over. Because of his length advantage, opponents are forced to crash distance, often while frustrated. When this happens, Njokuani’s power counter striking comes to light. He fluidly combines knees, upkicks, and fast punching combinations that land with real emphasis. Especially against a linear moving striker who is recklessly crashing distance, Njokuani has the striking acumen to end the fight quickly. While his striking is impressive, Chidi’s grappling is a major concern. Outside of using his length and size to post against the cage, Njokuani has minimal takedown defense and is a fish out of water from his back.

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Waldo Cortes-Acosta to win over Lukasz Brzeski @-300 seems crazy.
Brzeski is pretty horrible, but so is Acosta. Don't see myself betting Brzeski but betting Acosta at these odds seems like a sure way to lose money in the long run. Brzeski could hold him against the cage for 15 min and I wouldn't be supriced.
 
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I need these to finish a 3.5k parlay

Rolando-going to split with Khaos Williams holds a lot of value. Better chin than Kenan who always hits a ceiling when he faces competent fighters.

Waldo- Im a little concern about this one cause his opponent Brezski likes to attack the legs. And Waldo lost his last fight for his shitty leg kick defense. But im gonna side with the favorite because of his win consistency.

Tafa- I don't see any difference between the Tafa bros. They both have the same strengths. Parker i don't believe has the wrestling of Usman to replicate that success. He's too slow and fat and not like Tafa has the worst tdd , he has decent getups to his feet.

Talia almost beat Shevchenko , I think recency bias at work, Blanchfield has the same strengths but she's lost to Tracy Cortez before, so she does have a weakness to girls who can wrestle better than her. I think Talia is more physical and has acquired more cage time. I think she should be the favorite. I see her winning the scrambles to top position.

Giga- I see him defending any back takes from Caceras and winning on the feet. Caceras also hits a ceiling when facing top ranked fighters.
 
Stat_Collector said:
View attachment 997165

I need these to finish a 3.5k parlay

Rolando-going to split with Khaos Williams holds a lot of value. Better chin than Kenan who always hits a ceiling when he faces competent fighters.

Waldo- Im a little concern about this one cause his opponent Brezski likes to attack the legs. And Waldo lost his last fight for his shitty leg kick defense. But im gonna side with the favorite because of his win consistency.

Tafa- I don't see any difference between the Tafa bros. They both have the same strengths. Parker i don't believe has the wrestling of Usman to replicate that success. He's too slow and fat and not like Tafa has the worst tdd , he has decent getups to his feet.

Talia almost beat Shevchenko , I think recency bias at work, Blanchfield has the same strengths but she's lost to Tracy Cortez before, so she does have a weakness to girls who can wrestle better than her. I think Talia is more physical and has acquired more cage time. I think she should be the favorite. I see her winning the scrambles to top position.

Giga- I see him defending any back takes from Caceras and winning on the feet. Caceras also hits a ceiling when facing top ranked fighters.
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Santos might also be a better striker. Before the Shev fight she was more known to be a striker. It is still extremely weird she was outgrappled by Mara Borella in her debut. Santos has been improving every fight, I like her here as a dog too.
 
Broe. said:
Santos might also be a better striker. Before the Shev fight she was more known to be a striker. It is still extremely weird she was outgrappled by Mara Borella in her debut. Santos has been improving every fight, I like her here as a dog too.
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I think she had a stipe miocic/struve moment.

She's a good fighter who had a bad night where she fought flat. Who knows what happened prior. She has since out grappled Gillian and out grappled Val for most of the fight. I think she'll hit -130 by saturday. And i agree with the striking, she has better muay thai. She is a typical brazilian striker. I also favor her as being more athletic too, she has more tone than Erin who at times looks chubby around the gut.
 
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Stat_Collector said:
View attachment 997165



Talia almost beat Shevchenko , I think recency bias at work, Blanchfield has the same strengths but she's lost to Tracy Cortez before, so she does have a weakness to girls who can wrestle better than her. I think Talia is more physical and has acquired more cage time. I think she should be the favorite. I see her winning the scrambles to top position.
.
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Keep in mind, the loss to Cortez was going on 5 years ago now, was Erin's 4th pro fight (to be fair, only Cortez's 6th although she had 3 ammy fights and Erin never had any), and Erin was only 20 years old. In fact, Erin's first fight was less than a year prior so she literally may have only been really training MMA about a year or so prior to the loss to Cortez (which was a split dec no less). At 24 I would say Erin is likely improving at a pretty rapid clip overall.

