There is a very good strategy for Cerrone to win, but I've never seen him do it to anyone so I doubt he'll do it here. He's taller, a much better kicker, better in the clinch and a shitty boxer, so he should obviously keep the fight at kicking range with teeps, front kicks and knee stomps, and clinch him as soon as they get into punching range and work knees or maybe a TD if he can, then about halfway through the 2nd round when Conor starts slowing and trying to block the front kicks, throw in some high kicks that should be open, profit. That's basically what Jones has done to everyone his entire career with the exact same physical advantages Cerrone has here.
Who's the last decent kicker Conor has faced besides Aldo who didn't get to throw any kicks? Max Holloway 7 years ago before he even had a coach? Cowboy almost never uses front kicks, I don't even know if he knows how to oblique kick and doesn't seem that great at keeping it outside punching range to use his kicks, but that's the obvious gameplan for a taller kicker to beat a shorter puncher.