UFN 103: Rodriguez vs. Penn - Phoenix

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probably making a monster bet on Bj penn. thinking about betting 5k (never before bet more money on a single fight) on him... the odds are off. Ill keep you guys updated when I lock the bet.
Pics or it didnt happen.
 


couple hours later odds open on him..

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ufc forgot to tell rivera they found another opponent? lol
 
Ok im on nina. Jjl has looked terrible to me. She made torres look like sugar ray ffs tecia smashed her on the feet. Markos has awful standup and it was a very even striking battle. Jjl has now power, is unathletic and has poor td's.

Nina im impressed with. Lost a very close dec to lima over in brazil. Used a triangle threat to stand back up in r1 then went for a guillotine. Nearly hit an armbar in r2 and under new criteria could be given that round and won r3. This kish fight was horseshit she won that 29 28 you could even argue 30 27 terrible decision. She smashed her on the feet nina has power for a bird. She did slow in r3 but otherwise a really good performance.

This is part fade on jjl who has looked terrible and part impressed with nina. Nina is nunes main sparring partner and has been sparring with jj too. If nina does get taken down shes shown shes dangerous on her back and on the feet i think nina smashes her. Jjl ships over 5 slpm thats not a good stat when facing nina.
 
Lol Rivera is completely unplayable. yikes!
 
JJL when she gets her groove can be solid. She has a great jab and can be a decision machine.

I havent seen her groove in the ufc. Torres lit her up like a xmas tree and her and markos engaged in a sloppy even striking match.
 
Nina got laid upon in recent fights, Lybarger does however struggle to get take downs but does try and uses her height and size to her advantage and against the cage, but lacks head movement which is odd she is an lead boxing coach at her gym. Lyn is 5.7" so 2inches taller then Nina.

Anyhow I did pick Nina su, do overall think she is the better overall fighter but barely, would rather play the overs or fight goes distance tbh since its wmma and both are unpredictable fighters.

If you have to think about picking wmma bets or wmma as parlay fodder, good luck lol
 
Nina got laid upon in recent fights, Lybarger does however struggle to get take downs but does try and uses her height and size to her advantage and against the cage, but lacks head movement which is odd she is an lead boxing coach at her gym. Lyn is 5.7" so 2inches taller then Nina.

Anyhow I did pick Nina su, do overall think she is the better overall fighter but barely, would rather play the overs or fight goes distance tbh since its wmma and both are unpredictable fighters.

If you have to think about picking wmma bets or wmma as parlay fodder, good luck lol

She didnt get laid on in the kish fight. Kish hit a td with 90 secs left of r2 and nina got up right at the end of the round. But nina battered her standing for 3.5 mins and with the new criteria and how judges are already scoring fights she would easily win that round today. R3 nina had 2.5 mins top control, kish 1 min. R1 all standup. That fight was a robbery.

Against lima she tripped exiting the clinch. Threatened with a triangle to get back to her feet but went for a guillotine so ended up on bottom again. This was r1. R2 she basically stuffed the td but fucked it up and ended up on bottom. Nearly hit a lovely armbar from bottom tho.

Obviously i dont want nina on bottom but if she ends up there she is good enough to sweep submit or get back to feet. I think jjl struggles for td's tho and gets eaten standing.

Nina has the reach advantage.
 
Nina got laid upon in recent fights, Lybarger does however struggle to get take downs but does try and uses her height and size to her advantage and against the cage, but lacks head movement which is odd she is an lead boxing coach at her gym. Lyn is 5.7" so 2inches taller then Nina.

Anyhow I did pick Nina su, do overall think she is the better overall fighter but barely, would rather play the overs or fight goes distance tbh since its wmma and both are unpredictable fighters.

If you have to think about picking wmma bets or wmma as parlay fodder, good luck lol

just a note according to ufc stats even though Lybarger is 2 inches taller Nina will acually have a 1 inch reach advantage

edit; Sham beat me too it :D
 
Still liking:

Asker -even more if he survives r1
Harris -better wrestling and more athletic boxing
Pesta -reckon alexy @ 39 is done once pesta starts to get on top of him and tire him out
Saez -better fight iq, more experience and just a bit more rounded apart from pure bjj skills
 
So I guess we will all be balls deep in Nina. God damnit, when do we ever learn not to bet WMMA fighter below top three?

Adding 1U, in 2U on Nina now.
 
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She didnt get laid on in the kish fight. Kish hit a td with 90 secs left of r2 and nina got up right at the end of the round. But nina battered her standing for 3.5 mins and with the new criteria and how judges are already scoring fights she would easily win that round today. R3 nina had 2.5 mins top control, kish 1 min. R1 all standup. That fight was a robbery.

Against lima she tripped exiting the clinch. Threatened with a triangle to get back to her feet but went for a guillotine so ended up on bottom again. This was r1. R2 she basically stuffed the td but fucked it up and ended up on bottom. Nearly hit a lovely armbar from bottom tho.

Obviously i dont want nina on bottom but if she ends up there she is good enough to sweep submit or get back to feet. I think jjl struggles for td's tho and gets eaten standing.

Nina has the reach advantage.

Yeah not laid upon by kish but kish did get those take downs in r2 and r3, I think she did better with her control and back mount in r3 also maybe that winged it for the judges.

Lima pretty much dominated top control in r1 & r2 though.

I agree and still like nina su, but its still wmma :)

Overs imo is the safer play, maybe good for parlay material also. Will need to keep an eye on Nina decision prop line too.

just a note according to ufc stats even though Lybarger is 2 inches taller Nina will acually have a 1 inch reach advantage

edit; Sham beat me too it :D

I still reckon Lyn will be the bigger gal in there, but yeah 1 inch reach advantage to nina :)
 
Rivera is on Sherdog live chat right now. He says he's not fighting next weekend. Waiting for Caraway or another top contender.
 
Yeah not laid upon by kish but kish did get those take downs in r2 and r3, I think she did better with her control and back mount in r3 also maybe that winged it for the judges.

Lima pretty much dominated top control in r1 & r2 though.

I agree and still like nina su, but its still wmma :)

Overs imo is the safer play, maybe good for parlay material also. Will need to keep an eye on Nina decision prop line too.



I still reckon Lyn will be the bigger gal in there, but yeah 1 inch reach advantage to nina :)

She won r1 and 2 against kish bs decision.
 
She won r1 and 2 against kish bs decision.

Yup agree, I think the judges may have liked kish controlling the octagon and her looking slightly better towards the end of r2 and r3, maybe the judges forgot all those strikes nina landed.

Bad decision really, I recall betting kish and thinking nina edged it too lol
 
See some regulars liking Court, do like court also but do feel he has looked much poorer lately even against steele in his last fight.

Court did also have tons of injuries so was sidelined for almost a year and half recently, I miss the old court using footwork, cardio and out striking opponents but agree by other comments he does fall into saunder's strengths especially if he clinches or goes for a take down (something courts been doing much lately)

Still court has no sub losses yet, I also feel saunders is not really improving or excelling in any area so reckon court could just about out work saunders here again but it feels like a close fight, court decision I like, probably o1.5 safer play.
 
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