Your official UFC 225 bets

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by JimGunn, Jun 4, 2018.

  1. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    0.5u Romero NSC +173

    5u Covington +130

    1u Overeem -110
    0.25u Overeem-Blaydes GTD +240

    0.8u Arlovski +220
    0.2u Arlovski DEC +525
    0.05u Arlovski RD3 +1900

    1u Lamas NSC +211
    0.5u Lamas +200
    0.1u Lamas RD3 +950
    0.05u Lamas RD3 +1875

    0.1u Oliveira DEC +698

    0.5u RR (3s, 5) Guida DEC/Lamas ITD/Blaydes DEC/Dos Anjos DEC/Romero ITD
     
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  2. OutRun

    OutRun I'm giving you a night call to tell you how I feel

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    Added:
    1u: Bektic/Lamas u2.5 @ +132
    1u: Guida ML @ +125
    2u: (Holm ML @ -150) + (Benavidez ML @ -200) @ +150

    Overall:
    4u: Covington ML @ +110
    .3u: Covington MD or SD @ +540
    1u: Santiago ML @ +105
    1.5u: Arlovski/Tuivasa o1.5 +140
    1u: Bektic/Lamas u2.5 @ +132
    1u: Guida ML @ +125
    2u: (Holm ML @ -150) + (Benavidez ML @ -200) @ +150

    EDIT: sprinkled something on Romero r3 ofc
     
  3. clivers

    clivers Green Belt

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  4. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    UFC 225 Risk $6,886.10

    Robert Whittaker (-225) vs Yoel Romero $450.00 for $200.00
    Robert Whittaker (-235) vs Yoel Romero $470.00 for $200.00
    Yoel Romero wins in round 1 (+825) $40.00 for $330.00
    Yoel Romero wins in round 2 (+1151) $30.00 for $345.30
    Yoel Romero wins in round 3 (+1001) $40.00 for $400.40
    Robert Whittaker wins in round 3 (+1100) $25.00 for $275.00
    Robert Whittaker wins in round 4 (+1400) $25.00 for $350.00
    Robert Whittaker wins in round 5 (+1800) $25.00 for $450.00
    Not Robert Whittaker inside distance (-135) $135.00 for $100.00
    Not Robert Whittaker inside distance (-165) $247.50 for $150.00

    Rafael Dos Anjos (+115) vs Colby Covington $200.00 for $230.00
    Rafael Dos Anjos (-105) vs Colby Covington $210.00 for $200.00
    Rafael Dos Anjos wins by submission (+560) $30.00 for $168.00
    Rafael Dos Anjos wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+1345) $25.00 for $336.25
    Colby Covington wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+498) $40.00 for $199.20

    Holly Holm (-230) vs Megan Anderson $230.00 for $100.00
    Holly Holm wins by TKO/KO (+715) $75.00 for $536.25
    Holly Holm wins in round 3 (+2125) $15.00 for $318.75

    Andrei Arlovski (+215) vs Tai Tuivasa $100.00 for $215.00
    Andrei Arlovski wins by TKO/KO (+485) $25.00 for $121.25
    Tai Tuivasa wins in round 1 (+105) $75.00 for $78.75
    Andrei Arlovski wins in round 2 (+1250) $15.00 for $187.50
    Andrei Arlovski wins in round 3 (+1725) $15.00 for $258.75

    CM Punk/Mike Jackson starts round 2 (-169) $67.60 for $40.00

    Alistair Overeem (+158) vs Curtis Blaydes $200.00 for $316.00
    Alistair Overeem wins by submission (+1100) $15.00 for $165.00
    Alistair Overeem/Curtis Blaydes Over 1½ (-152) $152.00 for $100.00

    Claudia Gadelha (-405) vs Carla Esparza $810.00 for $200.00
    Claudia Gadelha (-441) vs Carla Esparza $1,323.00 for $300.00
    Claudia Gadelha wins inside distance (+290) $75.00 for $217.50

