University prof: 97-99% chance Trump wins Pres. if nominated

[Gandhi]

No. The professor's method has a fatal flaw, as documented by his pick in the 1960 election: it doesn't account for rigged elections. Considering Hillary Clinton, the most corrupt person in Washington, will likely be involved in the general election, I'm not putting my prized Sherdog account on the line.

Plus you're a noob so it'd be like putting wagering a Pinto against a Ferrari.

Already giving yourself an out - wait is this u trying to be funny again. Hahahahaha.

 

[Rex Kwon Do]

The feeling is definitely mutual - this thread is retarted, well done.

This is also a joke, right? You're on a roll tonight.

What's "retarted" about this thread? I posted a news story about a legitimate university professor who has invented a model that predicted a landslide win for Trump. Just because it hurts your feelings doesn't make it "retarted."

 

[VivaRevolution]

Credibility into question?


Strongly disagree.

You know what?

I get what you are doing here, and since it is a counter to a narrative that I disagree with, I am just going to leave you to your thing.

 

[sloppypie]

"You Republicans" like the German professor? I'll trust the numbers over your petulant tirade.

Lol stay scared, libs. That's what you do best.

I'm not scared of shit. You republicans act like the world revolves around you, when in reality nobody likes you or your shitty ideas. The only way republicans are even relevant is bc they gerrymander and restrict voting to keep themselves in power.

Trump is a joke. He's fun for now bc it isn't serious for serious people. But you are a grade A tard if you think America will elect that lunatic.

 

[Rex Kwon Do]

I'm not scared of shit. You republicans act like the world revolves around you, when in reality nobody likes you or your shitty ideas. The only way republicans are even relevant is bc they gerrymander and restrict voting to keep themselves in power.

Trump is a joke. He's fun for now bc it isn't serious for serious people. But you are a grade A tard if you think America will elect that lunatic.

Is the University of Michigan PhD with 50 years in the field under his belt and a method with a near perfect track record a tard, too? Or are you just lashing out because you're scared and your hunch isn't supported by the data?

 

[Drenalin]

Interesting how a professor can be dumb enough to come up with that. No way could Trumps chances be that high. That's exaggerating just a bit

 

[Rex Kwon Do]

You know what?

I get what you are doing here, and since it is a counter to a narrative that I disagree with, I am just going to leave you to your thing.

I don't see how his credibility can be questioned. He has an education from an elite school, has 50 years of research experience, looks to have published hundreds of articles, is a professor at a good school...where is the issue of credibility here other than he is putting forth a prediction uncomfortable to you?

 

[Drenalin]

I'm not scared

Don't be scared homie

 

[sloppypie]

Is the University of Michigan PhD with 50 years in the field under his belt and a method with a near perfect track record a tard, too? Or are you just lashing out because you're scared and your hunch isn't supported by the data?

You keep touting this guy like he's Nostradamus in a lab coat. I don't know this mother fucker, and you certainly aren't objective enough to give any kind of credible opinion.

So again, I say in louder words, nobody gives a fuck. Bc anyone with a brain can see trump and laugh at how ridiculous he is.

 

[Rex Kwon Do]

Interesting how a professor can be dumb enough to come up with that. No way could Trumps chances be that high. That's exaggerating just a bit

What model have you developed that leads you to believe his confidence level is too high? Your gut?

 

[VivaRevolution]

i keep hearing about the number of people who loathe trump and that limits his ceiling. however, i have to think that many of those same people loathe hillary. so i think they could cancel each other out

Legit point, but as you can see by my AV, I am a fan of a guy with high like-ability numbers.

I think the better point for Trump, is that because he has no legislative history, he gets to tell people what they want to hear with no constraints. So if the general electorate doesn't like what he is saying in this primary, leading to negative numbers, he gets to be a human chameleon, without being called on it.

 

[Rex Kwon Do]

You keep touting this guy like he's Nostradamus in a lab coat. I don't know this mother fucker, and you certainly aren't objective enough to give any kind of credible opinion.

So again, I say in louder words, nobody gives a fuck. Bc anyone with a brain can see trump and laugh at how ridiculous he is.

So have you conceded that you're just really emotional about this and have no good reason to doubt the professor's credibility or method? Because that's pretty obviously the case here.

Statistician with excellent track record makes a prediction and you respond with "yo fuck dat guy Americans are smarter than that he's wrong!!!111 I don't need data or sophisticated statistical analyses I just know America!!!11"

Hm.

 

[klnOmega]

I can make a model that gets all of the past elections right. Whats the point? You can fit pretty much anything after the fact.

 

[VivaRevolution]

I don't see how his credibility can be questioned. He has an education from an elite school, has 50 years of research experience, looks to have published hundreds of articles, is a professor at a good school...where is the issue of credibility here other than he is putting forth a prediction uncomfortable to you?

Like I said, I'm not going to call his credibility into question any further, because I think you are trying to bolster the narrative that Trump is electable.

The only reason you feel a need to do this, is because the media has painted a narrative of him not being electable(But Bush was, lol).

I'm going to leave you to your thing here.

 

[Drenalin]

What model have you developed that leads you to believe his confidence level is too high? Your gut?

Common sense... And my gut. And the fact that roughly 50% percent of the country is democrat. I myself am not a democrat by the way

 

[Rex Kwon Do]

Like I said, I'm not going to call his credibility into question, because I think you are trying to bolster the narrative that Trump is electable.

The only reason you feel a need to do this, is because the media has painted a narrative of him not being electable(But Bush was, lol).

I'm going to leave you to your thing here.

Well you already did call his credibility into question in an only slightly roundabout way. As far as trying to bolster the narrative he's electable, well, sure. If Joe the Plumber said Trump could win I'd tell him to go kick rocks, but when it's borne out by the data as studied by a scientist, I'm interested. As we all should, including you.

 

[lookslikeseen]

I can make a model that gets all of the past elections right. Whats the point? You can fit pretty much anything after the fact.

Let's see it.

 

[Rex Kwon Do]

Common sense... And my gut. And the fact that roughly 50% percent of the country is democrat. I myself am not a democrat by the way

I'm pretty sure this was taken into consideration, my friend.

 

[Rex Kwon Do]

I can make a model that gets all of the past elections right. Whats the point? You can fit pretty much anything after the fact.

"Here hold my beer"

You should get tenure at a top research university, then.

 

[VivaRevolution]

Well you already did call his credibility into question in an only slightly roundabout way. As far as trying to bolster the narrative he's electable, well, sure. If Joe the Plumber said Trump could win I'd tell him to go kick rocks, but when it's borne out by the data as studied by a scientist, I'm interested. As we all should, including you.

I am interested, and I stopped because I realized I was undermining.