UFN 112 Kape vs Royval

[EndlessCritic]

Buchecha at +130 against Nzechukwu feels completely wrong. Buchecha is a terrible style matchup for Nzechukwu, who fights nothing like Buday, who is basically a fridge. Nzechukwu has a puncher's chance and I don't think can stop the takedown here reliably. Who the hell is putting money on Nzechukwu at -150?!

Royval currently sitting at +240 is complete disrespect. I think Kape is a bad style matchup for him but Royval is a crafty dog, and Kape likes giving fights away based on inactivity.

Lemos +143 and Almeida +170 are worth a stab for sure.

 

[guesswhoseback]

Bleda-dec
Frye-ko
Santos-dec
Asplund-ko
Amosovo-dec
Brito-ko
Robertson-dec
Almedia-sub
Costa-dec
Almedia-dec
Vallejos-dec
Kape-dec

 

[Guld]

Buchecha at +130 against Nzechukwu feels completely wrong. Buchecha is a terrible style matchup for Nzechukwu, who fights nothing like Buday, who is basically a fridge. Nzechukwu has a puncher's chance and I don't think can stop the takedown here reliably. Who the hell is putting money on Nzechukwu at -150?!

Royval currently sitting at +240 is complete disrespect. I think Kape is a bad style matchup for him but Royval is a crafty dog, and Kape likes giving fights away based on inactivity.

Lemos +143 and Almeida +170 are worth a stab for sure.

I agree with the Royval statement. Kape is no joke, but Royval has proven to be a tough outing for just about anyone.

 

[sonhow]

Hard card to be confident about anything but I think Gillian should be able to get Lemos down as long as she stays one dimensional enough and doesnt try anything too cute.

Royval seems like must bet at these odds.

 

[Thesnake101]

Made a parlay with some spare change:

Asplund ML/Amosov u2.5/Frye u1.5/Brito ML

Looking into Amosov by sub amongst other props like Morgan KO, Cezary decision and Buchecha rd 1 sub.

 

[PuertoRican]

 

[Tebowned]

Currently wiki capping the card and watching a little bit of vids. Not sure if it's been mentioned but Lance Gibson Jr. is making his UFC debut. He's the son of UFC vet Lance Gibson.

I know there's been a few others before but thought it was worth pointing out.

 

[UFCIsNOTRigged]

Kind of odd that a 25 year old full time fighter like Santos, who is 4-1 in the UFC, is near evens with a 34 year old part time fighter with one UFC win. They both fought Lisboa and one of them looked -1000 while the other arguably dropped the first round to her.

Croden’s a kickboxer that has never fought a competent grappler and she just got taken down twice by Lisboa, who Santos manhandled, whose to say if Santos takes Croden down twice in space that isn’t the fight right there?

This seems like a classic spot where a public dog comes through and is then overvalued in their next fight.

 

[Thesnake101]

They gotta cut Melsik, man.

 

[DalchaLungiambula]

Michal's bro doesn't seem to be any better than he is right now, while Caesar can be quite cunning.

I capped the fight at -125 Caesar and +125 Oleksiejczuk

 

[Thesnake101]

Michal's bro doesn't seem to be any better than he is right now, while Caesar can be quite cunning.

I capped the fight at -125 Caesar and +125 Oleksiejczuk

Thinking it goes the distance? That's currently +195 in my book and neither guy has been KO'd in MMA (nor in KB in Cesar's case).

 

[Tebowned]

Michal's bro doesn't seem to be any better than he is right now, while Caesar can be quite cunning.

I capped the fight at -125 Caesar and +125 Oleksiejczuk

I like Cesar. I'd love him if he wasn't pushing 40 in this matchup.

 

[Marko Atanasovik]

Melq lock of the year.

 

[DalchaLungiambula]

I like Cesar. I'd love him if he wasn't pushing 40 in this matchup.

Agreed.

My friend mentioned that he's younger than Pereira, so as far as a former kickboxer fighting in one of the heavier weightclasses he maybe isn't completely past it

Thinking it goes the distance? That's currently +195 in my book and neither guy has been KO'd in MMA (nor in KB in Cesar's case).

Idk, I saw Almeida was paying +130 at the spread (+3.5).

I don't know if Oleksiejczuk will finish Caesar, and Ole winning by more than 29-28 seems a bit unlikely considering his grappling looks as poor as Michal's, meaning it probably won't be a factor in this fight; so the spread kind of covers a decision loss for Caesar, as well as him knocking out Ole.

Then again Caesar is almost 38 so he might have a glass chin at this point, and just end up getting KOd

 

[EndlessCritic]

Melq lock of the year.

I'm kind of surprised by the line based on their performances, but I also feel like I have a really bad read on both guys, and really couldn't tell you how this fight is going to play out.

 

[Marko Atanasovik]

I'm kind of surprised by the line based on their performances, but I also feel like I have a really bad read on both guys, and really couldn't tell you how this fight is going to play out.

Charriere is one trick pony.
Boxing-oriented head hunter who telegraphs punches.

 

[EndlessCritic]

Charriere is one trick pony.
Boxing-oriented head hunter who telegraphs punches.

And Costa is... a stiff striker with decent-ish kicks, and a good guillotine?

 

[Marko Atanasovik]

And Costa is... a stiff striker with decent-ish kicks, and a good guillotine?

Better flow, jabs, footwork will allow it to install larger volume of punches.
FUNDAMENTALS.

 

[EndlessCritic]

still can't get over the fact that buchecha is a dog here. what on earth am i missing? buchecha should be -250 here.

 

[Thesnake101]

still can't get over the fact that buchecha is a dog here. what on earth am i missing? buchecha should be -250 here.

I'm planning to hit his 1st rd sub line with everything I got if my other bets hit.