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@Fawlty Elizabeth @luckyshot
interesting thread
Also it doesn't look like Biden is getting much of a convention bump but his lead is already large and has been unusually stable.
It will be interesting to see what kind of bump (if any) Trump gets next week.
I'm mentally adding something like 6 points to Trump's end because of the way the EC works, the inertial incumbent advantage, and knowns/unknowns in right wing election rigging (like the Post Office scandal and lawsuits over ballots). So I see it as really close even though Biden is consistently up by what appears to be a lot. We could be pushing a 5 million popular vote win with an electoral loss this time.
I also don't think this convention matters very much. The lawsuits and legal organizing matter most.