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Cotto and cannelo have no reach. I can't think of many fights where floyd didn't have the reach.
Conor's best chance is to just be a bull and smother Floyd use his size and make it rough and ugly and bully floyd on the inside. Try to bend the rules. Hit behind the head. Punch at or before breaks until warned.
And hope Floyd shows up old over night and can't pull the trigger or take shots anymore.
But I think Floyd stops him mid rounds if he wants. But I could see Floyd having fun for 12.
The way Floyd fights reach won't really make much difference. my point is they are using physical attributes and ignoring the intricate skills of boxing as a reason why this fight is close???
Mcgregor will likely do all the things you say and will be fcked by mid rounds when it hasn't worked. I hope he keeps him around late, we know McGregor is a quitter when things get rough. Id rather see him quit rather than pulled out by the ref or KO'd; and I think that's realistic