UFN 112 Kape vs Royval

still can't get over the fact that buchecha is a dog here. what on earth am i missing? buchecha should be -250 here.
Buchecha doesn't have that level of wrestling to take him down.

Vitor pulled off a one in a million submission, it won't happen again.
 
Thoughts on the Over in brito's fight? It's +105ish

I know it's short notice but his opponent is not a wild man. Seems to have good distance management and good wrestling. I feel like it has the makings to go 3 rounds.
With that said I would not be surprised if Brito hit a ninja choke again.
 
Thoughts on the Over in brito's fight? It's +105ish

I know it's short notice but his opponent is not a wild man. Seems to have good distance management and good wrestling. I feel like it has the makings to go 3 rounds.
With that said I would not be surprised if Brito hit a ninja choke again.
I like this bet. Sometimes bets vs unknowns take some time to figure things out. With a patient fighter coming in, some value here.

I'll be on Vallejos ITD as I don't have faith in Giga and on Mesq.

Good luck to us all
 
Buchecha doesn't have that level of wrestling to take him down.

Vitor pulled off a one in a million submission, it won't happen again.
Buchecha has taken down every single one of his opponents, except for Grishenko, who he tapped in 30 seconds after pulling a leg entry from a single leg.

You think Buchecha can take down Reug Reug, Aliakbari, and Buday, but not Nzechekwu?
 
Buchecha has taken down every single one of his opponents, except for Grishenko, who he tapped in 30 seconds after pulling a leg entry from a single leg.

You think Buchecha can take down Reug Reug, Aliakbari, and Buday, but not Nzechekwu?
Yep levels.
Consequences were bigger than benefits of those takedown attempts.
 
Yep levels.
Consequences were bigger than benefits of those takedown attempts.
Keep in mind that Kennedy got taken down by the last three grapplers/wrestlers he's fought (Valter, Devin, Ion), it's very unlikely he doesn't get taken down at least once if he doesn't instantly chin Buchecha, and then it becomes a matter of if he can survive long enough to gas Marcus out. Personally I don't think he can.
 
Keep in mind that Kennedy got taken down by the last three grapplers/wrestlers he's fought (Valter, Devin, Ion), it's very unlikely he doesn't get taken down at least once if he doesn't instantly chin Buchecha, and then it becomes a matter of if he can survive long enough to gas Marcus out. Personally I don't think he can.
Vitor pull ashi garami. *
Devin and Ion are better wrestlers than Buchecha.

Buc pulls where he need to push and vice versa. He'll gas out within minute.
 
Kind of odd that a 25 year old full time fighter like Santos, who is 4-1 in the UFC, is near evens with a 34 year old part time fighter with one UFC win. They both fought Lisboa and one of them looked -1000 while the other arguably dropped the first round to her.

Croden’s a kickboxer that has never fought a competent grappler and she just got taken down twice by Lisboa, who Santos manhandled, whose to say if Santos takes Croden down twice in space that isn’t the fight right there?

This seems like a classic spot where a public dog comes through and is then overvalued in their next fight.

Agreed. Croden looks to be a capable striker but with completely untested grappling and going against a girl who's proven her grappling chops.
 
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