UFN 90 - RDA vs Alvarez - Las Vegas

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Brave man sham... Like it, I'm on the same but will double team with someone I think.
 
@AffectEffect I'll be at Thursday's event but I'm not 100% sure where I'll watch the others yet. I'm not too interested in Friday's card mainly because I don't care to watch the TUF fighters, so I might just watch it from my hotel and gamble from the Casino app they have and online but for 200 I'll probably end up going to some viewing party somewhere I don't know but there are options.

And yeah we're celebrating someone's birthday as well so pretty much we got a big party for the room. And only like 2-3 of my other friends are interested in gambling with me.
 
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I have been to fights in vegas before but never for a 3 fight weekend. The problem is the fights take up so much time, it is understandably hard for non degens to take. I'm still trying to figure out how to keep my gf occupied while I live bet every fight...
 
I think I am going to pass on Roy/BB too many variables at play
 
Sham5916910 said:
Actually that was a typo i have £1400 on Roy lol to win 1k. I feel a little uneasy about it will hedge some with BB dec but fortune favours the brave!

I see where you're going re Roy's wins but Rosholt isnt a bad fighter just boring. Look at who Roys fought tho BB has not fought anyone near the level of Miocic, JDS, Reem, Barnett, etc. Roy has always struggled against the top 10 and always beaten anyone outside.

I dont normally bet on HWs but i trust in Roy's chin and do not think highly of BB. He was starched by Jordan and Mitrione. He has beaten low calibre fighters. His best win is Gonzaga but Gonzaga is a serious flake so i dont hold that win in high regard in 2016. BB is showing improvements but he was nearly kneebarred by Ruan Potts and then taken down and controlled for a short time. Sorry but if you are any good Potts should be having no success against you! BB is not particularly good on his feet his style is to take you down and gnp. Gonzaga is the only person he has stopped in the UFC standing. He wont be able to take Roy down, BB is not going to stop Roy standing and if Mitrione and Jordan can stop you standing you're damn sure Roy can. BB throws a lunging left hook and massively telegraphed right hand his stand up is pretty poor and he has low output.

You reference his tdd as being good against Gonz but go watch his other fights his tdd is horrible. He tends to rely on his heavy hips doesnt use fundamentals. You are correct about him being very good at getting back to his feet. This point is irrelevent tho Roy wont want to take BB down.

I think BB dec +1200 is absolutely mental tho. He does have good cardio for such a big man. But i dont think BB can implement his normal strategy here and Roy wont be as cautious like he was against Rosholt as he wont be so worried about the takedown.
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dude, dont assume BB cant put Roy out. look at what happened w everyone thinking Cote's chin was unbreakable. These are heavyweights throwing leather and Roy is getting up there in age. I'd hate for you to put that big wager down on Roy and hedge w BB Dec and BB ends up stopping Roy and you lose both bets lol
 
AffectEffect said:
I have been to fights in vegas before but never for a 3 fight weekend. The problem is the fights take up so much time, it is understandably hard for non degens to take. I'm still trying to figure out how to keep my gf occupied while I live bet every fight...
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Lmao that's hilarious it's usually the case for me too. You better get started schemin' and plottin' your way through the weekend's fights lol. Well, if you cash out on Thursday night she gon' understand this ain't no game lol. Dunno man just invite her friends too they'll occupy each others time. And collectively take forever to put their make up on so that'll kill a few fights.

If it helps at all, you can sign up for the mobile betting app @ The Westgate Casino and you can pretty much be anywhere to bet and turn up at the same time. And you can be inside the arena on Friday and bet through your phone.
 
iGnP said:
dude, dont assume BB cant put Roy out. look at what happened w everyone thinking Cote's chin was unbreakable. These are heavyweights throwing leather and Roy is getting up there in age. I'd hate for you to put that big wager down on Roy and hedge w BB Dec and BB ends up stopping Roy and you lose both bets lol
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Completely roys chin could crack at any point. But this is a fade for me on BB striking ability as well as Roys chin holding up. BB dec is +1200 so i dont need to put much down to hedge.
 
AffectEffect said:
Any worries about his gas tank and poor tdd?

@Rebel_LioN
A penthouse? Nice. I'll be in Vegas as well, where do you watch the fights? I am going to Friday's event but I was wondering if there was a good place to watch the other 12 hours worth of fights.
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Against Mitch Clarke no.
 
Right i've gone balls deep here...

£1400 Nelson @ -140

£250 Burns + Duffy @ +100

£1250 Burns + Duffy @ -108

Please betting Gods let this triple whammy start well for me...
 
Not sure if it's just me who didn't see it but look like labbrookes have all lines up now
 
Sham5916910 said:
Actually that was a typo i have £1400 on Roy lol to win 1k. I feel a little uneasy about it will hedge some with BB dec but fortune favours the brave!
I see where you're going re Roy's wins but Rosholt isnt a bad fighter just boring. Look at who Roys fought tho BB has not fought anyone near the level of Miocic, JDS, Reem, Barnett, etc. Roy has always struggled against the top 10 and always beaten anyone outside.

I dont normally bet on HWs but i trust in Roy's chin and do not think highly of BB. He was starched by Jordan and Mitrione. He has beaten low calibre fighters. His best win is Gonzaga but Gonzaga is a serious flake so i dont hold that win in high regard in 2016. BB is showing improvements but he was nearly kneebarred by Ruan Potts and then taken down and controlled for a short time. Sorry but if you are any good Potts should be having no success against you! BB is not particularly good on his feet his style is to take you down and gnp. Gonzaga is the only person he has stopped in the UFC standing. He wont be able to take Roy down, BB is not going to stop Roy standing and if Mitrione and Jordan can stop you standing you're damn sure Roy can. BB throws a lunging left hook and massively telegraphed right hand his stand up is pretty poor and he has low output.

You reference his tdd as being good against Gonz but go watch his other fights his tdd is horrible. He tends to rely on his heavy hips doesnt use fundamentals. You are correct about him being very good at getting back to his feet. This point is irrelevent tho Roy wont want to take BB down.

I think BB dec +1200 is absolutely mental tho. He does have good cardio for such a big man. But i dont think BB can implement his normal strategy here and Roy wont be as cautious like he was against Rosholt as he wont be so worried about the takedown.
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Im with you. Roy is my biggest bet so far this year. Im also hedging with that crazy BB dec line.
 
Agent Mulder said:
Im with you. Roy is my biggest bet so far this year. Im also hedging with that crazy BB dec line.
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That is reassuring! Where are you getting the dec line? Only Euro site i can see is Betvictor and they limited BB dec to £15.
 
either i'm just out of touch w/things (totally possible) or ufn 90 is a terrible betting card.

gonna be my smallest ufc in years.

have small action on muhammad, nelson, mina, and makdessi.

that's *IT*

i don't even have leans on the other fights. so many -200 favorites who i think are priced appropriately.

sidenote: should vicente freakin luque be -440 s ANYONE in the ufc?
 
EzFlyer said:
either i'm just out of touch w/things (totally possible) or ufn 90 is a terrible betting card.

gonna be my smallest ufc in years.

have small action on muhammad, nelson, mina, and makdessi.

that's *IT*

i don't even have leans on the other fights. so many -200 favorites who i think are priced appropriately.

sidenote: should vicente freakin luque be -440 s ANYONE in the ufc?
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I'm thinking of stabbing Alvaro. The price on Luque is definitely way too juiced.

Overall an OK betting card for me. Like some of the plays I currently have, and eyeing some of those decent prices on overs for little guy fights
 
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