UFC 216 - Ferguson vs Lee - Vegas | Page 2

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Sep 4, 2017.

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  1. lifeisgood12345 Orange Belt

    lifeisgood12345
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    I think Lee's cardio is pretty good. He was 7/9 going for takedowns vs Mustafaev + still didn't slow down at the end of round 2. Of course going 5 rounds vs Ferguson is a different story with some inevitable risk.

    The other big question for him is whether he has the striking game to match up with Ferg on his feet. Ferguson has good takedown defense, and Lee doesn't seem to like fighting standing up too much. If Ferg doesn't willfully bring the fight to the ground, Lee could struggle to hurt him.

    At +200 I'd rather bet Lee than Ferg, but I'm a little nervous about the matchup. May lay off this one altogether.
     
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  2. t6p Purple Belt

    t6p
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    Same here. I was hoping for Ferg at -150 or so, wishful thinking I guess. No way I can bet him at this price.

    I thought he fought a smart fight against RDA, but he has a history of being a risk taker and I'm concerned that could lead to Lee taking his back at some point. That hasn't ended well for the last handful of guys it's happened to.
     
    #22
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  3. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    Lee pre, ferg live.
     
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  4. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    i have so many strong leans on this card. pending prices, ferg/lee might be one of the worst fights to bet.
     
    #24
  5. NinjaCat456 Blue Belt

    NinjaCat456
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    Awesome name for a betting company that.

    Bethard - When the fun stops....re-mortgage the fucking house, you wanna win it all back right?
     
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  6. NorthernLights Orange Belt

    NorthernLights
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    Betsafe put up lines for Werdum/Lewis.

    Werdum 1.40 / Lewis 2.95
     
    #26
  7. Chris Wang White Belt

    Chris Wang
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    Whats your thoughts on Paige Vanzant and Ferguson vs Kevin Lee O2.5 rounds?
     
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  8. Orion Brown Belt

    Orion
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    I'd probably go with Eye since she's coming down in weight versus PVZ going up, is a better grappler, and has more experience at 125 (she was supposed to be a prospect at one time, lol). They're both pretty damn mediocre though so that's a betting nightmare to me.

    Slight lean to Eye.
     
    #28
    Last edited: Sep 23, 2017
  9. lifeisgood12345 Orange Belt

    lifeisgood12345
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    What do people expect Eye vs PVZ odds to be? Does PVZ get extra juiced for being sexy?
     
    #29
  10. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    we do not discuss such things. (at least the first question)
     
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  11. piglord Brown Belt

    piglord
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    i am intrigued for tavares/leites (y'allreadyknow).
     
    #31
  12. Antagonist88 Green Belt

    Antagonist88
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    Derrick Lewis +170
    Fabricio Werdum -230

    Over 2.5 -110
    Under 2.5 -130
    -

    Jessica Eye +110
    Paige VanZant -150

    Over 2.5 -270
    Under 2.5 +190
    -

    Evan Dunham +170
    Beneil Dariush -230

    Over 2.5 -150
    Under 2.5 +110
     
    #32
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  13. Joseph Budden Yellow Card

    Joseph Budden
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    Shit pretty spot on except I think PVZ/Eye should be pick em but i'm not touching Eye yet. O2.5 Dunham/Dariush is OK at -150 but pass for now.
     
    #33
  14. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    nothing jumping at me
     
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  15. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    that was my instinct, too, but man, benny goes for it early .. and dunham is busier turning down fights than actually fighting...
     
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  16. Antagonist88 Green Belt

    Antagonist88
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    Same thoughts for me. Hoping the public still thinks that Derrick Lewis is good so I can get a better price on Werdum
     
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  17. EzFlyer Senior Moderator

    EzFlyer
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    eye-pvz is listed as 115 on 5d.. it's 125, right? eye can't make 115...
     
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  18. t6p Purple Belt

    t6p
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    Yea definitely 125.
     
    #38
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  19. Antagonist88 Green Belt

    Antagonist88
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    Not sure what number will make me pull the trigger on Eye. She's really bad, but this is dog or pass
     
    #39
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  20. Shoulder #29 most average paid MMA bettor on Sherdog.

    Shoulder
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    The big questions is if the UFC will give PVZ a title shot at 125 if she wins. You know they want to...

    I really like Werdum here, Lewis really isn't that good. He won't take him down, and Werdum should be faster on the feet, plus his chin is still really really good.
     
    #40
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