UFC 198 - Curitiba - Werdum vs Miocic

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I like a lot the Over 1,5 Moraes/Chagas (+110 or @2.10 for me brazilian that use decimal odds).

Because both guys are especialist in bjj (both bjj black belt), but Moraes and Chagas training in local very rivals muay thai gyms in Curitiba (Moraes on Evolução Thai and Chagas on Noguchi Team), IMO they will have proof striking game for other and i dont see Ko in stand battle in this fight, because Moraes and Chagas have good chin and low/médium power. Chagas have many Ko's in your card, but against poor opponents, against Sergio that have good chin, dont believe. Also, dont believe that Sergio Ko's Chagas. If this fight go to the ground, Moraes is better, but Chagas have bjj enough to defense IMO.

I will put 1 unit on this over 1,5


ps. Sorry my english, im brazilian and i just want help all here. If anybody want infos any brazilians fighters (any brazilian event/fighter UFC, Wsof, Bellator, KSW, M1, One, Invicta or others events) I can help all here. Im mma bettor and love this sport since 1988 (Valetudo era, close gyms, modality against modality, no rules, no gloves, illegal fights on city, i loved this time).
Exemple: Last saturday i make good money on Medeiros against Aline Serio (brazilian fighter), medeiros shes good fighter and Aline is regional fighter with medium striking game just, poor TDD, poor bjj, shes not Invicta level. Easy win to Medeiros and good money to me!

Good info, thanks.
 
I like a lot the Over 1,5 Moraes/Chagas (+110 or @2.10 for me brazilian that use decimal odds).

Because both guys are especialist in bjj (both bjj black belt), but Moraes and Chagas training in local very rivals muay thai gyms in Curitiba (Moraes on Evolução Thai and Chagas on Noguchi Team), IMO they will have proof striking game for other and i dont see Ko in stand battle in this fight, because Moraes and Chagas have good chin and low/médium power. Chagas have many Ko's in your card, but against poor opponents, against Sergio that have good chin, dont believe. Also, dont believe that Sergio Ko's Chagas. If this fight go to the ground, Moraes is better, but Chagas have bjj enough to defense IMO.

I will put 1 unit on this over 1,5

Thanks! Ill follow you on this one!
 


Shogun kinda looking bad hitting those mitts. Confidence increase Corey
 
Takes off 75

I had holm via left high kick

I don't see any way for smith to win.
 
Shoguns hands looked slow and off target and that was against an battle worn nog, he was even getting a bit out classed by nogs technical boxing but shoguns MT was working for him in that fight so not surprised to see him using his leg kicks again, still expect an prime, 26 year old corey prospect to out box him with a more accurate and faster jabs and use his better wrestling and top control here to win a boring decision.

And yes shame on hall for not taking that fight, he probably saw he is a 3 x JJ world champ (not confirmed) and undefeated 7-0 prospect or he is just love sick he wont be able to play footsies with spider for 3 rounds.
 
Santos by KO -175 lollll was hoping 5d would fuck up and make this better than itd

Even though i'm big on Warlley already in a parlay, threw just a bit on the +125 sub line
 
Santos by KO -175 lollll was hoping 5d would fuck up and make this better than itd

Even though i'm big on Warlley already in a parlay, threw just a bit on the +125 sub line
I thought about the sub +125, but ultimately passed. I was hoping for +150 or better
 
I'm gonna be on Lineker by decision. They're 135ers and you get a price like +400 I'll take it. I'm sure Font is gonna look to stick and move he's the bigger fighter so to speak. Fighting in Brazil may give him an edge in getting the nod as well with his aggro style.

The value is there but I'm certain of the probability of it ending in a KO.
 
Brown R3
Corey R3
Barb R3
Cummins R3

$1 for $105,845

Also did RRs of them for a total of $11 risk
 
Brown R3
Corey R3
Barb R3
Cummins R3

$1 for $105,845

Also did RRs of them for a total of $11 risk
Jae how many have to be right for RR to hit? Ive never understood that
 
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Those who thought my 5u on Tumenov was dumb are gonna love my 7u on Corey -117. I love the price. Hedging a bit with Shogun KO. If Corey just chooses to wrestle right off the bat he should pick up an easy win. However, im a bit scared that he chooses to stand for a majority of the fight like last time.
 
Jae how many have to be right for RR to hit? I never I stood that
A Round Robin is basically making a parlay out of every single selection. There are 6 2teamers, 4 3teamers and the single 4 teamer. Making 11 combos total. To answer your question, I just need to hit any 2 in this case. However, since I already have single bets on all of them, I just need 1 of those 4 to hit to make profit
 
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