    Ricardo Lamas (+190) vs Mirsad Bektic $200.00 for $380.00
    Ricardo Lamas +3½ points (-110) $110.00 for $100.00
    Ricardo Lamas wins in round 3 (+1875) $15.00 for $281.25
    Ricardo Lamas wins by submission in round 3 (+390) ~$7.60 for ~$296.40
    Ricardo Lamas/Mirsad Bektic Over 2½ (-125) $125.00 for $100.00

    Chris De La Rocha/Rashad Coulter Over 1½ (+165) $30.00 for $49.50

    Rashad Evans (+270) vs Anthony Smith $200.00 for $540.00
    Rashad Evans/Anthony Smith Over 2½ (-112) $56.00 for $50.00

    Joseph Benavidez (-196) vs Sergio Pettis $392.00 for $200.00
    Joseph Benavidez wins by submission (+625) $30.00 for $187.50

    Clay Guida (+125) vs Charles Oliveira $200.00 for $250.00
    Clay Guida wins by TKO/KO (+435) $25.00 for $108.75
    Charles Oliveira wins in round 1 (+225) $50.00 for $112.50

    Mike Santiago (+120) vs Dan Ige $100.00 for $120.00
    Mike Santiago wins by TKO/KO (+663) $15.00 for $99.45
    Mike Santiago wins by TKO/KO (+645) $15.00 for $96.75
    Mike Santiago/Dan Ige Under 2½ (+180) $100.00 for $180.00

    Rafael Dos Anjos/Colby Covington wins FOTN bonus (+258) ~$15.20 for ~$39.22
    Mike Santiago/Dan Ige wins FOTN bonus (+1150) ~$15.20 for ~$174.80
     
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  5. Discjockeyshtud

    Discjockeyshtud Green Belt

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    Gadehla KO - 8-1
    Arlovski-Tuivasa U2.5 1.36
    DOS NACHOS ITD 2.75
    Whittaker DEC 3.75

    Parlay $30 for $4116.60 boosted @ Ladbrokes

    ADD
    $5 to Yoel R3 14-1
    $5 to Overeem Submission 15-1
     
    Last edited: Jun 9, 2018
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  6. raketmannen

    raketmannen Brown Belt

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  7. timmyclax22

    timmyclax22 Green Belt

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    De l roche (+115) to win 1.5u
    RDA 5.2u to win 5u
     
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  8. streetSub101

    streetSub101 White Belt

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    -10u
     
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  9. Jamah

    Jamah Green Belt

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    +5.3u Great night, the main event delivered. Yoel Romero is scary dude...
     
  10. Naught2Sixty

    Naught2Sixty Brown Belt

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    Man I thought I had that round 3. LOL @ Holly the new khabib. -.9u
    Managed to save myself a little live betting juiced af lines.
     
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  11. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    down 3.1u on the day. on a cold streak. seems like i have a knack for losing close decisions which ultimately ruin my night. if either joe b or yoel had won, id be up on the day. if both had won, id be up 9.4u on the day. oh well, it'll eventually go my way

    in hindsight, i probably should have gone smaller on Joe B coming off of a long layoff and ACL injury. that's the only play i really regret
     
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  12. Roads55

    Roads55 Brown Belt

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    maybe consider smaller bets, 5u is a max bet for many, usually on extremely confident picks. 1-3u for confident bets etc.
     
