War Room Lounge v85: If you want to turn a hyena on, you have to stress it out

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Sketch said:
Tonni is a good guy, one of the best. The problem is belgium people are aliens.
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HockeyBjj said:
What if I told you milk in a bag was common in Minnesota and Wisconsin as well. You know, the dairy states?

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the fargo accent? close enough to canadian to me <28>
 
HockeyBjj said:
Somebody quoting @waiguoren 's

I think it's going to be a three-way race between Harris, O'Rourke and Sanders. I think Biden will fade fast and Warren won't pick up steam. Most likely winner is Sanders, I think.

And putting it in their sig would be great
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That was in March, buddy. Sanders, Biden, Klobuchar hadn't even entered the race IIRC. He's still in the top 2 to win this thing imo, so not bad at all.
 
waiguoren said:
@Lead

As your quote indicates:

I had Sanders as the most likely nominee. Silver had Harris as the most likely nominee.

Silver loses to me, again.
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My point just was the primary was over a year out so all the speculation is just that. We all like to give our two cents and shouldn’t expect even the experts to have a deifnitive answer at that time. Elections would be pretty boring to follow if we already knew the results.
 
Lead said:
My point just was the primary was over a year out so all the speculation is just that. We all like to give our two cents and shouldn’t expect even the experts to have a deifnitive answer at that time. Elections would be pretty boring to follow if we already knew the results.
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It's a fair point, but there is informed speculation. You made me realize that I was overrating Harris as late as March and I thank you for that.

I think O'Rourke would have had more success if Buttigieg wasn't in the race. Main point is that I foresaw the strength of Sanders even as many many other people were crapping on his chances.
 
waiguoren said:
It's a fair point, but there is informed speculation. You made me realize that I was overrating Harris as late as March and I thank you for that.

I think O'Rourke would have had more success if Buttigieg wasn't in the race. Main point is that I foresaw the strength of Sanders even as many many other people were crapping on his chances.
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Lead said:
My point just was the primary was over a year out so all the speculation is just that. We all like to give our two cents and shouldn’t expect even the experts to have a deifnitive answer at that time. Elections would be pretty boring to follow if we already knew the results.
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So that's why I'm bored.
 
waiguoren said:
It's a fair point, but there is informed speculation. You made me realize that I was overrating Harris as late as March and I thank you for that.

I think O'Rourke would have had more success if Buttigieg wasn't in the race. Main point is that I foresaw the strength of Sanders even as many many other people were crapping on his chances.
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Yea, it seems like you didn’t make any cash or forum bets from that post so no damage done. There’s some pretty facepalm worthy posts you can find of mine in the 2016 GOP primary thread, specifically that Trump wasn’t going to run and that after he did run that he wouldn’t have any success.
 
Lead said:
Yea, it seems like you didn’t make any cash or forum bets from that post so no damage done. There’s some pretty facepalm worthy posts you can find of mine in the 2016 GOP primary thread, specifically that Trump wasn’t going to run and that after he did run that he wouldn’t have any success.
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At that time (March) I was just forming my thoughts about the primary, so I qualified everything with "I think". Now I make more reckless statements like "Buttigieg will be the nominee" even though I'm actually only about 40% confident in that. It's important to rev up the controversy around here. Makes for a better show, more entertainment.

As for Trump, I thought he was done in around October 2015 with his "Muslim ban" thing. Didn't realize the Republican base was so foolish/evil until that point. Now I realize it was a brilliant tactical move on Trump's part.
 
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