The most likely outcomes for Ferguson/Khabib

During Tony vs Khabib the ref makes many questionable calls, repeatedly standing up the fighters for inactivity while Khabib is raining down fight-ending ground and pound, or pausing the action whenever Tony locks a tight submission only to call the doctor to check on inconsequential cuts. The bout ultimately ends in a draw, but not before all kind of confusion ensues after Bruce Buffer has to be called back while he's already initiated his announcement. He can be seen visibly protesting at the commission and eventually returning his original verdict card to them and being provided with a new one.

Dana steps in and announces that, as a consequence of this result, Ferg has failed to retain his title and Khabib hasn't won it either. Then, in tears and in a state of ecstasy, Dana hands Tony's belt over to Conor who's sitting by cage-side, declaring that Conor has achieved his first successful title defense.

In a plot twist, Helwani - who meanwhile had been banned from attending UFC events following the 25th anniversary press conference fiasco, but who was able to sneak past the gate surveillance by posing as an Afghan woman in full burqa - abandons his low-profile disguise and in a full eruption of indignation vehemently asks Dana how it is even possible that Conor defended the belt without fighting.

Unfazed, Dana White stares down Ariel with contempt and with a steady droning tone replies: "next question."

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Holy shit Dana looks old and bloated.
 
I think Askren's prediction is the likely outcome.

-Fight goes to the ground

-Khabib beats up Tony from top while Tony hunts and almost snags a sub, but Khabib escapes. Rinse and repeat.
Khabib wins the round.

This cycles for 5 rounds after which Khabib wins 50-45 or 49-46
 
I think Askren's prediction is the likely outcome.

-Fight goes to the ground

-Khabib beats up Tony from top while Tony hunts and almost snags a sub, but Khabib escapes. Rinse and repeat.
Khabib wins the round.

This cycles for 5 rounds after which Khabib wins 50-45 or 49-46
Yup.
And Khabib haters' only defense will be "he almost got subbed like 10 times!"
 
I think Askren's prediction is the likely outcome.

-Fight goes to the ground

-Khabib beats up Tony from top while Tony hunts and almost snags a sub, but Khabib escapes. Rinse and repeat.
Khabib wins the round.

This cycles for 5 rounds after which Khabib wins 50-45 or 49-46
I never knew you were this imaginative.
 
I apologize.

Tony tries to throw a Capoeira wheel kick, but Khabib catches his leg and plants him to the canvas with a Stylez clash for the KO.
Tony sprawls, stuffs TD, secures khabib's big ass head, and angles back into a Peruvian necktie in the first Rd.
 
i don't see how this fight goes any differently than any other khabib fight. it's not like ferguson is known for TDD or something.

only wrinkle is khabib could gas out in a 5 round fight - but if the TDs come easy enough early, he can coast for stretches on the ground and it will probably resemble a GSP fight.
 
Some type of DQ or Draw to let McGregor keep the belt.
 
Some type of DQ or Draw to let McGregor keep the belt.

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Strangely I think it will be boring for the first couple rounds. I think Khabib's camp will understand that you can't gas out in the first 2 rounds against Tony and win, so he will be a little bit more conservative. I think that Tony will be probing for weakness in Khabib's stand up and may or may not find any. Round 3 is when they have to start to go at it. A few good strikes from Tony will get Khabib's attention as will Khabib taking Tony down once or twice and landing some shots. By round 4 the mouses and cuts start to show up as both fighters seek to impose their will but neither entirely do. Round 5 is a bloodbath for both fighters. Tony will be going for broke with some big shots and submission attempts but Khabib will stick to his hunting for takedowns and GnP. If the judges count time on top for Khabib without counting Tony's sub attempts or elbows from the bottom round 5 might take it for Khabib. If the judges recognize that Tony is being more aggressive than Khabib rather than just spending time on top Tony could win. I also think Tony could finish Khabib in round 5. Hard fight to call. I am rooting for T-Ferg.
 
During Tony vs Khabib the ref makes many questionable calls, repeatedly standing up the fighters for inactivity while Khabib is raining down fight-ending ground and pound, or pausing the action whenever Tony locks a tight submission only to call the doctor to check on inconsequential cuts. The bout ultimately ends in a draw, but not before all kind of confusion ensues after Bruce Buffer has to be called back while he's already initiated his announcement. He can be seen visibly protesting at the commission and eventually returning his original verdict card to them and being provided with a new one.

Dana steps in and announces that, as a consequence of this result, Ferg has failed to retain his title and Khabib hasn't won it either. Then, in tears and in a state of ecstasy, Dana hands Tony's belt over to Conor who's sitting by cage-side, declaring that Conor has achieved his first successful title defense.

In a plot twist, Helwani - who meanwhile had been banned from attending UFC events following the 25th anniversary press conference fiasco, but who was able to sneak past the gate surveillance by posing as an Afghan woman in full burqa - abandons his low-profile disguise and in a full eruption of indignation vehemently asks Dana how it is even possible that Conor defended the belt without fighting.

Unfazed, Dana White stares down Ariel with contempt and with a steady droning tone replies: "next question."

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Thank you sir.

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Tony just has so many way to win and gas tank and won't be fish out of water on the ground like last few of Khabibs opponents. Fights a pick em probably but i'm picking Ferguson by cardio. He'll probably get his ass beat first two then take over.
 
My legitimate prediction is the fight will be pulled from the card. Either guy could get injured in the next 2 weeks by pushing themselves too hard (this is the biggest fight of both their careers, after all), and both guys are cutting a lot of weight (down from 185+) so that cut could go badly for either one. The fight was canceled 3 times before for a reason, its a high risk matchup, and not just because of Khabib, Tony got hurt and pulled out of it back in 2016.
 
People are seriously underestimating Tony, remember Tonys gas tank is amazing. Khabib will start off well but by the end of the 3rd round he will be so tired most likely due to a bad weight cut. Then Tony will turn up the pressure and submit him

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A bad weight cut? like the Barboza fight? If he has a nutritionist like he had last time, he wont gas like you think he will.
 
I watched Danny Castillo lay on tony Ferguson for most the fight live in Sacramento. I’m confidant kHabib can replicate. No way Ferguson wins a fight from the bottom against khabib
 
Strangely I think it will be boring for the first couple rounds. I think Khabib's camp will understand that you can't gas out in the first 2 rounds against Tony and win, so he will be a little bit more conservative. I think that Tony will be probing for weakness in Khabib's stand up and may or may not find any. Round 3 is when they have to start to go at it. A few good strikes from Tony will get Khabib's attention as will Khabib taking Tony down once or twice and landing some shots. By round 4 the mouses and cuts start to show up as both fighters seek to impose their will but neither entirely do. Round 5 is a bloodbath for both fighters. Tony will be going for broke with some big shots and submission attempts but Khabib will stick to his hunting for takedowns and GnP. If the judges count time on top for Khabib without counting Tony's sub attempts or elbows from the bottom round 5 might take it for Khabib. If the judges recognize that Tony is being more aggressive than Khabib rather than just spending time on top Tony could win. I also think Tony could finish Khabib in round 5. Hard fight to call. I am rooting for T-Ferg.
Not like Khabib will have much choice in the matter. Tony's whole game is forwards and turn octagon pace up to 10 so you break eventually. Khabib is a forwards fighter too. Highly unlikely this will be a slow fight.
 
If Tony replicates the plan he had against Lee -- he will be left a greasy puddle in the middle of the canvas by rd 3.
 
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