UFC 221 - Rockhold vs Romero - Australia

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jan 27, 2018.

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  1. LEMONZEST

    LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    I strongly lean Abe and for Brown/Kim I think it super close.
     
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  2. Jamah

    Jamah Green Belt

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    They said that Luke looked tentative on his back foot and that he looked shocked that his "new tools" weren't working for him.
    They also said that Luke didn't start working until Branch hurt him. Branch didn't respect Luke's boxing, pressed forward and had success.
    I don't think that they talked Branch up.
     
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  3. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    maybe im getting it mixed up w somethign else i listened to? idk.
     
  4. Jamah

    Jamah Green Belt

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    Maybe.
    Who do you think that is going to be the underdog that nobody talked about that cashes this event?
    Safarov?
     
  5. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    Can i pick Kennedy?
     
  6. Jamah

    Jamah Green Belt

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    Yeah, so Kennedy via gallbladder kick or something even weirder.
     
  7. NinjaCat456

    NinjaCat456 Green Belt

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    Might just be Matthews. The entire forum's on his opponent so it's set up nicely.
     
  8. chemmy

    chemmy Blue Belt

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    And it's not like it's impossible to see Matthews scoring a few takedowns and eeking out a home-cooked decision.
     
  9. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member Senior Moderator

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    kennedy +3.5 -130 feels off, man. i definitely don't see a finish in this fight: i think kennedy can take a round, even in aus.. they're gonna wrestle.. kennedy also has size on volk..

    taking it -130. taking it -140, too.
     
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  10. PuertoRican

    PuertoRican Silver Belt

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    [​IMG]
     
  11. TheOneTrueKing

    TheOneTrueKing 4th most under appreciated tipster @betmmatips

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    any history of aussie money coming in late on there fighters?
     
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  12. Caicara

    Caicara Purple Belt

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    I don't get the Rockhold massive preference. This fight is definitely a toss up for me.

    O1.5 is the only thing I'm touching.
     
  13. Caicara

    Caicara Purple Belt

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    Brown
     
  14. DevilsAvocado

    DevilsAvocado Yellow Belt

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    +145 odds on Romero is pretty good value for a toss up, you might wanna touch that as well :D
     
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  15. greenmouse

    greenmouse White Belt

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    The Dog or Pass podcast for 221 is up. I think Cody Saftic has some pretty good analysis.
     
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  16. Gugabe

    Gugabe Green Belt

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    Yeah. The Pedro-Latifi line was embarassing. Casual Aussie bettors are a huuuuuuge pool.
     
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  17. Caicara

    Caicara Purple Belt

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    Romero DEC +550 is good as well. He has underrated hands around here, I think - whereas Luke lacks. He might avoid all takedowns...Finish it...Live dog FOR SURE
     
  18. quincy k

    quincy k Brown Belt

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    i cant see that line getting any better.

    if rockhold cant get romero down, its edge of your seat for every minute that luke has to stay on his feet protecting his glass
     
  19. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    I think that the Luke Rockhold glass chin narrative is a little over done.
     
  20. Caicara

    Caicara Purple Belt

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    Also remember that Romero ground'n'pounded Jacare hard, even with the risks involved...
     
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