UFN 93 - Barnett vs Arlovski - Germany

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MMABetzor said:
I think there is some value @ 1.714 - Have to put a couple of units on that one. I cap his winning a dec line @ aprox. 75%, and that is in the safer capping area spectrum IMO
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Idk how that translates to an American line, but you're capping seems pretty spot on for a safeside approximation.
 
Red flag for Smith - Macedo's the first southpaw she's ever fought, and this is on 1 week's notice.

 
Daniel Sarafian is the perfect guy I have in camp to imitate Latifi, Latifi is strong, he'll try to put me against the fence, I do elevation training now, I didn't show up last fight, I rushed in, I was frustrated, my weight is higher than usual, it's not an issue, Friday morning weigh-in, he's strong and take you down, but he's doesn't have control, I'll get up, I'm going to use my jab, establish distance, and land power shots, I have to make him tired trying to get the takedown, he doesn't change direction when he shoots, keep my back of the fence and push the pace, he slows down with his muscle, I'm going to take some risks to try and get the finish, you'll see some new things striking wise, I want an early finish

 
Card said:
Daniel Sarafian is the perfect guy I have in camp to imitate Latifi, Latifi is strong, he'll try to put me against the fence, I do elevation training now, I didn't show up last fight, I rushed in, I was frustrated, my weight is higher than usual, it's not an issue, Friday morning weigh-in, he's strong and take you down, but he's doesn't have control, I'll get up, I'm going to use my jab, establish distance, and land power shots, I have to make him tired trying to get the takedown, he doesn't change direction when he shoots, keep my back of the fence and push the pace, he slows down with his muscle, I'm going to take some risks to try and get the finish, you'll see some new things striking wise, I want an early finish

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Goddammit Bader I want a decision win.

But confidence increase minus training with Daniel Sarafian
 
Card said:
Daniel Sarafian is the perfect guy I have in camp to imitate Latifi, Latifi is strong, he'll try to put me against the fence, I do elevation training now, I didn't show up last fight, I rushed in, I was frustrated, my weight is higher than usual, it's not an issue, Friday morning weigh-in, he's strong and take you down, but he's doesn't have control, I'll get up, I'm going to use my jab, establish distance, and land power shots, I have to make him tired trying to get the takedown, he doesn't change direction when he shoots, keep my back of the fence and push the pace, he slows down with his muscle, I'm going to take some risks to try and get the finish, you'll see some new things striking wise, I want an early finish

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Bader better not take any risks with Latifi.
 
This is my rocky story after the injury, I won't be set back by anything, will put on a great performance, I was looking for a head coach, so I found Hardonk, he's a leader, weigh cut is ahead of schedule, we watched alot of Bang's fights, he's a southpaw, we're ready for both, we found holes, we have Plan A, Plan B and Plan C, the hometown fight favours me, I've fought twice in Germany, it's sold out, it will be broadcast on free TV in Germany

 
Damn it, don't know what to do about bader dec.If he will be more agressove and really take risk.
 
MMABetzor said:
Thoughts on Khabilov DEC? I don't think it's gonna be a high paced fight anyway.

Silva loses to fighters that have better wrestling/grapling and puts on a higher pace. Has lost decisions to:

Jason Saggo
Fransisco Trinaldo
Ildemar Alcantara

Khabilov is the same type of fighter that can outwrestle and outgrapple Silva by being more active. Silva is not a fighter that's getting finished though, so really see alot of value in Khabilov DEC compared to his ML, even though I probably Parlay his ML
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yea, khabilov dec is by far the most likely outcome. that said, it was -140 last i checked
 
Card said:
Ring rust
- Gustafsson 336 days
- Colombo 273 days
- Sobotta 294 days (injury)
- Hein 343 days (injury)
- Bang 280 days
- Issa 399 days
- Lapilus 287 days
- Buschkamp 434 days
- Askham returning from injury
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wow, HUGE layoffs

we need to chill on this card, gonna be some whacky outcomes, IMO
 
Guess I'm one of the few who likes this card for betting. Some tough/risky spots, but not bad at all overall to me. Plus it's the gem card for me where I have strong leans on some props (Gus KO, Khab dec, Bader dec even if he is talking reckless) which means more juice on my round robin
 
Just realised I'm racing Saturday in the day, won't be back till 6 and off out at 8.30 so minimal lb for me, will have to get some prebets down on a double team but I'll keep very small this event
 
Joseph Budden said:
Guess I'm one of the few who likes this card for betting. Some tough/risky spots, but not bad at all overall to me. Plus it's the gem card for me where I have strong leans on some props (Gus KO, Khab dec, Bader dec even if he is talking reckless) which means more juice on my round robin
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Honestly no idea how you can like this card for betting, the favs are dodgy and the underdogs suck for the most part
 
2.5 years ago I joined London Shootfighters, (on short notice) I got the call the week I was getting married, I dropped 14 pounds during my holidays to get my cardio peaked, I'll take what I can get, I'm happy to be here, I'm always in shape anyways

 
Brick Top said:
Honestly no idea how you can like this card for betting, the favs are dodgy and the underdogs suck for the most part
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Strong leans on props is the main reason. Ever since I've started using round robins back on May when a card comes along with lots of props I like at good prices it makes me a lot of money
 
Joseph Budden said:
Strong leans on props is the main reason. Ever since I've started using round robins back on May when a card comes along with lots of props I like at good prices it makes me a lot of money
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I've started doing round robins really recently and love them. How many units do you stake and how many legs do you have in them?
 
Am I the only one that thinks Bader taking risks is a bad thing? Latifi only needs one shot.
 
Brick Top said:
I've started doing round robins really recently and love them. How many units do you stake and how many legs do you have in them?
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All depends on the event. How good I feel about the props/close money lines (Wallhead at -120 will be an inclusion for this one) I like plus the price they come at. Usually stake around 1.2-2u and amounts of lines have varied from 5 to 12 (usually when a Bellator or WSOF event is on the night before)

I'm expecting to use 6-8 lines for this event in 2s and 3s and will probably stake around 2 - 2.5 units, not sure yet
 
AxeMurderer said:
Am I the only one that thinks Bader taking risks is a bad thing? Latifi only needs one shot.
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I'm not sure what he means by that. On one hand he has a good sense of what Latifi does and knows he has to work behind the jab, but on the other hand he said he wants to take risks? It's just confusing to me, hoping by risks he just means implementing new things he's been learning
 
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