I don't think playing Santos is a "bad play" or anything, but messing with someone like Blanchfield on the mat is a dangerous game. Shev is obviously a legend and made herself into a terrific MMA grappler WHEN she has top position. But she's nothing like what Blanchfield can do off her back (assuming she's fresh anyway--all bets off obviously when girls get tired as we've seen even with Dern who's among the best female grapplers ever).

I think you're onto something maybe with the pure physicality thing, but HOW Santos uses it is key. I think clinch, dirty boxing, cage hugging to tire out Erin may be a key. I disagree that scrambling with Blanchfield is a good idea, the odds of Erin latching onto a tight sub or sweeping to a dominant position are pretty high. She's that high level on the mat.
 
mkess101 said:
Keep in mind, the loss to Cortez was going on 5 years ago now, was Erin's 4th pro fight (to be fair, only Cortez's 6th although she had 3 ammy fights and Erin never had any), and Erin was only 20 years old. In fact, Erin's first fight was less than a year prior so she literally may have only been really training MMA about a year or so prior to the loss to Cortez (which was a split dec no less). At 24 I would say Erin is likely improving at a pretty rapid clip overall.

I don't think playing Santos is a "bad play" or anything, but messing with someone like Blanchfield on the mat is a dangerous game. Shev is obviously a legend and made herself into a terrific MMA grappler WHEN she has top position. But she's nothing like what Blanchfield can do off her back (assuming she's fresh anyway--all bets off obviously when girls get tired as we've seen even with Dern who's among the best female grapplers ever).

I think you're onto something maybe with the pure physicality thing, but HOW Santos uses it is key. I think clinch, dirty boxing, cage hugging to tire out Erin may be a key. I disagree that scrambling with Blanchfield is a good idea, the odds of Erin latching onto a tight sub or sweeping to a dominant position are pretty high. She's that high level on the mat.
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bjj bottom game vs top ctrl wrestling game. I always favor the wrestler top specialist. Erin tapped the last three girls who have historically tapped before. she dec 3 girls before that.

JJ also got her down twice. Im not convince she is going to pose those threats. Santos top game is very safe. She knows how to hold girls down and avoid lose limbs from getting caught. You can also just look at their physique and size and know that Santos looks more physically imposing.

Erin looks very soft around the edges. she is also tiny for 125'lb, if she toned down , she could be a better 115lb fighter. Santos looks more natural at 125lb, she looks like she cuts weight and fights 10lb heavier fight night.


What is Erin's bjj background? I don't see any bjj accomplishments like McKenzie Dern. She is a eddie Bravo bjj brown belt.

The tracy fight was a while ago but it revealed to me she didn't start off with wrestling as a base.

I gotta go with my gut here. I look at Santos vs Val, and she held her own nice and on the feet as well. Im not saying Erin can't hang with Val. But i have proof that Santos did hang with Val. And that to me has more credit and validation than Erin beating Jessica Andrade in short notice.
 
Stat_Collector said:
bjj bottom game vs top ctrl wrestling game. I always favor the wrestler top specialist. Erin tapped the last three girls who have historically tapped before. she dec 3 girls before that.

JJ also got her down twice. Im not convince she is going to pose those threats. Santos top game is very safe. She knows how to hold girls down and avoid lose limbs from getting caught. You can also just look at their physique and size and know that Santos looks more physically imposing.

Erin looks very soft around the edges. she is also tiny for 125'lb, if she toned down , she could be a better 115lb fighter. Santos looks more natural at 125lb, she looks like she cuts weight and fights 10lb heavier fight night.


What is Erin's bjj background? I don't see any bjj accomplishments like McKenzie Dern. She is a eddie Bravo bjj brown belt.

The tracy fight was a while ago but it revealed to me she didn't start off with wrestling as a base.

I gotta go with my gut here. I look at Santos vs Val, and she held her own nice and on the feet as well. Im not saying Erin can't hang with Val. But i have proof that Santos did hang with Val. And that to me has more credit and validation than Erin beating Jessica Andrade in short notice.
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The size matters and is a good point, if Santos gets her down. Erin is now a black belt FYI, and at 24 years old and given the lineage it's pretty impressive. She's legit as hell. Won the Eddie Bravo invitational as a purple belt when she was still a teenager. From what I can see, she' kinda like Dern in that she started bjj super young (like 7-8 years old). Unlike Dern though, seems like it was just to get the quickest path into MMA (or somewhere in her teens that became the goal). Dern's dad is a bjj legend, she just existed in that ecosystem organically, basically almost couldn't avoid becoming a women's bjj GOAT.

