UFC 221 - Rockhold vs Romero - Australia

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 27, 2018.

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  1. quincy k

    quincy k Brown Belt

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    i think rd 3 +1300 is worth a play as well. if hes cleally winning the fight the decision might be offered at good plus money sometime before the 3rd round for a middle
     
  2. quincy k

    quincy k Brown Belt

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    does anyone know when li got into australia?

    couldnt find anything on social media
     
  3. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    5D starting to add KO/sub, round, no scorecards and other props finally. BM has them for seven fights so far. Love Li Jingliang KO/TKO +400 at 5D. Love Mark Hunt scorecards= no action at -105 at 5D. Luke Rockhold wins in round 4 at +1600 on BM.
     
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  4. NinjaCat456

    NinjaCat456 Green Belt

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    Don't understand the line movement on Matthews/Jingliang. Looks like every single person on the forum is betting Jingliang (incl. some big ones in the official bets thread), yet his price has improved from around -200 to -150..??

    Is there some secret betting forum in the dark web where everyone's dropping 6u plays on Matthews?
     
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  5. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    I find it odd too. This happens all the time though, which is why I often discount people who try to read into the "steam" as if there's some smart money out there who is in on a fix or who knows better than me or some perfect efficiency of the market as an aggregate which a smart bettor can use to try to deduce who is likely to win based on how the line moves. You can't even blame Australian money betting Matthews as they aren't allowed to wager at 5D or BM and other popular sportsbooks that many of us use in North America or Europe.
     
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  6. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I figured that I'd end up on Matthews if his odds shot up. I ended up playing Jing small at -150. I just have a bad feeling that Matthews may end up on Jing's back in a scramble.
     
  7. Jamah

    Jamah Green Belt

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    I'm surprised that Zane Simon and Connor Ruebusch picked Hunt and Romero to win
     
  8. eataface

    eataface Green Belt

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  9. Sadistics

    Sadistics Green Belt

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    Hunt NSC -115 is crazy
     
  10. mkess101

    mkess101 World Series or bust...

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    Perfect example just happened. Morales got HAMMERED a bit before the fight with Figueiredo and it made some us a little anxious. Then Morales gets smashed. So yeah...Jim is spot on here. Don't get caught up too much on the big line swings. They can be advantageous if you stick to your read and get better odds though obviously. Wish I'd have added more to Figueiredo for example when his odds went up so much.
     
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  11. NinjaCat456

    NinjaCat456 Green Belt

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    I'm not complaining about the improved price on Jingliang btw. I'm just curious, somebody's betting Matthews and I'd like to know who.
     
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  12. clemente

    clemente Yellow Belt

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    What is NSC supposed to mean? No contest?
     
  13. waiguoren

    waiguoren Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    NSC= no scorecards

    The bet (risk amount) will be refunded if the fight goes to decision.

    The bet cashes if your guy finishes his opponent. You lose your money if your guy gets finished.
     
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  14. mkess101

    mkess101 World Series or bust...

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    No scorecards.

    Meaning if the fight goes the distance your bet is refunded no matter who wins. You lose if your guy is stopped and you win if your guy wins itd. Hunt is a great play for this because if he wins it' likely by KO but if he loses good chance it' by Dec so you'd get your bet back.
     
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  15. waiguoren

    waiguoren Double Yellow Card Double Yellow Card

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    His surname is Li, brah
     
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  16. Sadistics

    Sadistics Green Belt

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    Took advantage of that Fig line, but at times it can mean something. Gina Mazany had a huge swing against Wu shortly before the fight as injury info leaked. She went into the fight with a broken bone in her foot. Mazany still won but there was reason for the big movement.
     
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  17. trucido

    trucido Blue Belt

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    I really love Li ITD @+190, seems like a great line.
     
  18. Stunna77

    Stunna77 Purple Belt

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    Li, Pedro, Volk, and Abe for a red panty night.
     
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  19. Wiktoruspro

    Wiktoruspro Yellow Card Yellow Card

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    I rewatched Jake vs Bojan.. lol Jake was a paniced wrestler. Li jingliang is the Best bet for this event imo
     
  20. clemente

    clemente Yellow Belt

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    What bookies do offer bets like NSC?
     
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