UFN 103: Rodriguez vs. Penn - Phoenix

[Cord]

Asker is slow and hittable but got a good chin.
Smoliakov could sort of gas but maintain the win.
How do you guys see Smoliakov dec @ 7.00?

 

[rille31]

Penn doesn't look bad at all here.

I'm pumped for this fight. Between interviews and this little clip starting to get convinced BJ can at least make this fun

wtf is he doing @ 1.25?

 

[vkram]

Asker is slow and hittable but got a good chin.
Smoliakov could sort of gas but maintain the win.
How do you guys see Smoliakov dec @ 7.00?

Smolyakov gassed in like 3 minutes last time out whilst Asker has shown ability to fight a bit longer. I think Asker can takedown Smolyakov if gasses and he has some nasty GNP.

 

[vkram]

I would've played Martin if it wasnt for the neck injury aswell as his last fight being 1 year ago.
But white was a 145er, and his last fight against Lobov was unimpressive to say the least.

I thought he looked pretty good vs Lobov.

 

[Agent Mulder]

I thought he looked pretty good vs Lobov.

Me too. He completely outclassed Lobov.

 

[Officer_Brown]

people smashing alex white. am i missing something?

 

[vkram]

people smashing alex white. am i missing something?

Martin coming off a surgery and tends to gas. White should have an advantage in the stand up.

 

[wack3d]

some touts picking White i guess thats why the line shifted so much.. value have to be on Martin now though. the surgery should be a positive for Martin? and its a big 155'er going against a 145'er i am tempted to hit Martin for sure at the current prices

 

[raketmannen]

I thought he looked pretty good vs Lobov.

He sure looked improved since the collard fight, but lets get real winning a decision over Lobov is bad in itself

 

[Buddy Brown]

some touts picking White i guess thats why the line shifted so much.. value have to be on Martin now though. the surgery should be a positive for Martin? and its a big 155'er going against a 145'er i am tempted to hit Martin for sure at the current prices

What touts?

 

[wack3d]

What touts?

thought there was a few montioned itt but it might have just been some media picking him

 

[Slohog]

Someone at MMA oddscast liked him I think.

 

[Rasdun]

I got 2u on penn, i just think the odds are to juicy and that theres alot of value on the table for him. Obviously not confident since his last 2 performances but they were arguably against some incredibly tough opponents. Fingers crossed that he doesnt come out as the full on prancing standing up straight Penn and more of the fight against mcdonald. His fight against mcdonald was really one sided due to him fighting welterweight but his style of fighting was garbage against edgar,

Im debating on the Moraga Pettis fight, I am leaning more towards moraga since I doubt that they will be fighting on the ground and his stand up is pretty decent plus hes coming off a fight where he was way to gunshy and feel like he will learn from that and come out more aggressive (hopefully). I also think the fight should be closer in terms of odds and he is listed as the underdog by a slight margin

only bet im fairly confident on is Lauzon,

BJ's competition past two fights has been incredibly tough. top 3 fighter at 170 and top 3 fighter at 145. Rodriguez hasn't really proven himself as a top 10 fighter, much less top 3. now that odds are down to 335, may be a pass. I put .2 u on Penn by submission at +550

 

[Buddy Brown]

He sure looked improved since the collard fight, but lets get real winning a decision over Lobov is bad in itself

Not really. He fought smart and made Lobov look the worst he's ever looked.

 

[JohnnyLongSchlong]

 

[Buddy Brown]

Penn made 146... Surprised.

 

[Stunna77]

Good BJ Penn interview from yesterday:

http://www.flocombat.com/article/50613-bj-penn-drain-your-bank-account-and-put-it-all-on-me

Cliffs:

-149 lbs only three to cut before the morning, so seems like an easy cut this time around
-Switched off training with Greg Jackson and Jason Parillo
-Training with Jackson has been incredible and you will see a different fighter
-Yair and his manager asked for this fight and I'm not mad, but I will definitely remember that come fight time
-Whenever i've been embarrassed I come back 10x better (GSP fight, Pulver fight some examples of when he's been embarrassed)
-Biggest underdog i've ever been - drain you're bank accounts and put it all on me
-I hope Yair saw my last fight and think that's the fighter they need to beat

Seems like he's in good spirits and feels confident. BJ has always been one of my favorite fighters, so I will throw a flyer on him, probably by sub, maybe a bit on his ML.

 

[Sham5916910]

Drain your bank accounts - he said that? Man im tempted lol

 

[Buddy Brown]

Drain your bank accounts - he said that? Man im tempted lol

I'm not. He hasn't won a fight in 7 years and said he shouldn't have come back just 2 years ago.

Wouldn't be surprised if Yair got caught after making a mistake or being wreckless but wouldn't put more than 0.5u on it

If he looks good early I'll just live bet then hedge if he gasses I think.

 

[SBJJ]

400 on BJ so far