I'm trying to find some videos of her grappling but of course now in searching I can't find them. I saw some awhile back (from that EBI tourney) and her sweeps are pretty sick. Santos **might** have a good enough base and just be big and strong enough to avoid them but IDK...Erin is 100% the real deal. IMO Santos has a better PTV than messing with Erin on the mat. I don't think Blanchfield's striking is as good, nor do I think she will get the better of the clinch fight vs Santos. But on the ground...that's her world.
 
mkess101 said:
The size matters and is a good point, if Santos gets her down. Erin is now a black belt FYI, and at 24 years old and given the lineage it's pretty impressive. She's legit as hell. Won the Eddie Bravo invitational as a purple belt when she was still a teenager. From what I can see, she' kinda like Dern in that she started bjj super young (like 7-8 years old). Unlike Dern though, seems like it was just to get the quickest path into MMA (or somewhere in her teens that became the goal). Dern's dad is a bjj legend, she just existed in that ecosystem organically, basically almost couldn't avoid becoming a women's bjj GOAT.

I'm trying to find some videos of her grappling but of course now in searching I can't find them. I saw some awhile back (from that EBI tourney) and her sweeps are pretty sick. Santos **might** have a good enough base and just be big and strong enough to avoid them but IDK...Erin is 100% the real deal. IMO Santos has a better PTV than messing with Erin on the mat. I don't think Blanchfield's striking is as good, nor do I think she will get the better of the clinch fight vs Santos. But on the ground...that's her world.
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But you know that bjj doesn't translate to mma the same way. Gillian Robertson can beat Rose in bjj, but she gets smoked in mma.

Fluffy vs Farreira

Stamina, striking, athleticism, explosiveness, ground and pound all changes those dynamics.

I think to hammer something home as well is that if she started grappling that young, she still got out grappled by Tracy who started mma at 14. No wrestling background.

Obviously Santos lost too Barela but has looked great recently. Everyone has their losses. Im not trying to say Santos is perfect, but she has more grappling(in mma) credit in her last fights.

Even holding down Gillian for mass amount of ctrl time has value. 8 mins on Val.

Erin couldn't take JJ down, she got her in a standing guillotine. Up until that point it was competitive, and JJ was tagging her. I think Santos has already surpassed that point where she would have just dominated JJ with few hits. She dropped Jojo who is a striker by trade 2x. I don't see Erin being able to do that. Erin throws a lot of lazzy jabs and leaves herself open for counters.

I honestly think Santos don't need wrestling, i see her just bull rushing her and koing her in under 2 rounds and completely shutting down her grappling defensively.
 
altho i should point out Santos' lack of koes. wmma in a nutshell.
 
Stat_Collector said:
But you know that bjj doesn't translate to mma the same way. Gillian Robertson can beat Rose in bjj, but she gets smoked in mma.

Fluffy vs Farreira

Stamina, striking, athleticism, explosiveness, ground and pound all changes those dynamics.

I think to hammer something home as well is that if she started grappling that young, she still got out grappled by Tracy who started mma at 14. No wrestling background.

Obviously Santos lost too Barela but has looked great recently. Everyone has their losses. Im not trying to say Santos is perfect, but she has more grappling(in mma) credit in her last fights.

Even holding down Gillian for mass amount of ctrl time has value. 8 mins on Val.

Erin couldn't take JJ down, she got her in a standing guillotine. Up until that point it was competitive, and JJ was tagging her. I think Santos has already surpassed that point where she would have just dominated JJ with few hits. She dropped Jojo who is a striker by trade 2x. I don't see Erin being able to do that. Erin throws a lot of lazzy jabs and leaves herself open for counters.

I honestly think Santos don't need wrestling, i see her just bull rushing her and koing her in under 2 rounds and completely shutting down her grappling defensively.
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Right I think we kinda agree. I guess I'm not confident in Santos like you are (nor would I be confident in Erin to be fair) but you're kinda saying the same thing it seems. Santos better PTV is just to keep it standing. Don't play around in Blanchfield's world if she doesn't have to. That doesn't mean if it goes to the mat that Santos is automatically in deep trouble or anything, but there's for sure inherent risk in messing around down there with a pretty decorated grappler like Erin. Whereas I agree that Erin's striking is just okay...I think Santos is better standing. Anything can happen, but hard for me to see Erin winning a fight that's all on the feet.

