Elections What's your final prediction in who wins in the US 2024 election?

[Takes Two To Tango]

There is about 40 days left, who do you think will win?

**None of your votes will be shown, so you can vote anonymously.**

**And you can't change your vote, so vote honestly**

**Also you can't view the results until you vote**

I had Trump winning when Biden was still there and after the first assassination attempt.

Once Harris got in the picture, I had her winning this in a with a decent margin. But now I'm not sure. It's really close.

But If I had to pick and I will pick, however I'm not going to reveal it here. : - ) Let's just see what the results will be.

 

[humperdoo]

Trump will win but the assassination continues. While he sends troops to Iran, people are revolting against his administration. That's what I can see that will happen/

 

[HOLA]

Why on Earth would you make the votes anonymous? Publicly shaming people is like most of the fun with these polls!

Anyway. Kamala wins is my prediction.

 

[Lead]

I don’t know who will win. I want to say Harris is going to just in the idea that many people were saying they couldn’t believe the election was going to be two elderly candidates and neither party seemed like it was going to address that. But then Dems did so I think them pulling it out would be a huge statement in terms of being able to navigate away from defeat and find a way to win.

In terms of who should win, Trump shouldn’t be an option for most people for how he tried to pressure Pence to overturn the election along with his other bullshit up to it. It should be pretty straightforward to see a non-partisan stance is a candidate who was that careless about the results of our elections shouldn’t be president again. But alas, polling doesn’t seem to indicate it, very tight race in the polls.

 

[Lead]

Why on Earth would you make the votes anonymous? Publicly shaming people is like most of the fun with these polls!

Anyway. Kamala wins is my prediction.

Could lead to a more honest sentiment from posters where they really think the race is at. It’s hard enough detaching who you want to win with who will win for some.

 

[Rygu]

Kamala wins popular vote, Trump wins electoral.

 

[Kowboy On Sherdog]

Either way I welcome our Idiocracy overlord

 

[HARRISON_3]

Obligatory

Whoever Wins…

We Lose

 

[jk7707]

I still have faith that enough people in this country have enough sense left to realize it would be a bad idea to put a convicted criminal who tried to overthrow the last presidential election back in the White House.

 

[K1levelgrappler]

It feels like a coin flip with maybe the tiniest lean towards Kamala but I have $200 on Trump that I put down back when Biden was still in

 

[Mr. Shickadance]

I’m think trump will when because whenever I can’t imagine this country getting lower it always surprises me

 

[Natural Order]

Donnie Dump may win….tossup really. America and the world have lost either way. Both are shit tier candidates for a variety of similar and completely different reasons.

If he does win, I predict a third yet successful assassination attempt fairly quickly.

Get ready for JD Cance to become Pres!

 

[Mr Holmes]

Its a toss up. We'll have to see if there is an October surprise.

 

[heloder]

Kamala wins. Trump and MAGA will then proceed to engage in an unprecedented level of election fuckery at the local, congressional, and supreme court level which will lead to dozens, if not hundreds of arrests and felony convictions. The deluded cultists will protest across the country as Trump shits his diaper on Twitter and claims that Democrats have illegally stolen the election and country from them. He will casually toss around words like coup and disenfranchisement and several other words and phrases that he and his supporters don't actually know the definition of.

I will drink, and enjoy the meltdown from Trump cultists on Sherdog, as is tradition.

 

[SummerStriker]

Kamala wins. Trump and MAGA will then proceed to engage in an unprecedented level of election fuckery at the local, congressional, and supreme court level which will lead to dozens, if not hundreds of arrests and felony convictions. The deluded cultists will protest across the country as Trump shits his diaper on Twitter and claims that Democrats have illegally stolen the election and country from them. He will casually toss around words like coup and disenfranchisement and several other words and phrases that he and his supporters don't actually know the definition of.

I will drink, and enjoy the meltdown from Trump cultists on Sherdog, as is tradition.

Wonderful prophecy. How can you see the future so clearly?

 

[heloder]

Wonderful prophecy. How can you see the future so clearly?

Oh I think I've seen this episode before.

 

[TankAbbott4Eva]

Trump by armbar!

 

[Daverisimo]

I'd give a slight edge to Harris, but the polls could be wrong in either side's favor. On the one hand, Trump out performed his polls in 2016 and 2020. On the other hand, the dems outperformed polls in 2022, and there's been a surge in new voter registrations among demographic groups that are likely to go for Harris (especially women of color), and that likely isn't reflected in the polls.

Also, the Israel situation is a huge albatross around the neck of Harris' campaign, and the worse it gets, the more it'll cut into her support. Netanyahu, of course, knows this and, given that he really wants Trump to win, he has every motive to escalate the conflict (that and the fact that the war is the only thing keeping him in office).

 

[Blayt7hh]

Oh man 62.5% think Harris is going to win? That’s going to trigger that Mancy Yancy dingus right the fuck off.

What’s his actual name? I can’t remember it

 

[Kingz]

Trump will be projected winner before PA is even called through a sun belt sweep and Wisconsin.

PA wants to wait a week for their mail in ballots to flip the result. I expect Trump to win that as well.

Fact is, Harris’ polling averages can’t withstand even half of what the polling errors against Trump have traditionally been. She needs public polling to be perfect and considering they’ve historically underestimated Trump by 5-6 nationally and on a state level…even a 50 percent improvement is still swan song for Harris.

Plus, several polls have Trump leading nationally. Including a few left wing polls. That has NEVER happened. She can’t win if she gets less votes nationally. She’s unfavored if she “wins” the popular vote by less than 3.

Some have taken this development to mean pollsters have simply found the “shy Trump voter” that has eluded them in 2016 and 2020 and now the polls are perfect. I have a different take. Trump has become more broadly popular while a large segment of his rural support remains difficult to survey.

Consider Harris’ polling is pacing behind Biden and Clinton in places like Minnesota, New Hampshire, Virginia..even deep blue like Colorado and New York. Yet we’re supposed to believe a lifelong coastal progressive lacks momentum in those states but has it in the fuckin rust belt. I have doubts. Polls that consistently show Trump up double digits in Ohio is more telling about the rust belt than several polls that has Harris up 5 in Minnesota.

These pollsters should know momentum isn’t tactical. Harris only having momentum in the states she needs them in smells like fuckery.

Then we get into word about her internal polling which have received zero pushback and how those reports match what Fabrizio has said about Trump’s internal polling.

While im not counting on this particular scenario, I have a strong feeling that there will be a major flip of a blue state on Election Day as well. I’m leaning towards that state being Virginia..which would end the night pretty damn early but New Mexico or New Hampshire are wild cards too.

It becomes clearer and clearer that Kamala was installed to reinvigorate democrats for the down ballot races. Democrats were so demoralized it was possible the republicans could’ve cruised to the presidency, a 57 seat senate majority and the house if Biden stayed on.

Now their cap is maybe 53 if they’re lucky…52 most likely..51 at worst. Democrats seem on track to win the house.

Trump is one term. Get to rebuild and go at it again in 2028.

Do you really think democrats want Kamala Harris to be their flag bearer for the remainder of this decade? No.

Obama waiting a week to endorse her while advocating for a brokered convention was resounding. The coup was to save the down ballot but Kamala isn’t Neo

Now, I think Trump wins on November 5th. I won’t believe he is the next President until he is sworn in. With the assassination attempts, lawfare(sentencing), and also Raskin claiming a Democrat house majority won’t certify the results has me thinking it’s not over when he is President elect