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  13. Ruthfella

    Ruthfella Blue Belt

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  14. t6p

    t6p Brown Belt

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    0.5u Romero NSC +173 0u

    5u Covington +130 +6.5u

    1u Overeem -110 -1u
    0.25u Overeem-Blaydes GTD +240 -0.25u

    0.8u Arlovski +220 -0.8u
    0.2u Arlovski DEC +525 -0.2u
    0.05u Arlovski RD3 +1900 -0.05u

    1u Lamas NSC +211 0u
    0.5u Lamas +200 -0.5u
    0.1u Lamas SUB +950 -0.1u
    0.05u Lamas RD3 +1875 -0.05u

    0.1u Oliveira DEC +698 -0.1u

    0.5u RR (3s, 5) Guida DEC/Lamas ITD/Blaydes DEC/Dos Anjos DEC/Romero ITD -0.5u

    NET: +2.95u

    Covington was my biggest bet of the year so far so I'm thrilled that the fight played out exactly how I felt it would, but I'm really pissing money away on these smaller bets that I'm not confident in. I'm going to chalk it up to a cold streak for now, but it's getting frustrating losing so many of them the past handful of events.
     
    Last edited: Jun 11, 2018
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  15. timmyclax22

    timmyclax22 Green Belt

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    I added 2u to Whitaker (-120) after round 4.

    Total -3.1u. Was 100% wrong on the Colby/RDA fight.
     
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  16. OutRun

    OutRun I'm giving you a night call to tell you how I feel

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    4u: Covington ML @ +110
    .3u: Covington MD or SD @ +540
    1u: Santiago ML @ +105

    1.5u: Arlovski/Tuivasa o1.5 +140
    1u: Bektic/Lamas u2.5 @ +132
    1u: Guida ML @ +125
    2u: (Holm ML @ -150) + (Benavidez ML @ -200) @ +150
     
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  17. raketmannen

    raketmannen Brown Belt

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    SEK and not a bookie, just a spreadsheet
     
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  18. Sadistics

    Sadistics Purple Belt

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    +5u. Upped my Santiago bet to 2u, Holm 2u, and went 4.6u Claudia -261 with that crazy odds drop. Rough start losing 3.1u in under a minute on the first fight.

    Was amazed to see Tuivasa win a decision, went fairly big on Arlovski near the end of RD1 with how bad Tai has looked every time he's gone over 1 round, his time at Tiger has done wonders for his cardio.

    Live bets:
    Screenshot_20180610-132121.jpg
     
  19. JimGunn

    JimGunn Silver Belt

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    I got really lucky Claudia Gadelha & Robert Whittaker squeaked out split decisions with the foolishly large wagers I made on them. Bet too many old fighters also- Arlovski & Overeem had a chance, while Rashad was just throwing money away. Loss of 7.04 units with a reminder not to lay so much juice on favorites in a sport as unpredictable as MMA.

    UFC 225 Results


    Robert Whittaker (-225) vs Yoel Romero $450.00 for $200.00= $200.00
    Robert Whittaker (-235) vs Yoel Romero $470.00 for $200.00= $200.00
    Yoel Romero wins in round 1 (+825) $40.00 for $330.00= -$40.00
    Yoel Romero wins in round 2 (+1151) $30.00 for $345.30= -$30.00
    Yoel Romero wins in round 3 (+1001) $40.00 for $400.40= -$40.00
    Robert Whittaker wins in round 3 (+1100) $25.00 for $275.00= -$25.00
    Robert Whittaker wins in round 4 (+1400) $25.00 for $350.00= -$25.00
    Robert Whittaker wins in round 5 (+1800) $25.00 for $450.00= -$25.00
    Not Robert Whittaker inside distance (-135) $135.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Not Robert Whittaker inside distance (-165) $247.50 for $150.00= $100.00

    Rafael Dos Anjos (+115) vs Colby Covington $200.00 for $230.00= -$200.00
    Rafael Dos Anjos (-105) vs Colby Covington $210.00 for $200.00= -$210.00
    Rafael Dos Anjos wins by submission (+560) $30.00 for $168.00= -$30.00
    Rafael Dos Anjos wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+1345) $25.00 for $336.25= -$25.00
    Colby Covington wins by 5 round split/majority decision (+498) $40.00 for $199.20= -$40.00
    Live In-Play Rafael Dos Anjos (+175) vs Colby Colby Covington $100.00 for 175.00= -$100.00

