UFN 93 - Barnett vs Arlovski - Germany

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Barry's posts are getting boring and Ashlee Evans-Smith looks like Droopy

Droopy_dog.png
 
Am I the only EU guys that is secretly a bit dissapointed that this card doesn't end at 6 or 7 AM? I kinda have gotten used to it at this point, it's a bit cosy somehow to watch MMA all night until the sun goes up.

I know what you mean my missus and kids will be around as it starts at 5pm kids wont be in bed until main card starts. So on the one hand its great i get a nights sleep but it defo makes lb more difficult mainly for the undercard tho. Feel like i needa break tho with 8 straight shows or whatever it is.

Did i see a euro card coming up followed by a brazilian card on the same day?
 
I live in Poland, 5 hour drive, they were looking for a fight for me before Germaine got injured, so I said of course, this is a great matchup for me, I don't think she has real confidence, I will use that as my advantage, she's not comfortable, she's not as tough as me, straight up, I won't stop, she doesn't have that, I can fight southpaw, in the end it's about how tough you are, I didn't have much time to prepare, only strategy and mental prep, it's a fight, there's so much emotion in his fight

 
Probably not til Friday. It won't be near evens though. Hard to say where exactly it'll open cause while Khab to win is juiced and the decision is favored heavily over itd, he has a tendency to take a round off. I'll def take my chances with the decision line if it comes at the better price.

I ended up putting 2,5u on Khabilov DEC a couple of hours ago. You can never be 100% comfortable betting props that are this juiced, but I feel really comfortable about this one.
 
You guys get me to 300 hunna likes and I'll have no choice but to once again deliver you the goods... you know, the money making picks I've been delivering "on the house" and guiding you to profit card after card.

Look guys, I've proved my worth to ya'll by how much damn money I'm making everyone here. Once NFL, NBA, NHL begins I'm going to be swarmed with work. I won't have much time to cap UFC much less post on sherdog. Get these picks while the offer is still open because all good things comes to an end.

Got all my value picks for Arlovski vs Barrnett fight card. There's a high probability like the previous card I'll be printing money oh hell just call me the damn Federal Reserve. They say money doesn't grow on trees but I honestly believe I'm the closest thing when it comes to free money.

Tip of the day: There's more value on lesser known fighters and fight night cards. Take that for what it's worth.

- Barry

i would assume that anyone that has been betting for a considerable amount of time understands that underdogs, or lessor known fighters, generally always have more value as the casuals theoretically bet favorites straight and in parlays inflating the lines
 
I live in Poland, 5 hour drive, they were looking for a fight for me before Germaine got injured, so I said of course, this is a great matchup for me, I don't think she has real confidence, I will use that as my advantage, she's not comfortable, she's not as tough as me, straight up, I won't stop, she doesn't have that, I can fight southpaw, in the end it's about how tough you are, I didn't have much time to prepare, only strategy and mental prep, it's a fight, there's so much emotion in his fight


Hnnnnnggggggggggggggggggggg

This girl is the most beautiful person I have ever seen
 
gustafsson will go in to go hard and to put jan away asap, this is a statement fight for him, expect him to act accordingly. if he gets on his bike, and rides a 3 round decision this fight gets him litteraly nowhere.

if anything should have been bader against gustafsson on this card, and if it wasn't for ilir having faced jan previously that's probably what would have happened aswell.

he got caught against rumble, but this is still the same guy that put jones through his paces for 5 rounds and dropped cormier.
 
gustafsson will go in to go hard and to put jan away asap, this is a statement fight for him, expect him to act accordingly. if he gets on his bike, and rides a 3 round decision this fight gets him litteraly nowhere.

if anything should have been bader against gustafsson on this card, and if it wasn't for ilir having faced jan previously that's probably what would have happened aswell.

he got caught against rumble, but this is still the same guy that put jones through his paces for 5 rounds and dropped cormier.
Or the brutal KO and 5 round war makes him nervous and gunshy. Goes both ways.
 
gustafsson will go in to go hard and to put jan away asap, this is a statement fight for him, expect him to act accordingly. if he gets on his bike, and rides a 3 round decision this fight gets him litteraly nowhere.

if anything should have been bader against gustafsson on this card, and if it wasn't for ilir having faced jan previously that's probably what would have happened aswell.

he got caught against rumble, but this is still the same guy that put jones through his paces for 5 rounds and dropped cormier.
Honestly, I kind of would've been pumped about Jan vs Ilir 2 and would've preferred those matches over the ones we have.

Or the brutal KO and 5 round war makes him nervous and gunshy. Goes both ways.
Rewatch the Pokrajac fight and tell me it would matter. Seriously, i'm in awe at the Gus itd and KO prices. It would take a miracle of God for someone of Jan's caliber to last 15 mins with Gus on a bad day
 
Is Khabilov somewhere near a good lock?SIlva has many submission wins, that worries a bit
 
Is Khabilov somewhere near a good lock?SIlva has many submission wins, that worries a bit
Hes as close to the 'L' word as it gets imo. Wade is a much better grappler than Silva and look what happened there.
 
Is Khabilov somewhere near a good lock?SIlva has many submission wins, that worries a bit

Silva is getting dominated khabilov will throw him all over the shop and dominate on the mat. Theres no locks in this game but yes its as close as you will get.

Gus will steamroll jan. Gus is dc jj level i cant see him being gunshy against jan who is not very good.
 
Hes as close to the 'L' word as it gets imo. Wade is a much better grappler than Silva and look what happened there.
Wade is better grappler?
I am worried, he will get caught in some guilotine, but after all he should win.How is it in striking?Probably Rustam has the edge?
 
Wade is better grappler?
I am worried, he will get caught in some guilotine, but after all he should win.How is it in striking?Probably Rustam has the edge?
I think so. Much stronger wrestling base and athleticism than Silva.

Honestly, i'm not too impressed by Silva. He looked a bit better vs Saggo though. Maybe he could outstrike Rustam from kicking range? But expect Rustam to get inside and do what he wants, whether thats grappling the shit out of Silva or landing some good hands (probably not, probably just grapplefuck)

I don't think you have to worry about Rustam getting subbed. Highly unlikely.
 
Wade is better grappler?
I am worried, he will get caught in some guilotine, but after all he should win.How is it in striking?Probably Rustam has the edge?

Khabilov does his takedowns from the clinch no guillotine threat.
 
I went into the last fight and didn't follow any gameplan, worst possible outcome, you move on, I can take more risks, I want to have fun, feel free, he's a grinder, strong, I have to mix it up, I have to make him pay, be technical and smart, I have height and reach

 
Barnett has tko'd 4 of his last 9 wins and arlovski has been tko'd 9 times (75% of his losses) and never sub'd. Im willing to put a bet on barnett ko @ +333. Think theres value.
 
Really happy Dalby is favorite now since after tape watch I decided Sobotta is the right side :D
 
Patrick Wyman of Heavyhands and Bleacher Report's predictions:

Khab by dec
Jack the Joker by dec (nice to see him on the same page since I needed confidence increase with lack of posters in here talking about this one)
Danho KO rd1
Lapilus by dec
Ashlee by dec
Dalby dec
Wallhead dec
Hein dec
Latifi KO rd1
Gus KO rd2
Barnett dec

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/...ufc-fight-night-93-arlovski-vs-barnett/page/7

Agree with him about lots of decisions possibly happening. Was thinking to myself this morning how I wanna hit the decisions over props when they release
 
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