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You're getting me wrong. I'm not saying he is ducking Loma only because he is 'going' to fight Spence, I'm saying he is ducking Loma because Robert was so woolly when he was talking about a fight with Loma. 'Maybe' 'At the end of the year....' Loma is a fight that can happen NOW. Loma wants it, Arum is on board, there is nothing stopping this fight from happening other than Garcia's team being reluctant. Fighting Spence gives him an out because (and this is me being cynical) he'll go up in weight and then he can claim that he can't come down to 135 again and Loma will have to meet him at a catch weight or not at all. This is really dumb because Loma is at the same weight as him now. Why not fight Loma, a fighter who is already in the same weight class AND then fight the monster Spence at the higher weight class. Nope he'd rather chase the monster than fight Loma. It doesn't make any sense unless Garcia is trying to avoid fighting Loma.
And yeah losing to Loma who is a smaller fighter will look bad on Garcia who wants to be one of the P4P greats. For P4P it's never good to lose to someone smaller than you.
You both are starting from the position that Garcia doesn't want to fight Lomachenko. Another way of looking at it (and, just as you're both doing, this involves a lot of primarily baseless guesswork), is that the Lomachenko fight is going to be there, win or lose against Spence. If he lost to Lomachenko, there is no way he'd get the Spence fight, whereas he can lose to Spence and still have the Lomachenko payday. He'll also have the payday against the WBSS winner at 40. If he's going to fight Spence, now would be the time, especially considering Lomachenko already has a fight signed.
This is all guess-work, which I think is a bit of a waste of time as I'm not privy to the negotiations, exactly what he stands to earn from each fight, what he actually wants out of his career, etc.. What I do know is that I'm not going to fault an unbeaten fighter rated in the top 5 p4p for going up two classes to fight a killer like Spence. Seeing a duck in this situation either involves greatly overthinking things, assuming you know everything that goes on behind the scenes, and/or viewing things through a considerably pro-Lomachenko lens. If I had to guess, I'd say we will see the Lomachenko fight at some point and I'd guess there is a reasonable chance it happens at 2019, regardless of whether or not Garcia fights Spence.