Again, remember with the Cortez fight that Erin was 20. Brand new to MMA, probably hadn't done much strength training, etc. Was just a bjj girl getting her feet wet in the MMA world. Good chance she's much physically stronger now. She's 24, hitting her physical peak, has been training for years, etc.
 
mkess101 said:
Right I think we kinda agree. I guess I'm not confident in Santos like you are (nor would I be confident in Erin to be fair) but you're kinda saying the same thing it seems. Santos better PTV is just to keep it standing. Don't play around in Blanchfield's world if she doesn't have to. That doesn't mean if it goes to the mat that Santos is automatically in deep trouble or anything, but there's for sure inherent risk in messing around down there with a pretty decorated grappler like Erin. Whereas I agree that Erin's striking is just okay...I think Santos is better standing. Anything can happen, but hard for me to see Erin winning a fight that's all on the feet.

Again, remember with the Cortez fight that Erin was 20. Brand new to MMA, probably hadn't done much strength training, etc. Was just a bjj girl getting her feet wet in the MMA world. Good chance she's much physically stronger now. She's 24, hitting her physical peak, has been training for years, etc.
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i dont really see the threat on the ground either. That is the only difference we see. I don't believe that is Erin's world when she fights Santos. There are 6 other girls who went the distance with Erin and she couldn't tap them. Her last three are lacking in the sub defense department. I just dont see her doing any of the things you said. reversing her or subbing from the bottom.

Maybe im wrong, but i'll just agree to disagree on the ground aspect of the fight. The jj Adrich fight to me , she just didn't tap her from a dominate position and she failed all 4 takedowns. Santos would have gotten her down, and would have done better there. And JJ would never take Santos down either.
 
Stat_Collector said:
i dont really see the threat on the ground either. That is the only difference we see. I don't believe that is Erin's world when she fights Santos. There are 6 other girls who went the distance with Erin and she couldn't tap them. Her last three are lacking in the sub defense department. I just dont see her doing any of the things you said. reversing her or subbing from the bottom.

Maybe im wrong, but i'll just agree to disagree on the ground aspect of the fight. The jj Adrich fight to me , she just didn't tap her from a dominate position and she failed all 4 takedowns. Santos would have gotten her down, and would have done better there. And JJ would never take Santos down either.
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I wouldn't say JJ lacks sub defense, was only ever subbed once prior in almost 20 fights (and it was one of her first fights). If anything, that guillotine shows that Blanchfield is dangerous if she attacks a sub from anywhere. Molly and to a slight lesser degree Andrade...agreed.
 
mkess101 said:
I wouldn't say JJ lacks sub defense, was only ever subbed once prior in almost 20 fights (and it was one of her first fights). If anything, that guillotine shows that Blanchfield is dangerous if she attacks a sub from anywhere. Molly and to a slight lesser degree Andrade...agreed.
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Erin is pretty good, she should fight 115lb. she would dominate. i'd be shocked if she could get passed Grasso or Val or Santos.
Jj also got tapped by Tatiana in tuf, she's not bad as a grappler, her tdd is good, but she probably has a suspect bjj game.


Im hoping this isn't one of those times im dead wrong like a Niko Price moment, but i feel confident here that Santos will dominate her everywhere.
 
Stat_Collector said:
Erin is pretty good, she should fight 115lb. she would dominate. i'd be shocked if she could get passed Grasso or Val or Santos.
Jj also got tapped by Tatiana in tuf, she's not bad as a grappler, her tdd is good, but she probably has a suspect bjj game.


Im hoping this isn't one of those times im dead wrong like a Niko Price moment, but i feel confident here that Santos will dominate her everywhere.
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TBH...I don't know exactly how good Erin is at this point. I know her grappling is legit. I'm not as convinced about the rest of her game. I think this fight is where we find out just how good she is. If you're right, she's not elite. At least not yet. If she beats Santos...I think it's safe to say she's in that top tier of a handful of the best in the world.
 
The sherdog preview guys always say that Cortez fight was a robbery. I havent seen the fight myself but Ive seen enough invicta robberies to belive it to be true.
One thing is where Santos has been for over a year? She get injured or something?
 
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