    Holly Holm (-230) vs Megan Anderson $230.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Holly Holm wins by TKO/KO (+715) $75.00 for $536.25= -$75.00
    Holly Holm wins in round 3 (+2125) $15.00 for $318.75= -$15.00

    Andrei Arlovski (+215) vs Tai Tuivasa $100.00 for $215.00= -$100.00
    Andrei Arlovski wins by TKO/KO (+485) $25.00 for $121.25= -$25.00
    Tai Tuivasa wins in round 1 (+105) $75.00 for $78.75= -$75.00
    Andrei Arlovski wins in round 2 (+1250) $15.00 for $187.50= -$15.00
    Andrei Arlovski wins in round 3 (+1725) $15.00 for $258.75= -$15.00
    Live In-Play Andrei Arlovski (+130) vs Tai Tuivasa $100.00 for $130.00= -$100.00

    CM Punk/Mike Jackson starts round 2 (-169) $67.60 for $40.00= $40.00

    Alistair Overeem (+158) vs Curtis Blaydes $200.00 for $316.00= -$200.00
    Alistair Overeem wins by submission (+1100) $15.00 for $165.00= -$15.00
    Alistair Overeem/Curtis Blaydes Over 1½ (-152) $152.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Live In-Play Alistair Overeem (+280) vs Curtis Blaydes $100.00 for $280.00= -$100.00

    Claudia Gadelha (-405) vs Carla Esparza $810.00 for $200.00= $200.00
    Claudia Gadelha (-441) vs Carla Esparza $1,323.00 for $300.00= $300.00
    Claudia Gadelha (-225) vs Carla Esparza $675.00 for $300.00= $300.00
    Claudia Gadelha wins inside distance (+290) $75.00 for $217.50= -$75.00

    Ricardo Lamas (+190) vs Mirsad Bektic $200.00 for $380.00= -$200.00
    Ricardo Lamas +3½ points (-110) $110.00 for $100.00= $100.00
    Ricardo Lamas wins in round 3 (+1875) $15.00 for $281.25= -$15.00
    Ricardo Lamas wins by submission in round 3 (+390) ~$7.60 for ~$296.40= -~$7.60
    Ricardo Lamas/Mirsad Bektic Over 2½ (-125) $125.00 for $100.00= $100.00

    Chris De La Rocha/Rashad Coulter Over 1½ (+165) $30.00 for $49.50= $49.50

    Rashad Evans (+270) vs Anthony Smith $200.00 for $540.00= -$200.00
    Rashad Evans/Anthony Smith Over 2½ (-112) $56.00 for $50.00= -$56.00

    Joseph Benavidez (-196) vs Sergio Pettis $392.00 for $200.00= -$392.00
    Joseph Benavidez wins by submission (+625) $30.00 for $187.50= -$30.00

    Clay Guida (+125) vs Charles Oliveira $200.00 for $250.00= -$200.00
    Clay Guida wins by TKO/KO (+435) $25.00 for $108.75= -$25.00
    Charles Oliveira wins in round 1 (+225) $50.00 for $112.50= $112.50

    Mike Santiago (+120) vs Dan Ige $100.00 for $120.00= -$100.00
    Mike Santiago wins by TKO/KO (+663) $15.00 for $99.45= -$15.00
    Mike Santiago wins by TKO/KO (+645) $15.00 for $96.75= -$15.00
    Mike Santiago/Dan Ige Under 2½ (+180) $100.00 for $180.00= $180.00

    Rafael Dos Anjos/Colby Covington wins FOTN bonus (+258) ~$15.20 for ~$39.22= -~$15.20
    Mike Santiago/Dan Ige wins FOTN bonus (+1150) ~$15.20 for ~$174.80= -~$15.20
    -----
    Sub-Total= -$666.00
    Sub-Total= -~$38.00

    Total Loss= -$704.00
     
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